timothy sykes logo

Trading Tips-Tim Sykes Penny Stock

Divergence Day Trading: Definition, Methods, & Strategy

Updated 4/28/2021 14 min read

Divergence day trading sounds like the opposite of keeping it simple.

It isn’t.

Keeping it simple doesn’t mean you should ignore the technical indicators that go with trading divergence. It means that you should see these indicators for what they are — different ways the market talks about price.

As every smart trader knows, only price pays.

Divergence trading using indicators like RSI and MACD can help with this. Not only because other traders use them…

But because they can help you understand the market too.

I love the market because it’s filled with all types of people. Some traders look to the market’s emotions. If you follow my trade alerts, you know how much I love morning panic dip buys.

Other traders get math way better than I ever have. Some of these traders use divergence trading to plan out their entry and exit.

The whole point of my Trading Challenge is to give you different opportunities to understand the market.

So I want you to read posts like this, even if divergence trading isn’t your ‘thing.’

You never know when it will come in handy or when it will give you more insight into a potential trade.

So let’s get to it.

What Is Divergence Day Trading?

I always tell my students not to try to predict the market…

No one has ever figured out how to predict the market’s next move. It isn’t likely you’ll be the first.

Instead, I want you to react to what the market’s telling you.

That doesn’t mean you should go long when a stock’s already up and short it when it’s down. That’s called chasing, and it’s a good way to blow up your account.

I want you to learn about divergence patterns so you can react sooner … Or at least know what traders who use them are thinking.

Divergence strategy compares price trends with technical indicators like relative strength index (RSI). Positive divergence occurs when a stock’s price is trending down while the slope of its indicator starts to climb.

For example, RSI tells you if a stock is underbought or overbought. This is a valuable clue to how much demand is out there.

Traders use RSI divergence strategies to identify changing stock trends. Ideally, they catch a reversal before the price trend itself changes.

Negative divergence warns traders of a bearish trend. A bearish divergence using RSI will still be trending up in price… and already show a turn in RSI trend.

divergence day trading run chart
Sunrun Inc. (NASDAQ: RUN) 5-day chart, hourly candles with RSI (Source: StocksToTrade)

Divergence day trading charts bullish and bearish divergence patterns over short time frames. These periods can be as short as 15 minutes.

The idea is that divergence signals can give day traders warning on trend reversals.

Be careful though — these short time frames can make for a lot of mixed signals.

Regular Divergence vs. Hidden Divergence

Post image

Get my weekly watchlist, free

Sign up to jump start your trading education!

What happens to a divergence pattern when its indicator slope supports its price trend?

It’s called a ‘hidden divergence’ — and it signals a trend continuation.

What’s a hidden bullish divergence? That’s what happens when a stock’s price is trending up AND its indicator is making lower lows. It can also make a double bottom.

A hidden bearish divergence tracks the opposite. The stock is hitting lower highs… and its indicator is making higher highs.

In divergence day trading, this can serve as trend confirmation.

How Accurate Is Divergence Trading?

how accurate is divergence day trading
© Millionaire Media, LLC

Here’s where I repeat myself:

Divergence is just one more tool you can use in trading.

A bullish divergence doesn’t guarantee a bullish trend will be in the stock’s future. It’s one of many bullish signals you can use in a smart trading plan.

It isn’t a silver bullet. Think of it as just one more thing to study.

Trading Challenge students have access to over 900 videos on technical indicators. You’ll need to understand indicators like RSI and MACD before you use them in your trading.

Knowing how to read MACD and RSI isn’t just necessary for divergence day trading … It’s necessary to understand how the traders you’re competing against think.

The Challenge chat room can also help you with these kinds of complex strategies. My Challenge students use all kinds of different strategies…

And we’ve got one of the most collaborative chat rooms around.

Several students are now Challenge moderators. Many give regular webinars on subjects like divergence day trading.

We don’t take everybody. But if the idea of plowing through 900 video lessons appeals to you, I want you to apply! Check out my Trading Challenge here.

What Are the Methods to Confirm Divergence?

I can turn this article into a debate on the merits of using MACD vs. RSI for divergence…

But I’d rather talk about my favorite stock charting software, StocksToTrade. (Quick disclaimer: I proudly helped design and develop StocksToTrade and am an investor in it.)

StocksToTrade is one of the most powerful platforms out there. I love its versatile stock screener and its wide-ranging news scanner. But I want to talk about its awesome charting abilities here.

You NEED clean charts if you want to try divergence day trading. Experimenting with different indicators is key — it’s all about finding the best fit for YOU.

StocksToTrade is the trading software that’s worked best for me. Give it a try and find out if it works for you. Grab your 14-day trial now for only $7.   

How to Trade Using Divergence

how to trade using divergence day trading
© document.write(new Date().getFullYear()); Millionaire Media, LLC

Divergence can be a helpful way to see a shift in trends…

But to use divergence for day trading you need to already know the setups that work best for you.

This is what I teach my students. I’ve learned which patterns occur over and over in the market during 20-plus years of trading…

I break my strategies down at NO COST here:

  • My penny stock guide is a great place for newbies to start.
  • The YouTube playlist “30 Trading Videos in 30 Days” is an intro to trading basics.
  • Sign up for my weekly watchlist to see what I look for in potential trades. I don’t want you to copy it — I share my picks so you can learn my process.
  • Watch my “Volatility Survival Guide” if you want to trade high volatility stocks. Volatility can complicate divergence day trading … so you must understand it.

If you want to get up to speed fast, sign up for my 30-Day Bootcamp. In 30 days, you can learn my most important trading lessons. Or you can work at your own pace. Either way, it’s one more step in building your trading foundation.

3 Divergence Trading Strategies for Beginners

I don’t think divergence day trading is great for beginners. It’s a highly technical pattern that gives plenty of false signals over short time frames.

So I can’t give you a divergence cheat sheet. But I respect any strategy that can get people to the important stuff … like process and risk management.

If this strategy appeals to you, read on for some tips on trading divergence…

Using Divergence for Breakouts and Breakdowns

Identifying a shift in trend before price moves can make for some awesome gains.

The problem is that it’s hard to do.

I teach my students to learn the signs of big price moves. The reality is that there’s no one pattern or indicator that can tell you this. Trading breakouts or breakdowns depends on experience, checking a lot of boxes…

And LOTS of screen time.

But tracking divergence can help.

Using indicators like RSI and MACD can help show new trends forming. But these indicators can also give plenty of false signals.

Divergence patterns are an additional box you can check when trading breakouts.

Using Divergence to Plan Entries and Exits

Anything that makes you think more carefully about your trading plan is alright by me.

I’m a fan of dip buys — but you have to be careful not to try to catch a falling knife.

Looking for signs of a trend reversal is key for this strategy. I rely on several tools to tell me when a falling stock’s price has hit bottom.

Level 2 quotes are useful on the OTC penny stocks I like to trade. If you have a good platform like StocksToTrade, you can see where support is gathering in real time.

This is such a central part of my trading strategy that I made a whole DVD on it! “Learn Level 2” comes in at six hours … There’s a lot to reading Level 2 quotes.

Adding divergence patterns to plan your entries could help you. Using it in tandem with other tools can make a big difference. It’s all about what works for you.

supernova placement

The Divergence Scalping Strategy

Divergences won’t always predict a big price move. They show a change in momentum…

But this won’t necessarily lead to a trend reversal.

Some traders split the difference and use divergence to help them scalp.

Scalping is a strategy based on small, quick profits. Scalpers ride short swings to quick profits. This is my small gains and smaller losses strategy taken to the extreme.

How do I feel about scalping? Well…

I teach my students to go for singles and cut losses quickly. But singles aren’t scalping. Our trading plans usually have goals many times the amount of our risk.

Mark Croock is a top trader who went through my Challenge and now trades options with my penny stock strategy. He’s made over $2.6 million in his trading career.* Yet he wins only 53% of his trades.*

He builds good trading plans that depend on several factors going his way. When his plans don’t work, he gets out quickly.

Try that with a scalping strategy.

What Are Good Indicators for Divergence?

I’ve mentioned using RSI and MACD for plotting divergence…

We covered RSI earlier… Understanding MACD is more complicated.

MACD stands for moving average convergence divergence … It even has divergence in its name. You can also try stochastic, commodity channel index (CCI), and the Awesome Oscillator (AO).

What Are the Limitations of Using Divergence?

limitations of using divergence day trading
© Millionaire Media, LLC

When you’re divergence day trading, you’re looking at indicators that measure the past. Divergent graphs can give you clues for a stock’s future moves … But they’re just clues.

Using these past-measuring indicators in shorter time frames reduces their effectiveness even further.

So I want you to think about risk.

Risk is the biggest part of your trading plan. No matter how promising a trade looks, it can always go bad.

My pennystocking framework looks at more than just technical indicators. It takes catalysts into account and looks at the patterns that often come after.

I measure the movement of the market as a whole when I trade. And I try not to get too attached to my idea of where a stock is going to go.

When I hit my risk — I get out quick.

There’s no one ‘system’ that will make your trades profitable. Be suspicious of anyone who tells you otherwise.

How Do You Trade for Divergence in Forex?

Divergence day trading is popular among forex traders. That’s because of all of the movement in these markets…

By market cap, forex is the biggest market out there. And it has the most movement.

I don’t trade forex. But it’s helpful to look at this market for insight into divergence day trading.

These markets have a lot of swings. And successful traders ride them to small gains. They’re basically using a divergence scalping strategy.

Is Trading Divergence Profitable?

Any strategy can be profitable. You’ve got to find the strategy that works for you…

Then comes the hard work. You have to track your trades and see what strategy makes for your best trades.

Then, fine-tune it. Work on your trading plan. See where you make the same mistakes.

I can’t tell you if divergence day trading is right for you. That’s a question you have to answer for yourself.

The Bottom Line on Divergence Day Trading

A big part of understanding the market is understanding its players. You improve your trading just by learning the way that other people trade.

Education is the most important part of becoming a self-sufficient trader. So congratulations — you’ve just passed an extra-credit course.

What’s even more important is context. Any pattern can help your trades … Just make sure you understand its downsides too.

What do you think about divergence day trading? Let me know in the comments — I love hearing from my readers!

watchlist banner

Disclaimers

*Please note that these kinds of trading results are not typical and do not reflect the experience of the majority of individuals using our products. From January 1, 2020, to December 31, 2020, typical users of the products and services offered by this website reported earning, on average, an estimated $49.91 in profit. This figure is taken from tracking user accounts on Profit.ly, a trading community platform. It takes years of dedication, hard work, and discipline to learn how to trade. Individual results will vary. Trading is inherently risky. Before making any trades, remember to do your due diligence and never risk more than you can afford to lose.


How much has this post helped you?


Leave a reply


Author card Timothy Sykes picture

Timothy Sykes

Tim Sykes is a penny stock trader and teacher who became a self-made millionaire by the age of 22 by trading $12,415 of bar mitzvah money. After becoming disenchanted with the hedge fund world, he established the Tim Sykes Trading Challenge to teach aspiring traders how to follow his trading strategies. He’s been featured in a variety of media outlets including CNN, Larry King, Steve Harvey, Forbes, Men’s Journal, and more. He’s also an active philanthropist and environmental activist, a co-founder of Karmagawa, and has donated millions of dollars to charity. Read More

Post image

Get my weekly watchlist, free

Sign up to jump start your trading education!

* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (205) 851-0506 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”