timothy sykes logo

Penny Stocks News

How To Spot A Failed Vs. Successful Breakout

Timothy SykesAvatar
Written by Timothy Sykes
Updated 11/23/2022 7 min read

There are traders out there who hold and hope for the stock to move higher…

As for me, I don’t like to hold onto a stock for too long in hopes of the outcome I wanted.

Trading isn’t supposed to be like a carnival game where your chances of winning are slim…

For every trade you plan to make, there is a process that needs to be followed to help you be better prepared for success.

Before any of my trades, I complete multiple steps, but one step is always on my mind…

And that step will help me gauge what my profits or loss could be from every trade.

You will never be profitable 100% of the time on your trades, you will ultimately suffer losses…

But how you limit your losses through discipline is going to help you as you pave your way for your future.

I don’t trade penny stocks because they are good stocks, I trade them because they are volatile…

And if you are not careful with your trade, it can be a disaster.

Today I want to share with you why no trader should hold and hope when a trade of theirs fails…

So see what trade would’ve been a disaster if you held onto it and why.

Identifying An Entry Point 

As we prepare for any trade, there are specific indicators that I look for every day before determining if a stock is worth it.

I am not looking at stocks that have low volume, are on a constant downward trend, have no historical movement…

I look for stocks that are big percent gainers, have high volume, and have the ability to spike 10%, 20%, or even more.

Reading a stock chart is crucial for any trader because you will start to notice that the same patterns tend to repeat.

Before every trade I make, I always have an entry and exit point in place.

Take a look at one of my recent trades…

For every trade, I always have a plan in mind…

Holding and hoping that a stock is going to move in the right direction is a fool’s game.

Trading is about planning every step of the way, and in many of my trades, I am meticulously planning where to buy and sell.

Guessing is never the right approach, and here is an example of why you should wait for the perfect setup to come to you…

And not just guess when to buy.

Failed vs Strong Breakout 

Many of you may ask how I may know if a stock has a solid breakout compared to a failed breakout…

And today, I am going to show you what a solid breakout looks like compared to a failed breakout.

Earlier in the week, I mentioned this in the chatroom for traders to see…

So let’s take a look at what I saw with XCPCNL Business Services Corporation (OTC: XCPL)

Over the last several days, you may have heard me talk about XCPL…

This stock has been a hot OTC runner that was setting up for a multimonth breakout, it had the volume to do so…

But then, it failed…

Looking at the multi-month chart, you can notice that XCPL has tested this $0.009 resistance level several times.

XCPL chart 1-day candles Source: StocksToTrade

As it struggled to break through, you notice a significant amount of sellers shorted that stock the other day based on its key resistance area.

This is why I always look back at the history of the stock to identify these key levels, because looking at a smaller window, you wouldn’t know what the stock may be up against…

And you may just think it’s going to break out.

XCPL chart 15-minute candles Source: StocksToTrade

Here you can see the volume increasing, the stock is opening higher in the morning…

But then, it fails…

Many traders may think “it has to keep going” and then ultimately the stock turns in the opposite direction…

And plunges over 50% from where it just was.

Imagine if you invested $1,000 into this stock hoping that it would spike through and keep going as it briefly broke over the $0.009 resistance level…

That $1,000 now becomes less than $500 and you most likely wiped out the majority of your other gains with this one trade.

But now, let’s shift our focus to a solid breakout pattern…

Meta Materials Inc. (OTC: MMTLP)

Post image

Get my weekly watchlist, free

Sign up to jump start your trading education!

Here you can see that MMTLP had several successful breakouts over the last few weeks, but I want you to focus on something key that made this a successful breakout.

MMTLP chart 1-day candles Source: StocksToTrade

Here you can see the stock’s volume started to ramp up, going from nearly $2 a share up to nearly $8 a share in just a matter of days.

Shortly after it hit its highs, the stock sold off and just dipped below $4 a share, before it started its multiday run.  

As the stock started to run up, the stock was squeezed over the $8 mark, holding above that mark.

But that’s not all, the stock got another significant push of volume to help propel it even higher than the previous $10 a share mark that was resistance for a few days.

MMTLP chart 15-minute candles Source: StocksToTrade

Here you can see the chart on a daily level where the volume has significantly increased from previously to help push the stock through key resistance areas.

When a stock breaks out, you want to make sure it doesn’t dip back down like XCPL in just a matter of minutes, or in a day…

More Breaking News

You want to make sure the stock is able to hold its previous resistance levels and have it become a new support level before the stock can continue higher.

Final Thoughts 

Penny stocks are not stocks that I am holding for the future in hopes to make millions over the next several years…

These types of stocks require traders to be able to spot these opportunities and make quick profits when the time is right.

Trading is about timing, and finding the right opportunity at the right time is vital.

I have met many traders who have held on to stocks in hopes they would rebound…

Or had FOMO about a recent trader another made.

It is important for all of you to understand the big picture and be able to be self-sufficient in finding these opportunities…

And knowing when danger may be ahead.

Continue to study and be prepared!

Cheers,

Tim

P.S. – Trading is all about waiting for any opportunity when it pops up.  Sometimes if you drag your feet and miss it. Here’s one that’s still on the table. 



How much has this post helped you?



Leave a reply

Author card Timothy Sykes picture

Timothy Sykes

Tim Sykes is a penny stock trader and teacher who became a self-made millionaire by the age of 22 by trading $12,415 of bar mitzvah money. After becoming disenchanted with the hedge fund world, he established the Tim Sykes Trading Challenge to teach aspiring traders how to follow his trading strategies. He’s been featured in a variety of media outlets including CNN, Larry King, Steve Harvey, Forbes, Men’s Journal, and more. He’s also an active philanthropist and environmental activist, a co-founder of Karmagawa, and has donated millions of dollars to charity.
Read More

* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”