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Trading Recap

How $CGRA Demonstrates the Power of One

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Written by Timothy Sykes
Updated 12/16/2022 5 min read

Traders instinctively want to take EVERY runner that crosses the tape.

When they don’t see a setup, they assume they missed something.

This sends them down a research rabbit hole, looking for a strategy or setup that explains what they missed.

In the end, they take a shotgun approach, trying random strategies and hoping one sticks.

Year-to-date, I’ve taken just over 400 trades, or roughly 1.5 trades per day.

Transparency is important! All my trades are posted here.

That’s helped me cultivate a nice $131,000 profit.

But I’ll let you in on a secret…

All you need is one strategy and setup!

When folks start my MILLIONAIRE CHALLENGE, I set them on the 7-Step Penny Stock Framework.

I have them study former Supernovas like Dark Pulse Inc. (OTC: DPLS), identifying the different phases.

Then, I introduce them to two setups: breakouts and morning panic dip buys.

If I offered them nothing else, they would have enough to develop a reliable, repeatable strategy.

People think this oversimplifies trading.

But I’d argue they overcomplicate it.

And I want to prove it by walking through several Supernovas from this year that set the stage for potential trades.

Dark Pulse Inc. (OTC: DPLS)

This stock hit my radar when our Breaking News Chat alerted me to it during Thursday’s premarket session.

I immediately took interest for one very good reason…this stock was a former Supernova.

You see, stocks that go Supernova have a tendency to do it again and again.

That’s why I keep them on a watchlist just in case.

And when they go Supernova, they can offer trade setups.

Notice I said ‘can’ – there’s no guarantee they will.

Supernovas give us the pattern that generates the conditions for a setup.

We still have to wait for the setup to occur.

Breakout trades work great on the front side of a Supernova.

However, morning panic dip buys are my bread and butter on both the front and especially the back side of a Supernova.

Let me give you another example.

Meta Materials (OTC: MMTLP)

This was one of my favorites this year.

No joke, I got twelve trades off this stock from mid-October through early December.

This stock created multiple opportunities to look for setups.

On that first pullback, I found three panic dip buy trades, two winners and one loss.

As the stock rolled higher in November, I traded a combination of panic dip buys and breakout trades.

This stock offered up at least a trade each week for almost two months.

Find a few of these and you’ll have plenty of trades to work with.

Clarus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. (OTC: CRXT)

Going back even further, CRXT was a nice Supernova that had lots of potential.

Unfortunately, this stock gap around so much that I was only able to pick up a couple of trades.

You see, not every Supernova provides quality setups.

It’s the combination of the pattern AND the setup that I look for.

Build Your Library

© Millionaire Media, LLC

Think of trading as your own personal library.

Each setup you learn is a book.

The more setups you learn, the bigger your library.

However, if you rush the process, skim every book, and shove it on your shelf, you’ll never get the full benefit.

Building a personal trading library happens over time.

It starts with a foundation like the 7-Step Penny Stock Framework.

From there, you build your core setups and work them until you’re an expert.

Once you can execute them profitably, you add another setup.

Work that one until you’re an expert. Then, go back and review your core setup.

Trading is a skill that requires nurturing.

It’s a lot easier to do that when you limit yourself to the highest-quality setups and trades.

Yet, the reality is one setup, like the morning panic dip buys, can provide you with plenty of opportunities to build up your account.

So start small and work your way up.

—Tim


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Author card Timothy Sykes picture

Timothy Sykes

Tim Sykes is a penny stock trader and teacher who became a self-made millionaire by the age of 22 by trading $12,415 of bar mitzvah money. After becoming disenchanted with the hedge fund world, he established the Tim Sykes Trading Challenge to teach aspiring traders how to follow his trading strategies. He’s been featured in a variety of media outlets including CNN, Larry King, Steve Harvey, Forbes, Men’s Journal, and more. He’s also an active philanthropist and environmental activist, a co-founder of Karmagawa, and has donated millions of dollars to charity. Read More

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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (205) 851-0506 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”