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Mentor Updates

Millionaire Mentor Update: Bubble Market Madness!

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Written by Timothy Sykes
Updated 1/24/2023 15 min read

I LOVE this bubble market. There are SO many plays I can’t keep up. Last Friday I had 30 — yes, 30(!) — stocks on my watchlist. I can’t remember the last time I was watching that many stocks.


Pay attention because this is important…

Bubble markets burst. This can’t keep going forever. So enjoy the ride, but also stay safe. Stay in your lane and focus on what works for you.

I’ll get more into the bubble market, but first…

Karmagawa’s Charity Mission Continues

The market has been so crazy that I haven’t posted as much about Karmagawa’s ongoing mission. But we’ve continued to work in the background to find and support deserving charities.

One of our long-term goals is to build 1,000 schools worldwide. So I’m proud to announce the opening of the 73rd school/library. The R. Wolf Learning Center is also our 23rd project with the Bali Children’s Project. Check it out…

The Bali Children’s Project is a registered 501c3 nonprofit in the U.S. and also a ‘yayasan’ in Indonesia. Its mission is to help children escape poverty through education. That includes school sponsorships, pre-school support, HIV/AIDS workshops, and more. To better understand their work, watch this 2020 year review video.

Karmagawa is proud to support the Bali Children’s Project!

Time for trading…

Trading Mentor: Beware the Bubble Market

Tim Sykes pointing at you.
© Millionaire Media, LLC

It has all the hallmarks of a stock market bubble. And while I hope you take advantage of it, fair warning: all bubble markets eventually burst.

The recent WallStreetBets vs. hedge funds battle is a clear example. Let’s start by looking at what a bubble market is. Then we’ll use GameStop as an example.

As always, my goal is to be the mentor to you that I never had.

Knowing history and understanding how things work is part of every successful trader’s education…

The Stages of a Bubble Market

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  • Disconnect: An increase in an asset’s value above what’s reasonable.
  • The Boom: Speculative buying starts here as new money enters the market. FOMO.
  • Euphoria: “This will last forever! To the moon! YOLO!”
  • Profit Taking: Smart money locks in gains. Dumb money holds and hopes.
  • The Panic: Reality sets in and the bubble bursts.

One of my all-time favorite books is “Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds” by Charles Mackay. It’s about the psychology of manias. It includes examples such as the Dutch tulip mania and the South Sea bubble. I recommend it.

For more about bubble markets and manias, read “Manias, Panics, and Crashes” by Charles P. Kindleberger and Robert Z. Aliber. To go total geek mode, read “Stabilizing An Unstable Economy” by Hyman P. Minsky.

(Note: As an Amazon Associate, we earn from qualifying purchases.)

OK, let’s apply the stages of a bubble market to the recent GameStop (NYSE: GME) drama.

Bubble Market Example: GameStop

The original research done by Keith Gill was pretty solid. Whether you agree with his analysis, he had a basis for his “I like the stock” proclamation.

But when WallStreetBets decided to punish GME short sellers, it got overextended. There was a point where the valuation of the stock no longer made sense.

At that point, people buying the stock were speculating. Yes, many bought the stock on principle — to punish hedge funds. And, yes, they succeeded as short sellers got punished. But too many bought thinking there would be other fools to sell to later. Up went the price.

Then, euphoria set in…

People who’d never traded a stock in their life started buying every share they could get their hands on. Some people cleaned out savings. Others sold off retirement investments to get in on the craze.

Eventually, more experienced traders/investors took profits and got out. Yes, there was also the fiasco with Robinhood and other brokers limiting buys. (For the record, I use these brokers.) But it only sped up the inevitable.

The panic…

Anyone with diamond hands watched the value of their shares plummet. Some — especially those who bought near the top in the euphoria stage — lost big.

GameStop is a classic example of bubble market psychology and the consequences. So much for those tendies…

Is This a Bubble Market?

We’re seeing a lot of signs of a bubble market. One example is all the new traders and new money flowing in. Last year when so many people stayed home from work for weeks or months, many started trading. Sadly, too many thought it was a game and lost everything they put into it.

The bubble market has made people lazy. Trading over the past year almost seemed easy. Too many newbies learned the wrong lessons.

Is It Possible to Survive and Thrive in a Bubble Market?

If you know my PennyStocking Framework, the stages of a bubble market might look familiar. In essence, the patterns I trade and teach depend on the same psychology.

For example, it’s rare for a penny stock company to suddenly be worth 100% more than it was yesterday. But it’s not uncommon for a penny stock — especially in this market — to spike 100% or more in a few days.

It’s that kind of volatility that successful penny stock day traders take advantage of.

At the same time — and this is the takeaway lesson — you MUST understand the risk involved.

“Stonks go up” might be a fun rallying cry. But it’s the thought process of a newbie BEGGING to get decimated by experienced traders.

So my answer is, yes, it’s possible. But most traders won’t. Instead, they’ll do what most traders do…

FAIR WARNING: This is a bubble market. Risk management is important for every trader in every market. But in this market, there’s a temptation to push things to the limit. I sat down with Matt Monaco, Kyle Williams, and Jack Kellogg last week for TWIST. One of our main topics was risk.

Check it out…

TWIST: Market Insanity Continues – Rapid Fire Session

Remember, take it one trade at a time and trade overly safe. The best part of this market is the endless opportunities to learn.

Now it’s time for…

Trade Review

In this edition, I’ll review two trades. One was my biggest percent win last week. The other was my biggest dollar gain.*

(*Please note: My results are far from typical. Individual results will vary. Most traders lose money. I have the benefit of years of hard work, dedication, and experience. Trading is inherently risky. Do your due diligence and never risk more than you can afford to lose.)

Check it out…

American Premium Water Corp. (OTCPK: HIPH)

American Premium Water manufactures and distributes CBD infused beverages. It uses hydro nano technology to make the CBD more bioavailable.

On February 4, the stock spiked after the company announced it had shipped the first production run of nano-infused products.

Check out the HIPH 100-day chart:

I only got a partial fill on this fast-moving stock. My goal was to make 10%–20%. The HIPH chart below shows the news alert and my entry/exit.

HIPH penny stock chart
HIPH chart: Feb. 4 intraday, breaking news morning spike — courtesy of StocksToTrade.com

It was a beautiful morning spike. I couldn’t ask for a higher percentage gain. It was a 46.67% win for $2,457 in profits.* It did consolidate and break out again later. But one of the most important lessons in a bubble market, or any market, is to lock in gains.

(*My results are not typical. Individual results will vary. Most traders lose money. Trading is inherently risky. Do your due diligence and never risk more than you can afford to lose.) 

Now let’s look at my biggest dollar win from last week…

Solar Integrated Roofing Corporation (OTCPK: SIRC)

Solar Integrated Roofing is an integrated solar and roofing installation company. It’s also actively engaged in acquiring similar companies to grow.

The stock started moving on January 21 when the company announced the acquisition of solar energy installer Enerev, LLC.

Here’s the SIRC 100-day chart:

SIRC spiked again after the company promoted a podcast where the CEO talked about Enerev and EV charging stations.

Here’s the SIRC chart from February 4 with the news alert and my entry/exits.

SIRC penny stock chart
SIRC chart: Feb. 4, intraday, panic dip buy variation — courtesy of StocksToTrade.com

Notice SIRC had a morning spike first. And the dip was later in the day than my ideal morning panic pattern. So why didn’t I buy the morning spike?

Too Many Plays in a Bubble Market

I was watching for either a continuation or a morning panic. But there were so many plays I missed it. And, I’m MUCH more comfortable dip buying. Especially on a multi-day runner like SIRC.

Usually, I’m very cautious about dip buying midday. But in this market, I’m being a little more speculative. SIRC bounced perfectly off earlier support. I gave it time and it paid off for me.*

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I sold too soon, but I’m fine with that. I’d rather sell into strength to lock in profits than hold and hope. This trade turned into a $5,250 win for me.*

(*My results are far from typical. Individual results will vary. Most traders lose money. Trading is inherently risky. Do your due diligence and never risk more than you can afford to lose.) 

Why It’s Important to Lock in Gains

First, let me be very clear…

Most traders lose. No matter how long you’ve been trading, you’ll lose trades. The key is to cut losses quickly and move on. But there’s something I’ve seen a lot over the past year…

A newbie trader gets into a trade and the stock does the right thing. But instead of locking in gains, they get greedy. “I wanted 5%, but that seemed easy … I’ll just hold on for more.” Or they listen to promoters who say, “Only the weak hands sell.” Then the trade goes against them.

In any market that’s dangerous. In a bubble market, it’s crazy. And it ends ugly…

Remember, small wins add up over time. Yes, there are times I wish I was more patient with a trade. But for me, I’d rather cut for small profits.

Again, most traders lose. I’ve been doing this for 20 plus years and I have a 75% win rate.* That’s high. But not all my wins are big-dollar or big-percentage wins. Many are very small, where I cut the trade because it wasn’t doing what I wanted.

(*My results are far from typical. Most traders lose money and individual results will vary. Remember all trading is inherently risky. Do your due diligence and never risk more than you can afford to lose.)

Stay in the game by locking in gains if/when you get them. Bubble market or not, it’s a marathon and not a sprint. Stay safe!

Millionaire Mentor Market Wrap

This market is crazy — there’s no other way to describe it. I love the volatility, but I can’t emphasize enough that bubble markets can be dangerous. There are SO many plays every day that it’s easy to get caught up in the euphoria. Don’t.

This happens ONLY when countless hours of preparation meet opportunity…

How did these guys prepare? They’re all graduates of the…

Trading Challenge

They didn’t just apply for the Trading Challenge and become traders. These guys put in thousands of hours of study and practice. So don’t think this is a get-rich-quick scheme. It’s not.

What’s the Challenge? My 20+ years of trading experience combined with over a decade of teaching. It’s comprehensive. There are DVD guides, video lessons, and webinars.

What is it not? A place to come for hot picks. If that’s what you want … move along. Only apply if you’re willing to study your butt off.

How bad do you want it? Apply for the Trading Challenge here.

What do you think of this crazy bubble market? Comment below, I love to hear from all my readers!

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Author card Timothy Sykes picture

Timothy Sykes

Tim Sykes is a penny stock trader and teacher who became a self-made millionaire by the age of 22 by trading $12,415 of bar mitzvah money. After becoming disenchanted with the hedge fund world, he established the Tim Sykes Trading Challenge to teach aspiring traders how to follow his trading strategies. He’s been featured in a variety of media outlets including CNN, Larry King, Steve Harvey, Forbes, Men’s Journal, and more. He’s also an active philanthropist and environmental activist, a co-founder of Karmagawa, and has donated millions of dollars to charity. Read More

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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”