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Is Wynn Resorts Stock Ready for a Comeback?

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Written by Timothy Sykes
Reviewed by Jack Kellogg Fact-checked by Ellis Hobbs

Strong quarterly earnings and favorable market conditions have boosted Wynn Resorts Limited’s stock performance. Notable developments include robust growth reports and positive public sentiment surrounding their latest operational and strategic moves. Due to these factors, Wynn Resorts Limited’s stocks have been trading up by 4.97 percent on Friday.

  • Morgan Stanley has upgraded Wynn Resorts to Overweight from Equal Weight with a new price target of $104, highlighting growth opportunities and stability in Las Vegas and Macau.
  • Wynn Resorts is set to issue $800M worth of Senior Notes due 2033, mainly to redeem older notes and cover general expenses, showcasing a solid financial strategy.
  • A $70M settlement has been agreed upon by Wynn Resorts for a securities fraud class-action lawsuit, bearing a minor direct cost of $9.4M to the company.
  • Stifel has lowered its price target on Wynn Resorts to $103 from $121 but maintains a Buy rating, citing the stock’s value as attractive despite recent pressures.
  • Macquarie has reduced its price target for Wynn Resorts to $122 from $126, while continuing to hold an ‘Outperform’ rating.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update at 08:47:29 EST: On Friday, September 27, 2024 Wynn Resorts Limited stock [NASDAQ: WYNN] is trending up by 4.97%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

A New Financial Chapter for Wynn: Detailed Earnings Insights

Wynn Resorts has faced a whirlwind of activity, and it all starts with its financial decisions. Recently, the announcement of an $800M private offering of Senior Notes due 2033 shows a commitment to financial restructuring. What does this mean? Essentially, they’re taking this enormous sum and using it partially for the redemption of older notes that are due by 2025. This kind of financial maneuvering isn’t just about playing with numbers; it’s about long-term planning and creating a stable economic base.

Moreover, Wynn Resorts is adjusting its financial sails amidst tumultuous seas. Consider their Q2 2024 financial report — revenue surged to around $1.7B. That’s a mountain of money, making their revenue per share an impressive $58.85. Despite large figures in revenue, they are not just swimming in cash; costs remain substantial. Their gross margin, sitting at 51.4%, reflects a good level of efficiency, but the underlying financial landscape is rougher. In Q2 alone, their operating income hit $269.7M while EBITDA stood strong at $554.3M. That’s a lot of acronyms, but each one paints a picture of solidity amidst the chaos.

But it’s not all sunshine and rainbows. The dark clouds show up in the form of a net loss from continuing operations, which hovered around $146.3M. This indicates some deep-rooted financial challenges, concerning enough to catch anyone’s eye.

Marching with Strategic Upgrades and Reduced Targets

Morgan Stanley’s latest upgrade of Wynn Resorts from Equal Weight to Overweight is akin to a powerful endorsement. The price target raised to $104 suggests a potential upside that investors can’t ignore. Why this sudden optimism? It’s not merely a hunch. It’s grounded in concrete factors: growth in the UAE and a revitalized Macau market are pivotal. And let’s not overlook stability in Las Vegas — Wynn’s fortress of pleasure and profits.

On the flip side, Stifel’s reduction of the price target from $121 to $103 might seem contradictory, but it’s not necessarily discouraging. They rubbed some of the polish off, but their Buy rating is unwavering. They believe the current trading levels are ripe for picking. And when seasoned analysts say something is underrated, it’s wise to listen.

Meanwhile, Macquarie’s downgrade from $126 to $122 still keeps the stock in favorable territory with an ‘Outperform’ label. While the expectations have slightly dimmed, the outperformance rating suggests Wynn is still a heavyweight contender in the market ring.

More Breaking News

The Settlement Saga: A Double-Edged Sword

Class-action lawsuits can be catastrophic but Wynn Resorts’ recent $70M settlement over securities fraud seems to be managed astutely. With insurance covering the bulk, the company’s direct exposure is limited to $9.4M. This settlement is both a financial albatross and a blessing. Resolving it means closing a dark chapter of alleged misconduct, allowing Wynn to turn a new page and focus on growth without the shadow of litigation looming over them.

Financial Fortifications and Speculated Market Directions

Remember the Q2 financial performance? Though they had some setbacks, Wynn’s strategic outlook looks poised for a recovery. The hotel behemoth’s operating expenses, though hefty at over $1.4B, are balanced by massive potential income from investments and strategic moves.

Wynn’s current assets at around $2.9B and total assets sitting just under $13.3B set a robust financial foundation. Sure, there’s a significant debt level of approximately $11.3B, but their cash equivalents of $2.4B provide the liquidity to navigate stormy waters. The sizable investment in property and new ventures like Hudson Yards West fuels optimism for sustained growth. Hudson Yards alone is not just a plot of land; it’s a saga of ambitious urban development echoing Wynn’s expansionist philosophy.

Why the Buzz Now?

Let’s not forget that financial wizards at places like JPMorgan and Macquarie are eyeing Wynn for its risk/reward potential. The fact that the stock is trading near its historic low since 2006 with a reaffirmed Overweight rating from JPMorgan signals that savvy investors see an opportunity. Traders know low valuations coupled with big potential rewards scream “buy.” The upcoming projects, like the massive Hudson Yards development, just add fuel to this speculative fire.

Conclusion: Wynn’s Financial Odyssey

The takeaway is clear but intricate: Wynn Resorts is in a transition phase marked by strategic financial decisions and manageable crises. The company’s commitment to restructuring its debt through the $800M Senior Notes offering implies a long-term vision aimed at stability and growth. The upgrades by major financial institutions like Morgan Stanley further emphasize a positive future outlook.

However, don’t be quick to dismiss Stifel and Macquarie’s more conservative stance — they are mirrors reflecting the inherent risks tied to global economic unpredictability and the intense competition in the hospitality industry. The recent settlement on securities fraud, while costly, may ultimately cleanse the company’s slate, paving the way for refocused efforts on their expanding ventures.

Investors should keep a vigilant eye on Wynn’s evolving strategies, their financial statements, and the broader market dynamics. The interplay between cautious optimism from analysts and substantive financial activities paints a complex but promising picture. It’s not just about numbers on a spreadsheet; it’s about a financial journey that might very well redefine Wynn Resorts’ standing in the market.

In conclusion, Wynn Resorts presents a compelling blend of risk and reward. For those with a knack for savvy investment stratagem or merely following the whispers of the market winds, Wynn Resorts seems ready to embrace its next chapter.

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Timothy Sykes

Tim Sykes is a penny stock trader and teacher who became a self-made millionaire by the age of 22 by trading $12,415 of bar mitzvah money. After becoming disenchanted with the hedge fund world, he established the Tim Sykes Trading Challenge to teach aspiring traders how to follow his trading strategies. He’s been featured in a variety of media outlets including CNN, Larry King, Steve Harvey, Forbes, Men’s Journal, and more. He’s also an active philanthropist and environmental activist, a co-founder of Karmagawa, and has donated millions of dollars to charity. Read More

* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

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Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”