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Is Wynn Resorts a Hidden Gem Despite Recent Ups and Downs?

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Written by Timothy Sykes
Reviewed by Jack Kellogg Fact-checked by Ellis Hobbs

Wynn Resorts Limited’s stock is surging, trading up by 7.21 percent on Friday. The positive movement follows recent news of a strategic joint venture aimed at expanding its presence in the lucrative Asian market. Investor sentiment appears highly optimistic, fueled by expectations of significant revenue growth and increased market share from this strategic expansion.

Wynn’s Strategic Moves and Market Reactions Last Month

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  • Morgan Stanley recently upgraded Wynn Resorts to Overweight from Equal Weight with an ambitious price target of $104, citing undeniable growth opportunities in the UAE and potential gains in Macau.
  • Wynn Resorts announced a significant $800M private offering of senior notes due 2033 to refinance older notes and fund general corporate purposes, signaling strategic capital restructuring.
  • Wynn Resorts settled a class action lawsuit related to securities fraud allegations for $70M, paying $9.4M out of pocket, while the remaining amount was covered by insurance companies.
  • Jefferies cut its price target for Wynn Resorts to $81 from $87 but retained a Hold rating, reflecting a cautious yet optimistic stance amid current market fluctuations.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update at 14:38:47 EST: On Friday, September 27, 2024 Wynn Resorts Limited stock [NASDAQ: WYNN] is trending up by 7.21%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Quick Overview of Wynn Resorts Limited’s Recent Financial Performance

Wynn Resorts, known for its luxury casinos and hotels, has been navigating turbulent waters recently. The company’s recent financial report shows a mixed bag of ups and downs. Analyzing the multi-day chart, you’ll notice that on Sep 27, 2024, the stock opened at $92.66 and closed at $97.59, registering a solid upward movement compared to previous days.

On the earnings side, Wynn Resorts reported a revenue of more than $6.53B. Despite some financial turbulence, this has positioned them well in a market that’s always looking for stability amidst chaos. The cash flow statement reveals a healthy end cash position of over $2.47B, even though investing cash flow and financing activities were in the red at -$104M and -$291.4M, respectively.

Their gross profit margin sits comfortably at 51.4%, signaling efficiency in managing production costs relative to their revenue. However, a pretax profit margin of -11.9% may raise eyebrows, reflecting financial challenges that need addressing. Despite these challenges, the EBITDA margin of 26.5% and interest coverage ratio of 2.5 suggests that Wynn Resorts can comfortably cover its interest obligations, which sends a strong signal to potential investors about the company’s capacity to meet its financial commitments.

The revenue per share stands at $58.85, which is a pretty respectable figure. And even though the company’s profitability metrics show a pretax profit margin of -11.9% and a profit margin total of 17.66%, the positive signs are evident. The firm’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 11.63 suggests that it’s relatively undervalued compared to its earnings, creating a potential “buy” opportunity for savvy investors.

In addition, Wynn Resorts’ total liabilities amount to an eye-opening $14.19B, which is a clear indicator of leverage but also showcases the company’s scale and operations density. Balancing this, their capital stock stands at a modest $1.33M, showing a tightly managed equity structure.

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Market Insights and Speculative Performance

The recent news about Morgan Stanley upgrading Wynn Resorts’ rating to Overweight is quite the feather in their cap. The report highlighted not just Wynn’s low valuation, but also pointed out lucrative growth opportunities in the UAE and greater stability in Las Vegas. This is big news, and it suggests that there’s more at play here. Wynn’s UAE project details, which are eagerly anticipated, could be a game-changer. In the stock market, the buzz is real when reputable analysts push for targets like $104, especially when the stock is trading significantly lower.

But let’s not ignore the elephant in the room—Wynn Resorts had to pay up to settle a class-action lawsuit over allegations involving its founder. Specifically, the company agreed to a hefty $70M settlement to put this behind them. Yet, what’s intriguing is the market reaction: Wynn Resorts’ stock edged higher by 1.4% post announcement. This suggests that the market might have already priced in the worst, and the resolution could actually be seen as a step towards stability.

Despite a few downgrades such as Jefferies cutting the price target to $81 from $87, there’s still a silver lining. Analysts maintain a Hold rating, which, in layman terms, means they see the stock as neither a strong buy nor a sell but rather advise holding it for what might come next.

Further, Wynn Resorts revealed a major capital move—we’re talking an $800M private offering of 6.250% Senior Notes due 2033. The funds? They’ll help refinance existing debt and support general corporate ventures. Smart moves like these can relieve financial stress and open doors for future growth, which the market seems to appreciate.

Unveiling The Data-Driven Financial Arsenal

When dissecting the latest available data, consider how Wynn stock moved day to day. At its lowest, WYNN hit $83.76 on Sep 24, while it saw a high of $97.62 on Sep 27. The trend shows intermittent volatility but also potential growth, as reflected in the volume traded on these days. Given these movements, Wynn’s strategy shifts seem timely and well-aligned with broader market trends.

Digging into the financials, we see various key ratios providing intricate details of the company’s performance. Wynn’s EBIT margin of 17% implies operational efficiency, even amid tight competition. Their total assets clock in at around $13.28B, buoyed by substantial machinery and equipment. Receivables turnover indicates efficient credit management, rotating around 23.5 times.

The Balance Sheet tells many stories, with Wynn’s accumulated depreciation at around -$6.88B and long-term debt of $11.36B. This yardstick measures the company’s expansion and financial agility. Wynn’s path to leverage primarily revolves around effective debt management, indicated by their substantive interest coverage ratio of 2.5. This marks their capability to meet interest expenses using their operating income, hinting balance amidst debt-heavy operations.

In terms of profitability, the company’s EBIT margin anchors at 17%. This game’s balanced approach signifies that despite evident challenges, Wynn maintains considerable control over operational expenses. Moreover, the EBITDA margin of 26.5% solidifies its reputation. Although on the bumpy side, Wynn’s past financial stirrings and recent earnings reports reveal potential pockets of growth.

New Developments Reshaping Wynn’s Landscape

One of the month’s headliners was Morgan Stanley’s bold move to upgrade Wynn Resorts’ rating to Overweight. Setting a price target of $104, they pointed out Wynn’s low current valuation and promising opportunities in the UAE. This upbeat forward-looking analysis cannot be overstated, as it presents Wynn as a lucrative prospect for investors scanning the horizon for growth stories.

JPMorgan echoed this sentiment by maintaining their Overweight rating too, albeit with a slight adjustment in the price target to $101. They labeled Wynn stock as one of the lowest since 2006—an insight that serves as both a warning and a potential catapult if the market aligns with their growth premise.

Meanwhile, the net recent announcement of an $800M private offering of Senior Notes Due 2033 can be thought of as pulling vital strings in Wynn’s grand financial concert. These notes, essentially debt obligations secured by the company’s future, will replace older, more expensive debt—thus reducing interest burdens and freeing up necessary capital for future expansions and opportunities.

However, it’s not all rainbows and sunshine. Settling a $70M lawsuit related to past securities fraud allegations doesn’t sound grand but reflects the magnitude of responsibility that Wynn Resorts shoulders. With $9.4M coming directly out of Wynn’s coffers and insurance covering the rest, market observers have speculated if this is just the tip of the iceberg. Yet the uptick post announcement insinuates a sigh of relief, maybe even a path to rehabilitation in market perception.

Even with Jefferies stepping in to downgrade Wynn’s price target while maintaining a hold stance, it augments the delicate balancing act Wynn Resorts is performing. The investment community’s divided stance represents caution amid perceived opportunities.

 

Wynn and the Broader Market: Navigating Through Uncertainty

To wrap it up, Wynn Resorts indeed finds itself at an intriguing juncture. As witnessed, the price shifts reflect both the company’s underlying strength and market’s mixed sentiments. With multiple financial analysts weighing in with varied price targets, it’s essential to tread cautiously if contemplating an investment.

Despite the rocky path, there is a certain allure to Wynn Resorts stock that seasoned investors might find hard to resist. Strategic upgrades, significant debt restructuring, and settlements that pave the way for clearer skies—all of these factors signal a potential simmering pot of opportunity.

For those keeping a close eye on Wynn, considering both the bullish upgrades and bearish warnings will be key. Stay vigilant and weigh every angle—this is a narrative that’s bound to get more riveting with each passing quarter.

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Timothy Sykes

Tim Sykes is a penny stock trader and teacher who became a self-made millionaire by the age of 22 by trading $12,415 of bar mitzvah money. After becoming disenchanted with the hedge fund world, he established the Tim Sykes Trading Challenge to teach aspiring traders how to follow his trading strategies. He’s been featured in a variety of media outlets including CNN, Larry King, Steve Harvey, Forbes, Men’s Journal, and more. He’s also an active philanthropist and environmental activist, a co-founder of Karmagawa, and has donated millions of dollars to charity. Read More

* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

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Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”