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Barclays Drops a Surprising Bombshell On Polestar Q2 Report

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Written by Timothy Sykes
Reviewed by Jack Kellogg Fact-checked by Ellis Hobbs

Polestar Automotive Holding UK Limited is facing a challenging moment influenced by several significant news events. The most impactful is a disappointing quarterly update from the company, coupled with a broader market sentiment weighed down by operational challenges and financial concerns within the competitive automotive sector. Consequently, Polestar’s stocks are trading down by -7.76 percent on Friday.

The Wheels Are in Motion: Key Market Events Affecting PSNY

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  • Barclays highlights challenges for Polestar, including discounting on PS2, a CEO change, and concerns over cash flow for 2025, retaining an “Underweight” rating with a $1 price target.
  • Polestar’s Q2 financials show a narrowed operating loss of $242.3M, down from $273.6M last year, but revenue fell to $574.9M, missing the $642.8M expected by analysts.
  • Despite some internal shuffling, Polestar’s steep revenue decline suggests major hurdles for the company’s financial health.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update at 10:33:41 EST: On Friday, September 20, 2024 Polestar Automotive Holding UK Limited stock [NASDAQ: PSNY] is trending down by -7.76%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Financial Performance: What Do the Numbers Say?

Polestar’s recent earnings report unveiled a mixed bag. On the surface, the narrowed operating loss from $273.6M last year to $242.3M this year sounds positive. Yet, the revenue decline is a red flag. The revenue fell from $693.3M to $574.9M, far below Wall Street’s $642.8M expectations. Furthermore, as Barclays retained its “Underweight” rating and slashed the price target down to $1 reasons were manifold.

The shift in leadership saw new faces at the helm, which can often lead to instability. The PS2 discounts also hit harder than expected, leading to an immediate financial strain. Additionally, long-term uncertainty over cash flow by 2025 heavily influenced the pessimistic outlook.

The Numbers Behind the Story

Delving into the CSV data, PSNY’s stock price over several days echoed this tumultuous sentiment. From a high of $1.71 on 19 Sep 2024, the stock dipped to $1.47 by 20 Sep 2024. The intraday five-minute candle chart further paints the picture of volatility. At 12:05, the price hovered around $1.49, only to oscillate, showing uncertainty among investors.

Key ratios shed more light on the company’s standings. The enterprise value stood at $3.48 billion, coupled with a troubling leverage ratio of 3.3. Despite having revenue at $2.38 billion, the price-to-sales ratio of 1.45 indicates that recent sales haven’t translated well into shareholder value. Compounding this, Polestar’s return on assets was a poor -3.25%, while return on equity was -23.25%, painting a less than flattering picture of efficiency and profitability.

More Breaking News

Deciphering the Financial Reports: Intricacies and Takeaways

The latest financial reports decoded another layer of Polestar’s complexities. Assets stood at $4.12 billion, but with total liabilities rearing its head at $5.38 billion, it’s clear the company is heavily leveraged. Current assets measured at $2.27 billion juxtaposed against current liabilities of $3.52 billion, indicating a worrying lack in liquidity; a working capital deficit of -$1.25 billion accentuates this concern.

Additionally, their accumulated depreciation of $73.52 million and intangible assets at $1.41 billion, suggest heavy investment in non-tangible resources that may not yield immediate returns. Meanwhile, the finished goods inventory at $1.07 billion shows substantial stock, but whether this translates to sales remains questionable.

For instance, CEO changes can be like changing the driver in a speeding car—a minor tweak can save, or crash, the entire journey. In this case, Polestar’s strategic decisions, especially around discounting the PS2, were pivotal. The market responded to these financial instabilities with visible impacts on the stock prices.

Navigating the Upcoming Storm

Polestar’s challenges look daunting. Barclays’ “Underweight” rating and the slash to a $1 price target reflects widespread market skepticism. It’s like steering a ship through a storm: strong leadership and robust strategies are crucial.

The Summary

In essence, Polestar finds itself in a precarious situation. Despite making headway in reducing operating losses, the revenue shortfall coupled with immense market pressure calls for immediate strategic realignment. With an unpredictable few months ahead, investors remain on edge, versus taking a “wait-and-see” approach or completely selling off. The road might be bumpy, but Polestar needs every bit of traction it can gain.

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Timothy Sykes

Tim Sykes is a penny stock trader and teacher who became a self-made millionaire by the age of 22 by trading $12,415 of bar mitzvah money. After becoming disenchanted with the hedge fund world, he established the Tim Sykes Trading Challenge to teach aspiring traders how to follow his trading strategies. He’s been featured in a variety of media outlets including CNN, Larry King, Steve Harvey, Forbes, Men’s Journal, and more. He’s also an active philanthropist and environmental activist, a co-founder of Karmagawa, and has donated millions of dollars to charity. Read More

* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”