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Is It Too Late to Buy EDU Stock After The Latest Share Buyback Announcement?

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Written by Timothy Sykes
Reviewed by Jack Kellogg Fact-checked by Ellis Hobbs

New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. Sponsored ADR representing 10 (Cayman Islands) is seeing a significant market uplift, trading up by 14.92 percent on Thursday. This surge comes on the heels of optimistic news, including strong quarterly earnings and strategic advancements in their educational technology offerings. Market sentiment is bolstered by favorable reports, propelling investor confidence and contributing to the stock’s impressive performance.

  • EDU plans to buy back up to 16.5 million shares worth AU$1 million over the next year, with agreements already in place for 14.7 million shares.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update at 11:09:55 EST: On Thursday, September 26, 2024 New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. Sponsored ADR representing 10 (Cayman Islands) stock [NYSE: EDU] is trending up by 14.92%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Quick Overview of EDU’s Recent Earnings and Financial Metrics

EDU is one of those stocks that’s been on quite a journey lately. Imagine climbing a mountain where every ledge feels secure, but a random stone can still trip you up. In the world of EDU, that stone can be anything from market sentiment to financial metrics.

At first glance, EDU’s revenue numbers seem impressive. With $2.997B in revenue, you would think the company is rock solid. But let’s dig deeper. The revenue per share is around 18.33, and there’s been a drastic decline over the past three years by 27.16%. This fluctuating narrative adds layers to our understanding. Just like the tides, which come and go, EDU has experienced highs and lows in its financial journey.

Another critical metric to consider is the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, standing at 34.61. This suggests that investors are willing to pay $34.61 for every dollar of EDU’s earnings, indicating high expectations for future growth. The gross margin and EBIT margin are also missing from the data, leaving some gaps in the financial canvas we are painting here.

But financial health isn’t just about numbers on paper; it’s like the sturdy foundation of a house. For EDU, the total debt-to-equity ratio isn’t provided, but it’s crucial to look at the leverage ratio, which is 1.8. A higher leverage ratio means the company has used significant debt to finance its growth, which might be a double-edged sword.

Looking at the balance sheet, EDU has substantial assets, with total assets valued at around $6.392B. However, the company also has liabilities totaling $2.577B. Net PPE (Property, Plant, and Equipment) is valued at $363M, showing substantial investments in long-term assets that can drive future growth.

EDU’s Share Buyback and Its Impact

The recent announcement of EDU’s share buyback program is stirring up interest and questions in the market. Share buybacks can be a powerful signal of confidence by the management in the company’s future prospects. It’s like planting a flag that says, “We believe in our value.” The plan to buy back up to 16.5 million shares valued at AU$1 million over the next twelve months is substantial. They already have agreements in place for almost 14.7 million shares, underscoring how serious they are.

A share buyback also has a practical impact; it reduces the number of outstanding shares, which can lead to a higher EPS (Earnings Per Share). It’s like slicing a pizza into fewer pieces, making each slice a bit larger. For investors, this could imply higher returns on their investment down the line.

Financial Performance and Recent Trend Analysis

Now, let’s dive into the numbers provided from recent trading activities. Over the last several days, EDU has experienced fluctuating stock prices. For instance, the stock opened at 71.93 on Sep 26, 2024, and closed slightly lower at 71.49. Just a day earlier, the stock opened at 62.86 and closed at 62.21. This volatility may seem concerning, but it also provides opportunities for savvy traders.

But share price data alone can be misleading without context. For a clearer picture, consider the intraday 5-minute candles on Sep 26, 2024. The stock opened at 71.93 and had a high of 74.68, moving in a range that reflects investor sentiment and trading volume. These short-term movements can often be driven by trader behavior rather than long-term fundamentals.

The Bigger Picture: Why EDU is Still a Strong Contender

Let’s now steer the conversation towards the bigger picture. EDU’s involvement in the education sector gives it a unique edge. Just like a skilled tutor who understands each student’s needs, EDU has tailored its offerings to various educational demands. The combination of offline and online learning models provides flexibility and resilience, especially in uncertain times like the pandemic era we just went through.

Moreover, the education industry itself is like a fertile ground poised for tremendous growth. With increasing global emphasis on quality education and upskilling, EDU is well-positioned to tap into these trends. Their strong market presence and continuous innovation, such as integrating advanced technologies into their learning platforms, set them apart from many competitors.

Key Financial Ratios and What They Mean for Investors

We have already established that EDU’s P/E ratio is 34.61. Let’s juxtapose this with the enterprise value of approximately $10.17B. This hefty number suggests that the market holds a high opinion of EDU’s future cash flow generations. The enterprise value effectively measures a company’s total value by considering its market capitalization along with debt and minus any cash on hand.

Additionally, the company’s forward dividend yield hasn’t been specified, but its price-to-sales ratio of 7.44 is quite telling. This ratio indicates that investors are willing to pay $7.44 for every dollar of revenue the company generates. It’s a sign that the market is optimistic about EDU’s future revenue prospects.

Balancing the Risks and Rewards

Investing in EDU isn’t just about riding a current wave; it’s about evaluating potential risks and rewards. The substantial investments in goodwill and intangible assets, valued at $570M, point to the company’s strategic acquisitions and brand value. However, these also pose risks if they don’t generate the expected returns.

Another consideration is EDU’s significant non-current liabilities, totaling around $326.6M. These long-term debts require careful management to ensure that they don’t become a financial burden. Other factors, like the quick ratio and current ratio, even though not provided, would have shed light on EDU’s ability to meet its short-term obligations.

Why EDU Might Still Be a Good Buy

Given the recent developments and financial assessment, you might wonder if it’s too late to buy EDU stock. Picture it as a train leaving the station; it might have picked up some speed, but there are still plenty of opportunities to hop on. The share buyback program suggests the company believes its stock is undervalued, providing a hint that now might be a good time to consider investing.

Additionally, the growth potential in the education sector, strong market presence, and ongoing innovations make EDU a contender worth watching. While there are risks involved, as with any stock, the potential rewards seem promising.

In essence, EDU’s recent activities, financial health, and sector dynamics collectively paint a picture of an organization poised for growth. Whether you’re a seasoned trader or just starting out, EDU presents a case that’s hard to ignore.

So, is it too late to buy EDU stock? Based on the insights drawn, there seems to be plenty of room for growth, making it a potentially worthwhile addition to your portfolio. But, as always, stay informed and consider the risks alongside the rewards.

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Timothy Sykes

Tim Sykes is a penny stock trader and teacher who became a self-made millionaire by the age of 22 by trading $12,415 of bar mitzvah money. After becoming disenchanted with the hedge fund world, he established the Tim Sykes Trading Challenge to teach aspiring traders how to follow his trading strategies. He’s been featured in a variety of media outlets including CNN, Larry King, Steve Harvey, Forbes, Men’s Journal, and more. He’s also an active philanthropist and environmental activist, a co-founder of Karmagawa, and has donated millions of dollars to charity. Read More

* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”