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Is It Too Late to Buy Marathon Digital Stock After Bitcoin’s Surge?

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Written by Timothy Sykes
Reviewed by Jack Kellogg Fact-checked by Ellis Hobbs

On Wednesday, MARA Holdings Inc.’s stocks are trading up by 3.4 percent, driven by a significant rise in market optimism. The key factors behind this positive movement include robust quarterly earnings and a promising strategic partnership announcement. Investors are reacting favorably to this fresh wave of positive developments, reflecting strong confidence in the company’s growth trajectory.

  • Marathon Digital produced 673 bitcoin in August, marking an 11% increase in hash rate from July despite a slight decrease in BTC production and block wins. The company continues to expand its mining operations.
  • Top cryptocurrencies, led by Bitcoin, are witnessing a significant surge, positively impacting related stocks like COIN, MSTR, RIOT, and MARA. Bitcoin’s price soared above $63,000.
  • JPMorgan analyst Reginald Smith lowered the firm’s price target on Marathon Digital to $12 from $14 but maintains an Overweight rating. The price target was adjusted due to Q2 results and changes in the price of bitcoin and network hash rate.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update at 13:40:42 EST: On Wednesday, September 18, 2024 MARA Holdings Inc. stock [NASDAQ: MARA] is trending up by 3.4%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Quick Overview of Marathon Digital Holdings Inc.

Marathon Digital (NASDAQ: MARA) has been on a roller coaster ride lately, thanks to the recent surge in Bitcoin prices and the general uptick in the crypto market. Bitcoin blasted through the $60,000 barrier, like an athlete breaking a long-awaited record. One could almost feel the wind change as digital assets became the talk of the town.

The company’s Q2 earnings report painted a complex financial picture. Marathon Digital generated $145.14M in revenue, with an impressive revenue growth of 137.91% over three years. Yet, despite such strong revenue, they reported a net loss of $199.66M. It’s like having a high-powered engine but burning too much fuel. They have positive EBIT margins of 9.6%, but their net income remains negative. Profit margins tell the story—an EBIT margin of 65.1% stands tall, but a pretax profit margin of -31.4% reveals hidden strains.

From a valuation point, things get intriguing. With total assets at about $3.12B and an enterprise value nearing $4.76B, Marathon’s Price/Sales ratio hovers around 8.27. Compare this to their book value per share at 8.97, indicating a price-to-book ratio of 1.77. For investors, that’s a signal of a company rich in assets but currently undervalued by market standards.

Crypto’s Rising Tide:

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Q2 also saw a dip in Bitcoin mining production, with Marathon hitting 673 bitcoins mined in August. They continued to invest heavily in their mining operations, expanding capacity even though short-term output wobbled slightly. It’s a classic marathon, not a sprint scenario. The firm focused on increasing their hash rate, the computational power in bitcoin mining, emphasizing the long-term game.

Market Interpretation and Future Performance:

With Bitcoin surging above $63,000 and positive cryptocurrencies trends aiding stocks like COIN, MSTR, RIOT, and of course, MARA, the buoyant crypto market sentiment is infusing a fresh breath of optimism among investors. It’s not just Marathon’s mining vigor but the overall market momentum that looks promising. Bitcoin’s rise often serves as a rising tide that lifts many boats in the crypto stock universe.

Additionally, JPMorgan’s adjusted price target cuts provide a nuanced lens to see MARA. While the bar has been lowered to $12 from $14, the “Overweight” rating communicates subsequent confidence. The firm’s strategy intersects at long-term technological investment against the backdrop of an ever-evolving crypto landscape.

More Breaking News

Highs and Lows in Recent Trading Data

Analyzing recent trading data tells the unvarnished story. From mid-August to mid-September, Marathon’s stock showcased a spirited range of movements. For instance, on Aug 30, the stock opened at $17.23, touched a high of $17.27, before closing at $16.7. This was part of a broader trend where short-term highs followed longs. The tempo reflected market optimism surrounding bitcoin surges but also echoed caution following adjustment in analyst ratings.

Intraday trading data further elaborates the drama. On, say, Sept 18, Marathon’s shares fluctuated within the $15.49 – $16.58 range, ending up at $16.41. Micro movements like these, charted at 5-minute intervals, highlighted the existing market volatility but also shedding light on buying and selling pressures.

Marathon Digital Holdings’ Financial Health and Horizon

With $256.03M of cash on hand and total liabilities pegged at $474.5M, it implies a strong liquidity position bolstered by a current ratio of 3.6. Their financial muscle extends with a current equity foundation worth about $2.64B. However, the shadow of a net operating loss spans across crucial quarters, partly offset by solid asset turnover ratios.

Debt remains manageable with long-term debt under control at $346.45M, underlined by an interest coverage ratio of 73.4, indicating relatively low financial leverage. Yet, the pivot hinges on their ability to translate revenue growth into actual net earnings. With high market profile miners tying their fate to Bitcoin’s price, Marathon could sway based on the very pulse of digital currencies.

The Market Impact of Latest News

Marathon Digital’s latest headlines align with an intricate weave of bullish optimism and cautious recalibration. Their relentless focus on enhancing mining infrastructure, even in face of mid-term financial setbacks, is like planting seeds anticipating a rich harvest. As major cryptocurrencies, notably Bitcoin, broke fresh ground above $60,000, it sparked hope not just in holders but in miner stakeholders.

This optimism is palpably tied to wider adoption of crypto in mainstream finance, a trend persistently shaking traditional market avenues. The news circles are humming with the transformative potential, validating Marathon’s long-term strategy of emphasizing mining capacity and technological prowess to remain competitive. Against this backdrop, continued investor interest would revolve around how well they could manage their operational efficiencies in fluctuations and how Bitcoin’s market winds blow.

Analysts’ Take and Market Pulse

While JPMorgan’s downward price adjustment from $14 to $12 might appear glum, it pairs with an “Overweight” stance, signaling inherent strengths overlaid with transitional rough patches. Investors are urged to juggle between short-term trading opportunities and deeper, long-term value extraction. Essentially, Marathon’s financial spectacle spans beyond mere numbers, encapsulating intricate market dependencies ripe for meticulous dissection.

Final Verdict:

Stepping away from charts and figures, the tale Marathon Digital spins is one of unwavering ascent amidst market undulations. The confluence of surging Bitcoin prices, expanding technological capacity, and optimistic market forecasts portray a vibrant, if turbulent, financial tapestry. The pressing question isn’t just whether to buy Marathon’s stock — it’s about navigating the dual waves of digital currency evolution and a company’s strategic adaptation.

While cautious optimism roots the narrative, it’s the inherent volatility and transformative market phases that should guide the aspirational investor. Landing on the correct price hinges on aligning investment horizons with market momentum, enveloped in the rhythm of a rapidly maturing crypto ecosystem.

In summary, Marathon Digital illustrates a dynamic financial drama with potential crests and troughs. Like cryptographic phantoms, stock prices can intriguingly appear both as elusive risk and palpable opportunity. Staying attuned to market tides and pinpointing strategic entries may just help investors capture the next big wave, propelling from mindful speculation to rewarding engagements.

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Timothy Sykes

Tim Sykes is a penny stock trader and teacher who became a self-made millionaire by the age of 22 by trading $12,415 of bar mitzvah money. After becoming disenchanted with the hedge fund world, he established the Tim Sykes Trading Challenge to teach aspiring traders how to follow his trading strategies. He’s been featured in a variety of media outlets including CNN, Larry King, Steve Harvey, Forbes, Men’s Journal, and more. He’s also an active philanthropist and environmental activist, a co-founder of Karmagawa, and has donated millions of dollars to charity. Read More

* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”