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Is AST SpaceMobile’s Stock Ready to Skyrocket?

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Written by Timothy Sykes
Reviewed by Jack Kellogg Fact-checked by Ellis Hobbs

Is AST SpaceMobile’s Stock Ready to Skyrocket?

Excitement surrounds AST SpaceMobile Inc. as news of their successful test of satellite-based cell phone service revolutionizes communication expectations. Coupled with an optimistic analyst upgrade and strong investor enthusiasm, the stock is reflecting this positivity. On Friday, AST SpaceMobile Inc.’s stocks are trading up by 4.03 percent, signaling strong market confidence in the company’s future prospects.

Quick overview of recent events affecting AST SpaceMobile’s stock:

Candlestick Chart

Live Update at 13:26:43 EST: On Friday, September 27, 2024 AST SpaceMobile Inc. stock [NASDAQ: ASTS] is trending up by 4.03%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

  • The successful launch of AST SpaceMobile’s first five commercial satellites has marked a crucial milestone in their project to establish the world’s only space-based cellular network accessible directly by smartphones (Sep. 12, 2024).
  • B. Riley boosted its price target for AST SpaceMobile to $36 from $26 while reaffirming a Buy rating (Aug. 29, 2024).
  • Deutsche Bank increased their price target from $22 to $63, maintaining a Buy rating on AST SpaceMobile (Sep. 4, 2024).
  • AST SpaceMobile’s shares surged over 18% following the announcement of its planned launch of the first BlueBird satellites on Sep. 12 for beta testing by AT&T and Verizon (Sep. 4, 2024).

Recent Financial Performance: A Quick Look

AST SpaceMobile Inc. has been catching a lot of eyes lately, with its ambitious plans to dominate the cellular broadband market from space. The company’s financial metrics provide a deeper understanding of its position and future potential. Analyzing their earnings report for Q2 2024 reveals a complex picture, reflective of both immense spending and strategic investments.

On the revenue front, AST SpaceMobile generated $900,000. Now, this figure might seem small, given the hype surrounding their satellites, but let’s not be too quick to judge. The company is still ramping up and investing heavily in its infrastructure. These expenditures are evident in the $63.9M spent on total expenses, with a significant portion dedicated to general and administrative expenses, which tallied up to $39M.

When we consider profitability, the story gets intriguing. They reported a gross margin of 100%, but this does not tell the full story. With an operating income of -$62.99M and a net income loss of $72.55M, one might question the sustainability of this venture. However, let’s not forget, giants like Tesla and Amazon also treaded a similar path of high initial losses before swinging into massive profits.

Cash Flow: A Tale of Heavy Investing

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The cash flow data tells a gripping tale. The firm’s operating cash flow is in the negative, standing at -$16.15M, yet they have made significant investments with $22.2M tied in capital expenditures. These expenditures show a commitment to building a robust infrastructure that, once operational, could generate substantial revenue streams in the future.

Adding to this, AST SpaceMobile managed to boost its cash position by over $75.2M, finishing the period with $285.09M in cash and equivalents. The influx came from financial activities, mainly through a hefty $113.56M raised from financing activities, which included issuances of common stock and long-term debt. This shows a balanced approach in capital management aimed at long-term growth.

Key Ratios: Insights into Performance

  • Profitability Ratios: The EBIT and EBITDA margins are deeply negative at -20,429.4% and -14,653.9%, respectively. While these numbers are unsightly, they are not unexpected for a company in an aggressive expansion phase.
  • Valuation Measures: With an enterprise value of approximately $621.66M and a price-to-book ratio of 44.21, the market valuation shows bullish expectations. The price-to-sales ratio, however, is astronomically high at 4,585.48, reflecting the speculative nature of future earnings.
  • Financial Strength: The company boasts a favorable current ratio of 6.4 and a quick ratio of 5.8, indicating ample liquidity to cover short-term obligations. Their long-term debt is significant at $210.498M, underscored by a total debt-to-equity ratio of 1.46.
  • Management Effectiveness: Figures like the return on equity (-52.39%) and return on assets (-12.14%) are in the red. However, they are early indicators of current inefficiencies that might stabilize once the company’s core services start generating revenue.

More Breaking News

Price Performance Insights

Let’s dive into ASTS’s stock price movements. Recent multi-day chart data reveals interesting trends:

  • Sep. 27, 2024: The stock opened at $23.15 and closed higher at $24.81, pointing towards a positive sentiment and possible confidence buildup among the investors.
  • Sep. 26, 2024: Although the day began with an opening price of $24.63 and experienced volatility, ending at $23.83, it shows market fluctuations are normal without dire impact.
  • Sep. 25, 2024: The stock fluctuated, opening at $25.80 and closing at $24.39, again highlighting an investor temperament willing to weather short-term volatility for long-term gains.

Background Check: Recent News and Stock Movement

  1. Commercial Satellites Launch: AST SpaceMobile’s announcement of successfully launching their first five commercial satellites marks a transformative step in creating a space-based cellular broadband network, a technological leap forward that positions them as innovators.

  2. Analyst Confidence: B. Riley raising the price target to $36 from $26, and Deutsche Bank’s even more optimistic bump to $63 from $22, showcases significant faith from major financial institutions. They clearly see strong long-term potential and profitable returns post the initial turbulent investment phase.

  3. Surge in Shares: The surge of over 18% following their announcement on Sep. 4 not only drew investor interest but also confirmed market confidence in their ambitious plans, particularly their readiness to beta test with giants like AT&T and Verizon.

  4. Strategic Partnerships: Their partnership with AT&T and Verizon for beta testing indicates robust strategic alliances and an entryway into retail communications markets, which are crucial for early revenue generation.

The Impact on Stock Movement: An Insightful Breakdown

Launch Milestones and Market Excitement:

Launching their first five commercial satellites signaled a pinnacle of achievement for AST SpaceMobile. The market’s reaction was a cocktail of enthusiasm and speculative feeding frenzy. Picture an investor as a spectator at a grand unveiling; the curtain rises, and there they are – the first glimpses into a revolutionary space-based cellular network. The stock price experienced heightened interest proven by the closing price on Sep. 27, 2024, of $24.81, compared to its open price of $23.15.

Analysts’ Bullish Sentiment:

Analysts playing fortune tellers have bestowed optimistic outlooks. B. Riley upgrading their price target to $36 and Deutsche Bank’s dramatic leap to $63 exudes a vote of confidence that cannot be overlooked. Investors are not just watering a seed; they’re anticipating a towering sequoia. Through this lens, AST SpaceMobile is deemed a high-stakes bet with the potential for towering returns, mirroring the past trajectories of companies which have weathered their share of initial turbulence.

Investors’ Confidence in Strategic Partnerships:

Strategic partnerships, especially with industry behemoths like AT&T and Verizon, enrich the narrative. These collaborations paint a promising future and cultivate trust among potential stakeholders. While stock prices dance to the tune of press releases, such alliances lend a rhythm reassuring investors of steady steps toward commercial viability.

Key Financial Metrics and Ratios:

Navigating through ASTS’s financial labyrinth unveils critical insights. Despite daunting metrics like a -52.39% return on equity, the market’s reception of their financial story intertwines with hope and speculative maturity. Their cash-rich status at $285.09M insinuates they are well-prepared to weather financial storms and fund their expansion radiantly.

What Lies Ahead: Stock Predictions and Impactful Stories

From the dynamic announcements to powerful partnerships, AST SpaceMobile is shaping up as a powerhouse in the cellular communications arena. Here’s what one could anticipate from their stock:

  1. Short-Term Volatility, Long-Term Growth: With ambiguity in immediate gains, short-term investors might experience jittery fluctuations. However, long-term holders could find the propitious moment ideal, especially seeing how strategic alignments have historically translated into substantial worth.

  2. Strategic Acquisitions and Partnerships: Future announcements of collaborations or acquisitions similar to their current initiatives could continue driving positive market movement. Each announcement can be seen as another brick in the castle, solidifying their futuristic vision.

  3. Retail Market Penetration: As beta testing proceeds with AT&T and Verizon, any positive feedback or expansion could catalyze soaring stock prices. Investors will keep a keen eye on these developments, associating tangible progress with market performance.

The Financial Horizon: Conclusion:

In wrapping up, AST SpaceMobile sits at a fascinating crossroad. The triumphant satellite launch, coupled with financial muscle demonstrated through strategic investments and partnerships, illuminates their path to potentially lucrative horizons. As the stock breaches new territories, one thing becomes apparent – this isn’t just a sprint for rapid gains but a marathon demanding patience and foresight.

Astute investors, akin to expert chess players, may choose to weather the initial gridlocks, anticipating monumental rewards lying in the company’s growth trajectory. ASTS’s stock might wobble with the winds of market skepticism, but anchored firmly in strategic advances, it’s poised to sail the tumultuous currents of the stock market toward visionary aims.

Rolling Summary: Analyzing ASTS’s Stock Trends

As the spotlight turns to AST SpaceMobile, the awe-inspiring ventures and strategic engineering exemplify a company on the brink of revolutionizing cellular communications. Financial reviews indicate a dynamic journey fraught with profound investments and robust market strategies, laying grounds for potential astronomical gains.

Investors currently face a poignant moment – one replete with volatility but rich in long-term promise. As the market reacts to every shred of news and partnership deals, AST SpaceMobile could be etching its name among future telecommunications titans. Time, patience, and strategic investments hold the keys to unlocking this stock’s vast potential.

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Timothy Sykes

Tim Sykes is a penny stock trader and teacher who became a self-made millionaire by the age of 22 by trading $12,415 of bar mitzvah money. After becoming disenchanted with the hedge fund world, he established the Tim Sykes Trading Challenge to teach aspiring traders how to follow his trading strategies. He’s been featured in a variety of media outlets including CNN, Larry King, Steve Harvey, Forbes, Men’s Journal, and more. He’s also an active philanthropist and environmental activist, a co-founder of Karmagawa, and has donated millions of dollars to charity. Read More

* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

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Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”