timothy sykes logo

Penny Stocks News

Why I Was Dead Wrong With This Trade

Timothy SykesAvatar
Written by Timothy Sykes
Updated 3/8/2023 6 min read

Have you ever had a trade that left you feeling sick to your stomach?

It’s a feeling everyone will experience throughout their trading journey, but what sets successful traders apart from those who aren’t is how they handle these types of losses.

I’ll be the first to admit that I was dead wrong with a trade on Tuesday…

And it could’ve been a devastating blow to my confidence.

But instead of dwelling on the negative, I turned it into something positive for me and my students to learn from.

This trade made me realize I was heading down the wrong path, a path I typically don’t go down…

So today, I want to share with you how I was so dead wrong with this trade and what I’ve learned…

And what you can do to prevent a catastrophic mistake if you get stuck in a position like this.

Let’s dive in…

Follow The Process

It’s easy to drift away from your game plan once you start to get frustrated with your trades.

Let’s face it, having one losing trade after another, you start to let your guard down…

And at this point, you may become so desperate for any win, so you’re content with trading any stock that comes your way.

Ignoring key indicators you know you should be focusing on, simply hoping to get back to even.

That’s how I felt on Tuesday.

The other day, you may remember me talking about American Battery Technology Company (OTC: ABML) and how I was dead on with that trade…

But I was just a little too early for the party.

And that frustration boiled over to my most recent trade on Discount Print USA, Inc. (OTC: DPUI)

With this trade, I was just dead wrong…

There is no other way to put it.

In fact, there was nothing good about this trade and I saw that, and knew that…

But yet, I didn’t trade it once, but twice, in hopes to offset my recent losses.

After reviewing this trade, there are three key things I learned from my stupidity…

1) Looking back at the chart 

Post image

Get my weekly watchlist, free

Sign up to jump start your trading education!

Every trader needs to look back at multiple time frames, it’s one of the most important lessons that I teach.  

Take a look at the three-year chart for DPUI…

What do you see?

Absolutely nothing.

There was no reason why I should’ve been confident in this stock based on its chart pattern over the last few years…

It was simply just a misjudgment on my part.

This stock has proven no credibility over the years, it wasn’t a former Supernova…

And it hasn’t spiked at all, even when there were other catalysts.

But based on this most recent news, I figured I might as well give it a whirl.

So at first, I didn’t see anything great with my initial trade as the stock started to phase…

But then, I thought to myself, it might go up…

So I decided to do this. 

2) Don’t size up your trade without a reason

If you are ever in a choppy stock, like DPUI, you don’t want to increase your position size the next time around.

Some traders think they need to hold and size up their trade if the stock drops a little because it has to bounce.

Holding and hoping for a stock to move in your favor is not smart.

Adding additional size doesn’t fix the problem, understanding how the process works will help you fix the problem quicker than just hoping to double up and win…

If that is your approach, eventually you’re going to get caught with your hand in the cookie jar and the stock is just going to tank.

When I tend to suffer from a few losses in a row, I know I need to cut my position size down and give myself a chance to regroup…

Try to decompress a little and get my emotions back in line before I make my next trade.

Not to do what I did with this trade.

We need to remember the market is constantly changing and what worked one day may not work the next.

We need to remember to adapt to what the market gives us, and just simply sizing up on a trade that’s dead isn’t the right approach.

Losses are ok, it’s all part of the game, but as long as you manage them and take quick profits.

Don’t add unnecessary losses to your account, and if you do have a losing trade, make sure you do this…

3) Cut Losses Quickly

The only positive thing that came out of this trade was that I was able to cut losses quickly…

If I didn’t, it would’ve just been a bigger disaster for me, especially since I decided to increase my position size just a few minutes after my initial trade.

Take a look at the chart…

DPUI chart 1-minute candles | (Risked $4,389.50 in capital)

I entered the trade at $0.0082 and $0.008 and lost $769 on this trade.

Nothing but a constant downtrend after its initial spike early in the morning.

Usually, when you are focusing on a big percent gainer in the morning, there are a lot of questions that need to be answered before you determine your next move.

My thought process was there, but the way that I handled the situation by entering back into the trade and sizing up in hopes to negate my losses was the completely wrong approach.

There will be times when a trade will never work out as planned, so it’s important to always remember my #1 rule.

Final Thoughts

Reviewing my previous trades reminded me I need to be more patient.

Penny stocks have been weak lately, but that doesn’t mean there aren’t plenty of opportunities out there…

You just need to wait for the perfect setup.

As the week is almost over with, I am looking to end the week on a high note…

So stay prepared, be disciplined, and don’t double up your trades in hopes to get back to even!

There is always a next time, as long as you cut losses quickly!

-Tim


How much has this post helped you?


Leave a reply


Author card Timothy Sykes picture

Timothy Sykes

Tim Sykes is a penny stock trader and teacher who became a self-made millionaire by the age of 22 by trading $12,415 of bar mitzvah money. After becoming disenchanted with the hedge fund world, he established the Tim Sykes Trading Challenge to teach aspiring traders how to follow his trading strategies. He’s been featured in a variety of media outlets including CNN, Larry King, Steve Harvey, Forbes, Men’s Journal, and more. He’s also an active philanthropist and environmental activist, a co-founder of Karmagawa, and has donated millions of dollars to charity. Read More

Post image

Get my weekly watchlist, free

Sign up to jump start your trading education!

* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”