timothy sykes logo

Penny Stocks News

Why I Am Finally Confessing About This Mistake

Timothy SykesAvatar
Written by Timothy Sykes
Updated 3/16/2023 6 min read

Confessing something is never easy, and I must admit that I’m feeling quite annoyed with myself over one of my trades.

For the past few weeks, I’ve been overtrading in a weak market…

And it’s frustrating knowing that the time and effort I put in resulted in a negative gain.

This is a very common question that newer traders often ask…

However, it’s not the lack of opportunities in this market that caused me to lose money…

It was simply the lack of discipline and entering trades when I shouldn’t have.

Trying too hard can backfire, and that’s precisely what’s been happening to me.

So today, I am going to show you how lacking discipline can create negative results…

And what I am planning to do to shift my outlook to kick start next week in high gear!

 

Lack Of Discipline

Lacking discipline can be very devastating for any trader…

One wrong move and you could be finding yourself in a situation you don’t want to be in.

Looking back at my recent trades for the month of March, it’s clear that I haven’t been as disciplined as I usually am with my trades.

Take a look…

You can see all of my trades right here

 

Overtrading can cripple your account, and this could’ve gotten completely out of hand if I didn’t follow my #1 rule.

Knowing the overall situation of the market, you can’t force any trades that aren’t there.

It’s important to know when to apply the pressure, and when you should scale back a bit realizing that the market isn’t as hot like previous months…

But when you are trying too hard to profit, you get fixated on certain trades and usually, you enter them too early.

Over the last week, we’ve all heard how some banks collapsed, and how others are starting to feel some pressure…

But that’s not the reason why I am down this month.

There are plenty of trading opportunities out there, but sitting in front of my computer as much as I have been lately had caused me to force unwanted trades…

And I know I need to be better disciplined and focus on better setups.

Let’s take a look at one of my most recent trades where I completely lacked discipline and how what a potentially profitable trade…

Resulted in an unfortunate loss.

Trading Too Early

American Battery Technology Company (OTC: ABML)

Post image

Get my weekly watchlist, free

Sign up to jump start your trading education!

Earlier this week, I broke down every inch of this trade for all of my students, showing them how dumb my approach was with this trade.

Let’s take a look at the chart over the last few days…

You can clearly see on the left the stock was a multiday runner with a solid uptrend

It’s all part of my 7-step penny stocking framework that all of you need to master.

Multiday runners can give you some of the most predictable setups to find these dip-buying opportunities…

And a lot of these plays all start by becoming a big percent gainer.

When a stock runs for several days, you should be watching to see if it panics…

And looking at this chart, it double topped near the $1.40 mark, the stock finally panicked that evening…

Into the next morning, creating the perfect morning panic opportunity for traders to capitalize on.

Now let’s take a look at VeeMost Technologies Holdings, Inc. (OTC: GDVM) and how it panicked after a multiday run…

This is why I teach, it’s important for you to recognize how these patterns can be so predictable…

You just need to know how to spot them and patiently wait for them to panic.

Unfortunately, that’s not what I did with ABML…

Take a look.

ABML has had three red days in a row…

And I was thinking, you rarely have a 4th red day in a row, it’s got to bounce.

Wrong.

In fact, I traded it twice, and both trades resulted in a loss.

There was no reason why I should’ve traded it when I did…

I was just buying just to buy and mainly because my mind was thinking about Epazz, Inc. (OTC: EPAZ)

Look at this chart, it has 3 red days then had a 70% bounce – pretty amazing in an ugly market.

I did really well with this trade, I waited for it to break below a key level of $0.01, then I entered.

But as for ABML, I was just simply thinking I don’t want to miss it…

FOMO at its finest, because I didn’t expect it to drop the way it was, I was thinking it to bounce like EPAZ.

When I am disciplined and locked in with my trades, I am always looking back at the history of the chart…

And with ABML, I didn’t.

If you look back at the chart there is a solid support and I should’ve realized it.

When the stock had its initial run-up, it broke through a previous resistance level…

And that’s the spot I should’ve realized to dip-buy, not on the way down when it broke through its previous level at $1.00

This is why I am so proud of my students, they understand the importance of identifying these key levels and most of them nailed this trade.

This shows you why you need to stay disciplined and take the time to fully review your trades before entering.

Final Thoughts

This was just stupid trading, but after reviewing my trades, I learned from my mistakes.

This market is still giving us opportunities…

You just need to be disciplined, have patience, and learn from my mistakes so you don’t make the same ones!

I will be looking to limit my number of trades next week to 1-2 a day to allow me to focus only on the best setups.

See you here next week!

Cheers,

-Tim


How much has this post helped you?


Leave a reply


Author card Timothy Sykes picture

Timothy Sykes

Tim Sykes is a penny stock trader and teacher who became a self-made millionaire by the age of 22 by trading $12,415 of bar mitzvah money. After becoming disenchanted with the hedge fund world, he established the Tim Sykes Trading Challenge to teach aspiring traders how to follow his trading strategies. He’s been featured in a variety of media outlets including CNN, Larry King, Steve Harvey, Forbes, Men’s Journal, and more. He’s also an active philanthropist and environmental activist, a co-founder of Karmagawa, and has donated millions of dollars to charity. Read More

Post image

Get my weekly watchlist, free

Sign up to jump start your trading education!

* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”