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Why $CGRA Was a Dip Buy on Monday

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Written by Timothy Sykes
Updated 12/7/2022 6 min read

No one wants to spend hours looking for high-quality setups.

Otherwise, you’ve gotta keep a schedule like Dwayne Johnson and start your day at 4 a.m.

I’d rather let someone else do the heavy lifting for me.

That’s why nearly every trade I find starts with our StocksToTrade Breaking News Chat Room.

I’m not just hawking this for my own benefit.

This room SAVES me so much time by delivering stock-moving headlines, their context, and web links as they happen.

They’re the ones that put me on to CGrowth Capital Inc. (OTC: CGRA) when they alerted me to this tweet midday on November 29:

That gave me the idea for my Weekend Trader, which netted some nice profits.

But you know all about that from Monday’s blog post.

What I want to talk about today is the dip buying opportunity that developed on Monday.

While I was on a plane from Paris to Bali, with no wifi, CGRA went from up 100% to almost flat.

This created the PERFECT trade opportunity, and I want to show you why.

So, next time you come across a stock that fits into this framework, you know precisely what to look for and what to do.

The Background

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As I mentioned earlier, CGRA landed on my radar after Breaking News alerted me to the tweet they posted.

Now, the stock was already bullish when you look back over the last few weeks.

Looking at the daily chart below, you’ll notice CGRA started climbing as far back as October.

Volume had been building for nearly two months.

Just a few days before Friday’s move, price action heated up even more, with shares breaking out of their trading range on heavy volume.

So, when the tweet dropped on Friday, I suspected we’d get followthrough that led into Monday.

That said, I was cautious.

My 7-Step Penny Stock Framework spells out the lifecycle all Supernovas go through.

And I knew that there was a potential for a pullback shortly.

That’s where things stood on Monday.

Monday’s Dip Buy

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To be fully transparent, I sold early on Monday and missed out on some huge gains.

After the stock gapped up, I wanted to lock in my gains…

And then it jumped 100%!

Friday’s close came in at $0.08.

Monday’s open landed at $0.095.

Within the first 30 minutes, shares catapulted to $0.162.

Now, the initial pullback came into $0.12.

To me, that’s not enough of a drop to warrant a dip buy.

Plus, it had very little volume.

The next one happened just after 1:00 p.m. when shares dropped from $0.155 to $0.115.

Again, that’s just not enough of a drop.

Remember, this stock jumped $0.08 from the prior day’s close.

$0.03 just doesn’t cut it.

But, when shares dropped all the way down to $0.095, things got interesting.

This one was a bit tricky, but definitely possible to turn into a long trade.

The first spot that stands out is the initial drop that bottomed out around $0.095.

That’s when volume really spiked and the stock came back to its open.

Ideally, I want to step in there or even wait for a bit more confirmation.

But keep in mind that these can rebound quickly.

That first candle after the last large red one jumped all the way back to $0.105.

Coming off $0.095, that’s a full 10% move.

Shares popped just shy of $0.11, so there was enough profit to be had.

Now, I want to take you a little further and look at the high volume green candlestick that occurred a few minutes later.

Normally, that would signal a reversal.

However, it didn’t happen after a major drop.

Instead, shares traded sideways for a little bit before that volume hit.

So, while it could have been a reversal, it didn’t align correctly.

Let’s say I did get in around $0.10 or so off that major drop.

I would have been able to lock in a 5% profit without much of a problem.

Going for 10%-20% could have been tricky.

In all likelihood, I would have dropped the trade for a small profit since it didn’t continue pushing higher off that low point.

You see, I don’t just cut losses quickly, I also want my trades to work the way I want.

Dip buys off a 50% drop should bounce hard and fast.

If it takes too long, I pull the plug.

As you learn, don’t be afraid to lock in profits early.

Eventually, you’ll get a feel for these things and begin to expand your winners.


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Timothy Sykes

Tim Sykes is a penny stock trader and teacher who became a self-made millionaire by the age of 22 by trading $12,415 of bar mitzvah money. After becoming disenchanted with the hedge fund world, he established the Tim Sykes Trading Challenge to teach aspiring traders how to follow his trading strategies. He’s been featured in a variety of media outlets including CNN, Larry King, Steve Harvey, Forbes, Men’s Journal, and more. He’s also an active philanthropist and environmental activist, a co-founder of Karmagawa, and has donated millions of dollars to charity. Read More

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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”