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Patterns To Watch

The Best Trading Pattern? 9 Lessons Why…

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Written by Timothy Sykes
Updated 1/24/2023 15 min read

I think this is the best trading pattern. I’ve seen this SAME pattern hundreds of times over the past two decades. And for me, it’s the BEST TRADING PATTERN. It’s my favorite trading pattern because it’s been predictable for me. It blows my mind that so many people aren’t taking advantage of it.

I want you to truly understand it. So I’ll break it down — again — in nine lessons. Let’s do this.

Lessons from CytoDyn Inc (OTCQB: CYDY) Perfect Morning Panic

On June 30, CYDY had a near PERFECT morning panic and bounce. But it isn’t just the panic that makes this the best trading pattern. It’s the entire sequence of a multi-day run-up, panic selling as stop losses get taken out, and a big bounce.

So first, check out this 10-day CYDY chart to get an idea of the stock’s gradual uptrend leading to the panic:

CYDY chart: 10-Day, June 19-July 2 2020, perfect morning panic pattern — courtesy of StocksToTrade.com

I was buying this in the $3s and selling it right around $4 on June 22. So I underestimated it. But — and this is key — it was on my watchlist for days. Why? I was waiting for the big crack because it’s my favorite pattern. Get access to my no-cost weekly watchlist here.

When I see a stock run for multiple days, slowly and consistently trending up … I prepare for a panic. The question isn’t if it will happen, but when and by how much? Keep reading and I’ll explain…

This Is the Pattern, This Is the Play

My students and I nailed this. A lot of my top students nailed it on the short side. I nailed it on the bounce along with several other students. The question is … why did we nail it?*

Answer: The same reason I consider it the best trading pattern. Because it’s one of the most predictable — if you’re prepared.

We’re not just finding money on the sidewalk. We’re waiting for the big panic. Some students shorted the big crack. I dip bought the bounce.

*Please note: My results, along with the results of my top students are far from typical. Individual results will vary. Most traders lose money. My top students and I have the benefit of many years of hard work and dedication under our belts. Trading is inherently risky. Do your due diligence and never risk more than you can afford to lose.

The CYDY Panic By the Numbers

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Now check out the CYDY intraday chart from June 30:

CYDY stock chart on June 30
CYDY chart: June 30 intraday, 1-minute candle, best trading pattern — courtesy of StocksToTrade.com

This represents the #4 and #5 patterns from my “Pennystocking Framework.” If you’ve watched the DVD you should know it. But just in case … I want you to get this. Check out the video below…

Watch This Video About Morning Panics

It’s the exact same pattern. That video is three years old. I’ve been talking about this pattern for years.

Want another example? Tim Grittani, Matt Monaco, and a few others said CYDY looked a lot like another big panic from a few years ago.

Check out the chart of CV Sciences Inc (OTCQB: CVSI) from 2018:

CVSI 6 month stock chart
CVSI chart: April to October 2018, daily candle — best trading pattern — courtesy of StocksToTrade.com

Now take a look at the CYDY six-month chart. Pay attention to the similarities…

CYDY 6 month chart
CYDY chart: 6-month, daily candle — courtesy of StocksToTrade.com

Study those charts. As you go through these lessons, keep referring back to them. This is so important because…

Too Many People Were Unprepared

With CYDY, too many students were unprepared. If you’re a Trading Challenge student, use this lesson. Make sure you never miss the best trading pattern again. I’ve seen this pattern so many times. I’ve made video lessons about it, free YouTube videos about it, blog posts about it…

And…

I was commenting on this stock for DAYS before the crack.

Lesson #1: You Have Time to Prepare

How? You have the time to prepare for plays like CYDY because of posts like this from three years ago…

Try This Every Morning to Improve Your Mindset for Trading

This play doesn’t just pop up out of the blue. In this case, you had seven days to prepare before the big crash. So heed this lesson well: prepare, prepare, prepare. This pattern WILL happen again. I don’t know when and I don’t know the stock. But it’ll happen.

This isn’t even the first time this year…

Check out this Decision Diagnostics (CVEM: DECN) chart from April 23:

DECN stock chart
DECN chart: April 22–23, 1-minute candle, best trading pattern — courtesy of StocksToTrade.com

The DECN run-up wasn’t quite as beautiful as CYDY, but you still had several days to watch and prepare.

Lesson #2: Sometimes It’s Quick

The CYDY panic was quick. The stock went from $9.50 to the high $4s in 13 minutes. Sometimes it happens inside of 10 minutes. You have to be quick. Which means you have to be prepared.

Lesson #3: If You Witnessed It, You Won

This is crucial. It doesn’t matter if you missed the best trading pattern this time. It doesn’t matter if you’re short-biased and couldn’t find shares. Or long-biased and sold too soon. It doesn’t matter if you wanted to dip buy it or got a partial position on it.

None of that matters as long as you witnessed it. Why? Because you’re building your knowledge account. All my top students have to see this pattern more than once before they nail it. That’s why Grittani was stalking CYDY for days … He remembered CVSI.

Be sure to read the upcoming post with lessons learned from Grittani’s webinar. He went into detail about his $270K plus win on CYDY.* I took notes.

(Note: Grittani’s results are NOT typical. Most traders lose. Always remember trading is risky, and never risk more than you can afford.) 

Lesson #4: The Pattern Will Happen Again

Again, I’ve seen it hundreds of times. I don’t predict the market or stocks.  But I watch, wait, and trade like a sniper when my patterns come up. It could be next week, or it could be months.

I don’t know…

But I do think it will happen again. I can only share my experience. I could be wrong. In my opinion, this pattern will happen again.

Lesson #5: The Pattern Is STILL Perfectly Valid

I’ve been linking to a blog post that’s over a decade old. It’s the same pattern, and it’s still crazy after all these years. I know there’s no magic pattern. But if there was a magic pattern, this would be it.

The Seemingly Unchanging Million Dollar Profit Stock Market Pattern

It’s crazy to me that I link to this post and people still don’t study it. It’s the same morning panic pattern. Everything else I do, every other pattern I trade, is secondary to this.

The Secret to My Wealth

On days like June 30, I want to scream at the top of my lungs. It was all I could do to not throw my laptop. This pattern has been happening for two decades. And even though I’ve changed how I trade it, it doesn’t change the fact that the pattern keeps happening.

I recognize that I’m probably a better teacher than a trader. I don’t have the patience to hold stocks through the big run-ups. But you’ll find that I’m often in the right place.

What I want you to understand is that I don’t trade for myself. When I trade, I’m doing video lessons, commentary, watchlists, and webinars. It’s not the best-case scenario for me as a trader. My priority is teaching.

And one thing I teach is…

Lesson #6: The Pattern Works in All Markets

Not every day. Not every stock. But it happens whether the market’s up or down.

What makes me most proud is that SO MANY of my top students did better than me on CYDY. Which is proof that it’s NOT just me. I’m not that smart. It’s these patterns and setups that are so good. And I’m pumped that more and more people are beginning to utilize them.

Lesson #7: If You Trade Scared, Trading Isn’t Scary

I try to take safe trades that I think students can do, too. This is part of the reason why I don’t short sell anymore. Because a lot of short sellers are getting crushed. Their risk is too big. They have to average up and pay locate fees. They have to have special brokers. There are a lot of issues with it.

So I take low-risk trades, but I also trade scared. With CYDY I added to my position — and acknowledged that it was risky. But I was ready to cut losses quickly. Then I sold WAY too soon.

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But it’s better to trade scared with a solid win, than fearless with a big loss. Remember, hold and hope is NOT a strategy. Which brings me to the next key piece of information you need…

Dissociate Yourself From the BS

Again, I believe this is the best trading pattern. And I think it will keep happening.  But you need to be careful.

If a stock’s upward trend looks too perfect or too good to be true … it is. Something is making the stock move that way. And too often it’s getting pumped. So…

Lesson #8: Stay Away From the Pumpers

They can hype it however they want. They can twist it and make it look amazing. In reality, it’s not.

That’s what happens with these stocks. When you see a stock run like that, it’s tempting to buy into the hype. But I’ve learned to expect the worst out of every penny stock and every penny stock company.

Never, ever fall for…

Lesson #9: Hopes, Dreams, and Bad Research

CYDY’s run wasn’t about the company’s coronavirus drug. There are longs and Twitter pumpers defending CYDY. “Tim, this drug will cure coronavirus. Have you SEEN the test results?”

I don’t care. It’s my pattern. It’s the best trading pattern (in my opinion).

Then you have people prone to believing conspiracy theories…

Who’s promoting? Who’s gonna try to short this? What’s going on with their drug? Is it even real?” 

I don’t know. I’m just a pattern recognition trader. Pattern is one of seven indicators I use to trade. But this pattern requires you to understand all the indicators to trade it well.

My question to you is this…

How Many Times Do YOU Need to See It?

How many opportunities do you have to see it before you realize that these patterns will come again?

Study the charts in this post and the linked morning panic posts. Read my post about how I called the DECN panic the day before it happened. History will teach you what you need to know.

I say it all the time … I’m a glorified history teacher. But the history I teach has the potential to set you free. Which is why I want to share the…

Trading Challenge

OK, maybe you’ve heard my pitch before. But did you trade CYDY on June 30? Were you ready?

If you’re not in the Trading Challenge, apply HERE. Only apply if you’re dedicated and want to become a self-sufficient trader. If you just want hot stock picks, there are promoters throwing around BS research.

Congratulations to so many students who did well both long and short. It takes a lot of studying the past to get prepared for plays like CYDY on June 30. Here are just a few comments from students who verify their trades on Profit.ly…

traderramp: “Beautiful, nothing to say. A lesson to remember!” See the trade here.

hernandez93: “GORGEOUS DIP BUY DIPPED MORE THAT 50 PERCENT!!!! I STILL SOLD TOO EARLY.” See the trade here.

emiliooo: “sold way too soon but insane trade wowwwww.” See the trade here.

DocBrian: “Dip buy on perfect pattern. Big ty to Tim for calling it out in chat. Reminded me alot of $DECN so I sized up majorly and took profits on the way. Flatted at 6.11 but I actually suspected it would go to 7 or higher as $DECN also rose at least halfway back to its intraday high iirc (and cydy did just that).” See the trade here.

kroyrunner: “including morning papercuts shorting early, +$223k on $CYDY so far today.” See kroyrunner’s trades here.

Please note: Students’ results are far from typical. Individual results will vary. Most traders lose money. My students and I have the benefit of many years of hard work and dedication. Trading is inherently risky. Do your due diligence and never risk more than you can afford to lose.

What do you think of the best trading pattern that obliterates everything else? Comment below, I love to hear from all my readers. 


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Author card Timothy Sykes picture

Timothy Sykes

Tim Sykes is a penny stock trader and teacher who became a self-made millionaire by the age of 22 by trading $12,415 of bar mitzvah money. After becoming disenchanted with the hedge fund world, he established the Tim Sykes Trading Challenge to teach aspiring traders how to follow his trading strategies. He’s been featured in a variety of media outlets including CNN, Larry King, Steve Harvey, Forbes, Men’s Journal, and more. He’s also an active philanthropist and environmental activist, a co-founder of Karmagawa, and has donated millions of dollars to charity. Read More

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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”