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Is It Too Late to Buy Wynn Resorts Stock?

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Written by Timothy Sykes
Reviewed by Jack Kellogg Fact-checked by Ellis Hobbs

Is It Too Late to Buy Wynn Resorts Stock?

Wynn Resorts Limited’s market performance received a significant boost on Friday, trading up by 6.57 percent. Key drivers include positive shifts in travel restrictions and substantial tourist inflows boosting the Macau gaming sector, wherein Wynn holds a considerable stake. These developments have fostered investor confidence, leading to notable price movement in favor of Wynn Resorts Limited.

  • Morgan Stanley upgraded Wynn Resorts to Overweight from Equal Weight, with a new price target of $104. This move reflects Wynn’s growth potential in UAE and greater stability in Las Vegas.
  • Wynn Resorts announced a private offering of $800 million Senior Notes due 2033, intended for redeeming older notes and general corporate expenses.
  • Wynn agreed to pay $70M to settle a class-action lawsuit regarding securities fraud linked to founder Steve Wynn’s sexual misconduct allegations. Shares rose 1.4%.
  • Stifel cut Wynn’s price target from $121 to $103 but retains a Buy rating, citing Macau-related pressures and seeing current levels as attractive for accumulation.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update at 13:26:55 EST: On Friday, September 27, 2024 Wynn Resorts Limited stock [NASDAQ: WYNN] is trending up by 6.57%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Wynn Resorts’ Financials: What’s Going On?

Wynn Resorts Limited (NASDAQ: WYNN) has been making waves in the financial world lately. Its stock has surged and dipped, and it’s captured the attention of market watchers everywhere.

Let’s explore why. Recently, Morgan Stanley gave Wynn an “Overweight” rating. This is a big deal. They believe the stock has the potential to rise to $104 per share, which is about a 25% increase from current levels. This optimistic outlook includes Wynn’s low current valuation, robust growth prospects in the United Arab Emirates (UAE), and solidifying its position in Las Vegas. Moreover, there’s buzz about Wynn’s ventures in Macau, a gambler’s paradise known for its volatility but immense potential.

Another major event was Wynn’s announcement of a notable financial maneuver. They priced a private offering of $800 million in Senior Notes, due by 2033. Such notes typically have higher interest rates, making them attractive to investors. The funds raised will help redeem older 2025 notes, embark on new corporate adventures, and bolster their financial footing. This move could be seen as Wynn’s strategy to streamline their debt structure and ensure liquidity.

However, it hasn’t all been smooth sailing. Wynn Resorts agreed to a $70 million settlement to resolve a class-action lawsuit claiming the company had concealed allegations of sexual misconduct against its founder, Steve Wynn. Despite the hefty payout, the settlement brought some relief to investors as it resolved a long-standing legal issue. Interestingly, this news led to a 1.4% rise in the stock, reflecting investor confidence in the company’s post-litigation future.

On another melancholic note, Stifel slashed its price target for Wynn from $121 to $103. The primary reason? Wynn’s substantial exposure to Macau, a region known for its sometimes erratic economic environment. Yet, Stifel retained its Buy rating, suggesting they still see potential even amidst the turbulent waters. They believe that the current trading levels, although under pressure, are ripe for smart investors looking to accumulate shares.

Revenue and Key Metrics Snapshot

Taking a closer look at Wynn’s latest earnings report, it’s evident that the company has a robust operational footprint. They generated an impressive $6.53 billion in revenue. Their gross margin stands out at 51.4%, indicating a healthy profit before other financial obligations kick in. However, the pretax profit margin is a painful -11.9%, revealing the weight of debt and other expenses.

Analyzing key ratios, Wynn’s Enterprise Value stands at $20.37 billion, reflecting its market capitalization adjusted for debt and cash. The Price to Sales ratio of 1.42 suggests that investors are willing to pay a little over one dollar for every dollar of sales, showcasing moderate valuation. Their valuation story is mixed though, with a Price to Free Cash Flow of 6.6—showing adequate cash generation capabilities.

From a liquidity standpoint, Wynn’s Current Ratio is 1.2, signifying that their short-term assets can cover their short-term liabilities comfortably. Debt remains substantial, as the Long-term Debt to Capital ratio is a glaring 1.01, reflecting high leverage. Despite these challenges, Wynn’s focus on effective debt management, witnessed by their ongoing financial strategies, indicates their priority to foster financial stability.

Intraday Movements Reflect Larger Sentiments

A glance at Wynn’s recent chart data presents a captivating picture. On 27 Sep, 2024, the stock opened at $92.66 and closed at $97.015, reflecting a sturdy intraday gain, boosted by a blend of positive developments and market anticipation. Investors seem cautiously optimistic, despite fluctuating intraday prices.

The 5-minute candle chart reveals bursts of activity, particularly between 13:25 and 14:15, where back-and-forth trading indicates high interest and active market participation. These intraday movements mirror the broader sentiments fueled by a string of impactful news and upcoming financial maneuvers.

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Financial Reports Paint a Comprehensive Picture

Delving into Wynn’s quarterly reports accentuates their financial trajectory. Reviewing their cash flow, Wynn noted a Free Cash Flow of $257.59 million for the quarter ending 30 Jun, 2024. This positive cash generation is crucial for funding operational expenses and undertaking new initiatives without resorting to additional debt.

Their Balance Sheet highlights total assets worth $13.29 billion, against significant liabilities of $14.19 billion, leading to a negative stockholders’ equity of -$109.82 million. This disparity underscores the pressing need for strategic financial decisions to navigate their substantial debt burden.

Analyzing the Income Statement, Wynn reported an Operating Income of $269.66 million and a Net Income from continuing operations of $185.09 million. However, total expenses of $1.42 billion signify the uphill climb in managing costs. The EBITDA, a very popular metric that strips out the effects of financing and accounting decisions, stood at $554.35 million, painting a healthier operational picture.

Navigating the Market: Insights on Wynn’s Stock Movements

$WYNN has had its shares of ups and downs, with the latest news creating ripples in the market. To untangle the tapestry, here’s what it looks like:

Firstly, the upgrade by Morgan Stanley reflects a rejuvenated sense of confidence. A ‘25% upside’ whisper seems to pique investor curiosity about what lies ahead, especially given Wynn’s ongoing projects in regions like the UAE. The UAE, with its burgeoning tourism sector, is seen as a haven of growth, and Wynn’s entry could be a masterstroke in tapping into this vibrant market.

Secondly, the announcement of the $800 million Senior Notes offering underscores Wynn’s strategic debt management. By swapping older notes due 2025 for new ones, Wynn is essentially buying time and easing financial pressure. This kind of move, while boosting liquidity, also lays the groundwork for future growth initiatives.

Thirdly, lawsuits and settlements have always been a mixed bag for companies, evoking sometimes contrasting market reactions. Settling the $70 million lawsuit allows Wynn Resorts to focus on rebuilding its image and pushes aside a significant legal distraction. Investors, while wary of the hefty payout, seem relieved, as the 1.4% stock rise post-settlement suggests.

Lastly, even as firms like Stifel dial back their price targets, citing concerns in Macau, they retain optimistic tones. This duality of caution and hope hinges on Wynn’s proven ability to navigate volatile regions and capitalize on opportunities. Macau, despite its unpredictability, remains a lucrative market, and Wynn’s sustained confidence attests to their long-term vision.

Conclusion: Future Paths for Wynn Resorts

Wynn Resorts Limited stands at an intriguing crossroads. Balancing on a see-saw of optimistic upgrades, strategic financial initiatives, and lingering, albeit resolving, legal issues, Wynn displays the hallmarks of a company persistently striving towards growth.

Morgan Stanley’s upgrade marks a significant vote of confidence, highlighting Wynn’s potential in the UAE and beyond. Their steady presence in Las Vegas continues to be a stable core, while ventures such as the $800 million Senior Notes offering illustrate their proactive financial strategies.

The settlement of the litigation linked to founder Steve Wynn draws a line under a shadow that has trailed the company. With this albatross no longer weighing it down, Wynn has the opportunity to refocus its narrative on progress and innovation.

In sum, Wynn’s journey encapsulates the dynamic intricacies of the financial landscape. Their ability to pivot, adapt, and ride the waves—all while charting new courses in promising regions—paints a rich tapestry of opportunities and cautious optimism for discerning investors. As we discern these patterns, the future for Wynn Resorts, though laced with challenges, reflects a promising horizon for the resilient and the watchful investor.

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Timothy Sykes

Tim Sykes is a penny stock trader and teacher who became a self-made millionaire by the age of 22 by trading $12,415 of bar mitzvah money. After becoming disenchanted with the hedge fund world, he established the Tim Sykes Trading Challenge to teach aspiring traders how to follow his trading strategies. He’s been featured in a variety of media outlets including CNN, Larry King, Steve Harvey, Forbes, Men’s Journal, and more. He’s also an active philanthropist and environmental activist, a co-founder of Karmagawa, and has donated millions of dollars to charity. Read More

* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

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Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”