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Could MicroStrategy Stock Help You Become a Millionaire?

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Written by Timothy Sykes
Reviewed by Jack Kellogg Fact-checked by Ellis Hobbs

MicroStrategy Incorporated is experiencing a significant uptick, with shares trading up by 11.07 percent on Thursday. The surge comes amid positive public sentiment driven by recent news about the company’s strategic investments in Bitcoin and its ambitious expansion plans. Investors are responding enthusiastically to the company’s continued commitment to cryptocurrency, which is seen as a forward-thinking move enhancing shareholder value.

  • Announcing the conditional full redemption of its 6.125% Senior Secured Notes due 2028, MicroStrategy plans to redeem $500M in aggregate principal amount.
  • The company disclosed the acquisition of 18,300 bitcoins for $1.1B, raising its total holdings to about 244,800 bitcoins.
  • Barclays analyst Ramsey El-Assal initiated coverage of MicroStrategy, giving it an Overweight rating with a $146 price target.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update at 10:51:25 EST: On Thursday, September 19, 2024 MicroStrategy Incorporated stock [NASDAQ: MSTR] is trending up by 11.07%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Quick overview of MicroStrategy Incorporated’s recent earnings report and key financial metrics

MicroStrategy is on a fascinating journey. Ever since it caught the Bitcoin fever, its strategy has driven much of its stock volatility. Recently, they bought 18,300 bitcoins for around $1.1 billion. This hefty investment brings their stash to a total of approximately 244,800 bitcoins, held at an average price of about $38,585 per bitcoin.

Looking at the stock prices, the roller-coaster is apparent. On Sep 18, 2024, the stock opened at $130.44, reaching a high of $139.49 before closing at $132.67. By Sep 19, 2024, it had climbed to $147.35, indicating an upward momentum largely driven by the news about bitcoins. Intraday data reveals significant activity, particularly around key announcements.

But, let’s break down the company’s internals:

Financial Health and Key Ratios

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MicroStrategy’s financial metrics paint a mixed picture. With gross margins sitting at a healthy 75.9%, they show efficiency in generating revenue from sales. However, profitability ratios like EBIT margin and pretax profit margins are quite alarming at -64.3% and -109%, respectively. The severe negative margins suggest substantial operating losses and financial inefficiencies.

The income statements also reveal key insights. Despite generating $496.26 million in revenue over the last period, the company’s net income shows a stark contrast, recording a loss of $102.56 million. This is further supported by a worsening bottom line, with a negative return on equity at -11.49% and return on assets at -4.03%.

Meanwhile, their balance sheet indicates robust total assets at $7.05 billion, but long-term debt also stands high at $3.75 billion. This heavy leverage hints at significant financial risk, especially considering the low current ratio of 0.6, pointing to short-term liquidity issues.

Cash Flow Analysis

Their cash flow statements tell another story of substantial expenditures. The last quarter saw substantial capital expenditures at $794.55 million, mostly tied to bitcoin purchases. While investing in high-risk assets, the company doesn’t shy away from leveraging its stance by issuing debt, reflecting in net additional long-term debt issuance of roughly $800 million.

Changes in cash positions, beginning at $83.73 million and ending at $68.8 million, alongside free cash flow figures of -$817.88 million, illustrate the strain of their aggressive bitcoin acquisition strategy on liquidity.

More Breaking News

Market Implications

MicroStrategy’s bold approach of integrating Bitcoin within its core strategy has sparked varying reactions. Some analysts are significantly buoyant about this unique blend, like Barclays’ Ramsey El-Assal, who pegged a bullish Overweight rating citing MicroStrategy’s differentiated investment approach. Conversely, initiatives like full redemption of their Senior Secured Notes and subsequent upsized convertible notes offering show proactive financial maneuvering, albeit inducing more debt commitments.

In essence, while MSTR’s innovative strategy offers enticing upside potential driven by Bitcoin’s rallying prices, the substantial risks attached to high leverage and operating losses make it a speculative bet. Investors need to brace for both exceptional gains and the steep pitfalls synonymous with volatile sectors.

How Recent Developments Could Impact Market Sentiment

Recent buzz around MicroStrategy reflects diverse sentiments. Their conditional full redemption plan for 6.125% Senior Secured Notes due 2028 demands attention. The move entails redeeming $500 million in principal amount, hinging on issuing senior convertible notes worth over $600 million. This strategic debt play, priced at 103.063% of the principal plus interest, also unlocks around 69,080 bitcoins as collateral.

Buying Bitcoins Anew

MicroStrategy’s newly reported purchase of 18,300 bitcoins for approximately $1.1 billion reaffirms their unwavering commitment to Bitcoin as a strategic asset. Accruing to about 244,800 bitcoins in total, such large acquisitions underline their ambitious crypto-driven blueprint, catering to crypto investors seeking broad exposure through indirect means.

In context, the anticipation around Bitcoin nearing $60,000 further augments the prospective bullish outlook for MSTR, creating ripple effects across market perspectives. The surge in cryptocurrency markets, combined with meaningful MSTR investments, could direct more investor focus towards its stock, fueled by overarching crypto sentiment.

Analyst Ratings

Resonating with MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin strategy, notable analysts have displayed renewed optimism. For instance, Barclays’ Overweight rating, paired with a price target of $146, marks a distinct node of confidence in their strategic roadmap. Concurrently, Canaccord’s nuanced downgrade, adjusting the price target from $185 to $173 while maintaining a Buy rating, presents a balanced view grounded in cautious optimism amid aggressive BTC accumulation post-stock split adjustments.

Convertible Notes Offering

MicroStrategy’s convertible notes transition adds another layer of complexity. Announcing the pricing of $875 million aggregate principal amount of 0.625% convertible senior notes due 2028 (upsized from $700 million), they’re set for closure by Sep 19, 2024, with options to extend by $135 million. Convertible into cash or stock, these notes reflect market conditions and potential dilution implications.

Financial Maneuvering

On the economic front, MicroStrategy’s financial maneuvering enhances capital flexibility yet invites scrutiny upon elevated leverage. Previous upsizing of convertible notes and the recent upsized offering exemplify their strategic capital structuring, optimizing through debt while simultaneously broadening Bitcoin reserves.

Combining expected proceeds positioning of around $864.1 million to $997.4 million (contingent on full additional purchase) with the redemption plan for secure notes, the tightly interlinked financial choreography intends further BTC acquisitions and broadens corporate operational liquidity.

Conclusion

MicroStrategy’s standing in the market revolves around its hybrid bitcoin-anchored vision. Their recent activities underscore a daring approach with convertible notes and notable BTC purchases, aiming at balancing capital while leveraging crypto volatility. In the financial landscape’s ebb and flow, MicroStrategy stays resilient, embracing speculative dance to attract investors with risk appetite.

Embracing high leverage and operating losses, their bold BTC narrative captivates whilst straddling a tightrope of financial stability and market speculation. For MSTR stockholders or potential investors, reconciling intrinsic risks vis-à-vis enticing bitcoin gains forms the crux of an informed investment decision-making process.

To summarize, while MSTR’s unique strategy promises substantial rewards amid bitcoin’s ascendency, it carries weighty risks linked to high leverage and operational inefficiencies. An investment thus requires an astute evaluation of one’s risk tolerance and long-term market perspectives amidst this captivating high-stakes financial journey.

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Timothy Sykes

Tim Sykes is a penny stock trader and teacher who became a self-made millionaire by the age of 22 by trading $12,415 of bar mitzvah money. After becoming disenchanted with the hedge fund world, he established the Tim Sykes Trading Challenge to teach aspiring traders how to follow his trading strategies. He’s been featured in a variety of media outlets including CNN, Larry King, Steve Harvey, Forbes, Men’s Journal, and more. He’s also an active philanthropist and environmental activist, a co-founder of Karmagawa, and has donated millions of dollars to charity. Read More

* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”