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Is Rising LUNR Stock A Get-Rich-Quick Scheme?

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Written by Timothy Sykes
Reviewed by Jack Kellogg Fact-checked by Ellis Hobbs

Intuitive Machines Inc. is making headlines with their groundbreaking lunar exploration mission, drawing significant investor attention. This excitement is likely fueled by their recent successful moon landing test and securing a substantial NASA contract to develop lunar technologies. Consequently, Intuitive Machines Inc.’s stocks have been trading up by 51.3 percent as of Wednesday.

NASA Contracts Fuel Intuitive Machines’ Stellar Rise

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  • A stunning after-hours growth of 40% has pushed Intuitive Machines to $7.56 following NASA’s $4.82 billion order.
  • The company bagged a hefty Near Space Network contract for communication services from Earth to beyond the Moon, with possible extensions until 2034.
  • A significant $116.9 million contract was also garnered for delivering science and technology payloads to the Moon’s South Pole.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update at 08:49:59 EST: On Wednesday, September 18, 2024 Intuitive Machines Inc. stock [NASDAQ: LUNR] is trending up by 51.3%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Quick Overview of Intuitive Machines Recent Earnings

The latest earnings report of Intuitive Machines has been a mix of highs and lows, like a rollercoaster that zips through peaks and valleys. Their revenue surged to an impressive $41,408,000, truly reflective of their recently secured NASA contracts. However, profits are far from sight, mainly due to high operating expenses and significant losses. But hey, space travel isn’t cheap!

Their gross margin stands at a depressing -9.6%, basically screaming that the costs are gobbling up their sales faster than a black hole. EBIT margin is even worse at -39.7%. It’s vital to know that massive losses often translate to a high EBIT margin, which in this case echoes deep financial holes.

Let’s not sugarcoat things – it’s not all glowing as their operating income hit the rock-bottom at -$28,174,000. Additionally, Free Cash Flow sat at a deeply negative -$33,465,000. These glaring losses beg the question: How sustainable is their model?

On the balance sheet, their cash position stood at $31,631,000, while their total assets were $140,121,000. The company’s total liabilities came to $150,490,000, raising questions about their financial durability in the long term with a leverage ratio missing from the picture.

Key ratios indicate a shaky financial scenario with a revenue per share of 0.658, a price-to-sales ratio of 4.4, and a troubling price-to-book ratio of -2.95. Clearly, the company’s financials show that they need those NASA contracts to continue, or else they could be lost in space.

More Breaking News

Impact of NASA Contracts:

News about a significant $4.82 billion order has shot the LUNR stock to new highs like a rocket exit Earth’s atmosphere. The contract promises years of revenue from services extending from Earth’s surface to beyond the Moon, ushering in a measure of operational stability. With the Near Space Network (NSN) contract covering a five-year period with an option for another five, this can be a long-haul flight for the company’s finances.

It’s worth noting that the announcement of this deal quickly reflected in the stock prices, leading to that staggering 40% after-hours gain, which is like watching a space rocket soar into the sky. The initial euphoric sentiment may buoy the stock for a while, but the true long-term impact will only be understood over time.

Trading volumes surged as investors took keen interest, sensing that these NASA contracts might be akin to a lifeline for Intuitive Machines’ financial woes, tightly linking their futures with one of the most trusted entities in space exploration.

Financial Strength in Numbers: A Closer Look at the Earnings and Key Ratios:

When delving deep into the financials, the revenue numbers seem promising with an operating revenue clocking in at $41,408,000. Yet, huge red flags loom over profitability margins, including an EBIT margin of -39.7% and profit margin at -40.1%. It suggests that despite top-line growth, the bottom line suffers significantly, leading right to the deep abyss of operational and net losses.

Unpacking their income statement is like peeking inside a rocket during a turbulent re-entry. From forgone profits to sky-high expenses, the financial health seems fragile. The Net Income posted was $18,280,000, showcasing it managed to gain some ground, but their operating losses still mock their profitability goals. Face it, maneuvering in the space sector demands enormous upfront investments, and these numbers tell that story quite vividly.

On the balance sheet’s trajectory, the cash reserves at $31,631,000 lend a temporary cushion, bridging gaps until contract payments pour in. But with long-term debt reaching up to $31,377,000, we can’t ignore the load they’re carrying. It could be a tight rope act, either surf the billion-dollar waves from new contracts or could plummet if costs spiral out of control further.

Bringing It All Together: Market Impact and Predictions

Analyzing the current situation of LUNR based on the latest news and financial performance lays out a rather adventurous tale, not unlike an uncharted space mission. The recent increase in stock value primarily attributed to NASA’s mammoth contracts brings a beacon of hope, akin to a new star forming in a distant galaxy. These contracts mean assured revenue streams, stronger project pipelines, and expanded operational footholds in the lucrative space of commercial lunar payload deliveries.

The immediate market impact is clear with a significant post-announcement surge. However, the actual journey remains filled with risks and unpredictable turns. Unlike long-standing stalwarts, Intuitive Machines operates within high-risk, ultra-high-reward territories. Every upward spike could be followed by steep dives, much like a space shuttle re-adjusting its orbit.

From a speculative perspective, news of such contracts creates waves of interest and could propel short-term trading opportunities. Yet, this excitement should be matched with caution, interpreting key financial data and their aggressive plans with astuteness.

Summary: Holding a LUNR Ticket

Intuitive Machines, backed by rich orders from NASA, paints an enticing albeit risky picture. Their surge in stock prices heralds investor optimism but also drizzles with inherent risks tied with their financial health. The resulting mix churns out a narrative that’s bullish on potential but tied with ropes to market volatility and operational cash flow struggles.

As we look ahead, the position for Intuitive Machines remains delicate. It’s the ultimate chase, betting on space exploration’s next frontier while carefully navigating precarious financial currents—a journey for those ready for the ride, scanning the skies, and brave enough to reach for the stars.

The stock movements, like expeditions into space, promise exhilarating highs and harrowing lows. Armed with a robust NASA affiliation, Intuitive Machines seems poised to script its future among the stars. Will it soar, or will the gravity of financial reality keep it grounded? Only time could tell, but for now, the stock has certainly caught the market’s eye, sparking dreams of cosmic possibilities.

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Timothy Sykes

Tim Sykes is a penny stock trader and teacher who became a self-made millionaire by the age of 22 by trading $12,415 of bar mitzvah money. After becoming disenchanted with the hedge fund world, he established the Tim Sykes Trading Challenge to teach aspiring traders how to follow his trading strategies. He’s been featured in a variety of media outlets including CNN, Larry King, Steve Harvey, Forbes, Men’s Journal, and more. He’s also an active philanthropist and environmental activist, a co-founder of Karmagawa, and has donated millions of dollars to charity. Read More

* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

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Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”