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Is It Too Late To Buy Ginkgo Bioworks Stock?

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Written by Timothy Sykes
Reviewed by Jack Kellogg Fact-checked by Ellis Hobbs

Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Inc. Class A’s shares have surged on Tuesday, trading up by 10.11 percent. The notable boost can primarily be attributed to strong market sentiment surrounding recent news of significant financial injections and strategic partnerships. With investors showing renewed confidence, the company’s robust performance is reflective of the positive buzz and promising future developments in their field.

  • Ginkgo Bioworks Holding recently landed a significant contract with the CDC for a traveler-based genomic surveillance program.
  • The stock saw a 9.3% surge, boosting the price by $0.72 to $8.43.
  • The company regained compliance with the NYSE’s minimum bid price rule, although its public warrants face delisting.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update at 16:44:01 EST: On Tuesday, September 17, 2024 Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Inc. Class A stock [NYSE: DNA] is trending up by 10.11%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Recent Earnings Report and Key Financial Metrics

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Ginkgo Bioworks, known for its pioneering work in bioengineering and genomics, has captured significant attention recently. Their financials tell a tale of bold moves and broad ambitions. Their recent earnings report paints a vivid picture of a company that’s navigating stormy seas but is unswervingly determined to chart its course toward future success.

From a broad perspective, the company reported a total revenue of $56.21M for the latest quarter, marking a notable performance. Their gross margin stands at an impressive 80.2%, underscoring their ability to create value from top-level science. However, the profitability metrics aren’t as rosy, with an operating income showing a grim loss of -$222.94M and a net loss of -$217.18M. The company is spending heavily on R&D, aligning with their long-term strategic focus.

Now, I find it fascinating that Ginkgo Bioworks maintains a solid current ratio of 4.7. That’s a clear indicator that they possess a healthy buffer of liquidity, denoting their ability to cover short-term obligations. This balance is crucial for a company in rapid growth and innovation phases.

So, what does this mean for the average investor? Ginkgo’s heavy investment in R&D signals a bet on future breakthroughs and profitability. It’s evident the company isn’t playing for short-term gains. Their assets turnover ratio of 0.1 highlights a company still scaling its operations to achieve better efficiency.

Financial Insights from Recent Trends

Analyzing their recent stock prices reveals more layers to the story. We see some volatility – a common sight in companies at the bleeding edge of technology and biotech. For instance, the stock opened at $6.37 on Sept 17, 2024, reached a high of $7.53, and closed at $6.81. This price activity shows market enthusiasm tempered by cautious realism.

What’s also interesting is observing the intraday patterns. On some days, the stock remains remarkably stable, reflecting investor confidence or perhaps just an absence of a catalyst. On other days, prices sway drastically, an echo of the constant adjustment to new information and sentiment.

More Breaking News

Evaluating Key Ratios

Let’s delve deeper into the key ratios that shed light on the company’s current state and future potential. Ginkgo Bioworks has an enterprise value of approximately $68.13M, signaling the overall market confidence in the company despite current profitability struggles. Their price-to-sales ratio is 1.88, which isn’t overly stretched for a company with such potential upside.

However, the return on assets (ROA) sits at a stark -70.08%, and the return on equity (ROE) at -138.05%, painting a picture of a company yet to harness profitability from its substantial investments. The high R&D expenses bode well for future innovation but currently eat into earnings.

News Impact on Stock Price

Let’s break down the recent significant news and how it might impact the stock:

Traveler-Based Genomic Surveillance Program

Firstly, Ginkgo Bioworks grabbing a contract with the CDC for a traveler-based genomic surveillance program is a game-changer. Such high-profile contracts can invigorate investor confidence, driving up stock prices. It’s not just a feather in their cap but a validation of their scientific prowess and market relevance. This contract positions Ginkgo within a crucial nexus of public health and cutting-edge genomics.

Compliance with NYSE Bid Price Rule

The company’s return to NYSE compliance by maintaining a closing bid price at or above $1.00 is another positive. This move alleviates delisting fears, often a dark cloud over investor sentiment. On the flip side, facing public warrant delisting could dent market confidence, although this hinges on the perceived importance of these warrants to investors.

Market Performance and Strategic Moves

Mark Dmytruk’s scheduled chat at the Morgan Stanley 22nd Annual Global Healthcare Conference highlights another strategic move, emphasizing Ginkgo’s leadership in cell programming and biosecurity. These high-visibility events can significantly boost a company’s profile among institutional investors and influence stock performance positively.

Delving Deeper into Impactful News

The CDC Contract: A Triumph in Genomics

Securing the CDC contract isn’t just a victory; it’s a milestone. Imagine a professional athlete landing a significant sponsorship deal—a nod to their skill and potential. This traveler-based genomic surveillance program cements Ginkgo as a public health ally, valued highly in both societal and investor lenses. How does it affect the stock? Investors often flock towards companies achieving such validations, pushing stock prices upwards due to anticipated revenue flows and heightened market trust.

Stock Surge: Reflection of Positive Sentiment

The 9.3% stock surge encapsulates investor sentiment—part optimism, part speculative. This leap likely reflects confidence stemming from the CDC contract and recovery in NYSE compliance. Investors interpret these as indicators of stability and potential profitability, betting on further upward momentum in the stock price.

NYSE Compliance: Navigating Regulations

Regaining NYSE compliance is akin to a ship stabilizing amidst turbulent waters. It pacifies investor fears concerning delisting, perhaps leading to a modest uptick in stock prices. Yet, the delisting of public warrants could cast a shadow. The impact here is dual-edged; while compliance reassures, warrant delisting may unsettle long-term warrant holders.

Navigating Financial Reports

Revenue Growth vs. Operational Challenges

Reviewing Ginkgo’s quarterly reports unveils a dynamic interplay between revenue growth and operational challenges. With operating revenue at $56.21M and total expenses soaring to $292.87M, the current phase heavily tilts towards investment over profitability. They are banking on their substantial R&D expenditure to sculpt future revenue avenues and market leadership.

Cash Flow and Liquidity

Their cash flow statement echoes a tale of caution and ambition. Ending with a cash position of $775.74M, Ginkgo shows a robust liquidity buffer, essential for navigating through development phases. With a swift current ratio of 4.7, there’s financial breathing room albeit with the looming need to translate that into revenue gains.

Capital and Debt Management

In terms of capital and debt, maintaining a total debt to equity ratio at 0.54 signals disciplined capital management. Long-term debt, standing at $452.26M, indicates calculated leverage, balancing between growth investments and debt obligations.

Storytelling: An Investor’s Perspective

Let’s step back and absorb the broader narrative here. Consider Ginkgo as an artist in a rapidly evolving canvas, dabbing strokes of bold innovation and strategic missions. From the newly minted CDC contract to the proud return to NYSE compliance, it’s clear that Ginkgo’s journey is far from mundane.

Ginkgo’s choice to reinvest aggressively in R&D is akin to a tech startup pouring resources into future-shaping innovations. It’s a bet, yes—but one investors believe might pay off handsomely. This isn’t a tale of one quarter; it’s an epic of a company striving to redefine industries.

Headlines and Market Movement: Unwrapping the Influence

CDC Contract Illuminates Prospective Growth

The CDC contract stands as a beacon of foreseeable growth and stability. By aligning with such a prestigious body, Ginkgo reaffirms its value proposition in the market, which invigorates current and prospective investors. This contract is an endorsement, a green signal of future revenue stability that likely sparks optimism reflected in stock price elevations.

Compliance and Warrant Delisting: Dual Dynamics

Regaining NYSE compliance offers an anchor of stability, assuaging fears of delisting-induced volatility. Investors often react positively to such regulatory reassurance, a confidence boost translating into positive stock movement. Contrastingly, warrant delisting brings a sliver of uncertainty, peeking into future market dynamics and investor preferences.

Conference Participation: Telling the Technological Tale

Participation in high-profile conferences, such as the Morgan Stanley Annual Global Healthcare Conference, fuels the narrative of Ginkgo being not just a player but a thought leader. These forums shift market perceptions, often bolstering stock movement through enhanced institutional investor interest.

Summary: A Financial Symphony in Burstiness

Ginkgo Bioworks’ recent financial journey and stock fluctuations tell a vivid, intricate story. Between securing significant contracts, navigating compliance waters, and actively shaping bioengineering futures, the company stands as a marvel in modern biotechnology.

The recent 9.3% stock surge epitomizes the immediate market impact of strategic wins and optimistic investor sentiment. couple this with their disciplined financial orchestration—strong liquidity, considered debt management—and you see a firm laying down formidable groundwork for future success.

Yet, the path forward isn’t devoid of obstacles. Heavy R&D spending weighs on current profitability, and the shadow of warrant delisting brings mixed forecasts. But if the storyline of risk and reward intrigues you, Ginkgo Bioworks presents a fascinating chapter worth watching closely.

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Timothy Sykes

Tim Sykes is a penny stock trader and teacher who became a self-made millionaire by the age of 22 by trading $12,415 of bar mitzvah money. After becoming disenchanted with the hedge fund world, he established the Tim Sykes Trading Challenge to teach aspiring traders how to follow his trading strategies. He’s been featured in a variety of media outlets including CNN, Larry King, Steve Harvey, Forbes, Men’s Journal, and more. He’s also an active philanthropist and environmental activist, a co-founder of Karmagawa, and has donated millions of dollars to charity. Read More

* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

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Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”