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Class Action Lawsuits Pummel Ford’s Stock: What’s Next?

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Written by Timothy Sykes
Reviewed by Jack Kellogg Fact-checked by Ellis Hobbs

Ford Motor Company’s shares have come under significant pressure amid recent news headlines highlighting potential production challenges and shifts in the electric vehicle market. Particularly, concerns over supply chain constraints and increased competition in the EV sector have raised investor unease. Consequently, on Wednesday, Ford Motor Company’s stocks have been trading down by -4.09 percent.

September marked a series of unfortunate events for Ford (F) as legal battles and trade issues took center stage. Investors are on edge, questioning where the auto giant will go from here.

  • A class action lawsuit filed against Ford alleges securities fraud, leading to substantial losses for shareholders.
  • The United Auto Workers union set a strike deadline at Ford’s Rouge Complex, potentially affecting production.
  • The US Commerce Department’s proposed ban on vehicles using certain Chinese technologies could further strain the company’s supply chain.
  • Donald Trump’s proposal for a 100% tariff on Mexican cars threatens to disrupt Ford’s manufacturing and import strategies.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update at 13:42:54 EST: On Wednesday, September 25, 2024 Ford Motor Company stock [NYSE: F] is trending down by -4.09%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Quick Overview of Ford Motor Company’s Recent Earnings Report and Key Financial Metrics

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Navigating through the sea of financial metrics may feel like steering a ship in a storm, but it’s crucial to understand how these factors influence Ford’s stock. Let’s break it down.

Ford’s recent earnings report painted a mixed picture. In the second quarter of 2024, the company recorded a revenue of $47.8B, with a net income from continuous operations of $1.83B. These numbers seem impressive at first glance, but digging deeper reveals underlying concerns.

Profit Margins and EBIT: Ford’s EBIT margin sits at 5.7%, while its profit margin is a mere 2.13%. These slim margins suggest a high cost of doing business, with limited room for error. Moreover, the company’s gross margin stands at 11.1%, hinting that a significant portion of its revenue is consumed by production costs.

Debt and Financial Strength: Ford’s total debt to equity ratio is at 0, showing no debt relative to equity. However, the company’s current ratio is 2.7, indicating a comfortable level of liquidity to cover short-term obligations. Still, the leverage ratio of 6.4 suggests significant reliance on borrowed funds.

Valuation Metrics: Ford’s PE ratio is 11.26, which is relatively low and could indicate that the stock is undervalued. The price-to-sales ratio is 0.24, while the price-to-cash-flow is 2, suggesting that the market values Ford’s revenues and cash flows modestly.

Assets and Turnover: The receivables turnover ratio is 11.5, indicating efficient credit management, while the assets turnover ratio is 0.7, reflecting how effectively the company utilizes its assets to generate revenue.

Dividends and Returns: Ford offers a forward dividend yield of 5.52%, with a dividend rate of $0.60. This high yield could attract investors seeking income, despite financial turbulence.

Analyzing Trade Data

A glance at Ford’s stock price data from late September shows a general downtrend. On 25 Sep 2024, the stock closed at $10.425, down from $10.87 just a day before. This decline aligns with the onslaught of negative news surrounding the company. The intraday data also displayed volatility, with the stock opening at $10.59 on 25 Sep 2024, but struggling to maintain any upward momentum.

Impact of Recent News Articles

Class Action Lawsuit:

The most significant blow came from the class action lawsuit alleging securities fraud. The lawsuit, covering the period from April 27, 2022, to July 24, 2024, alleges Ford made false and misleading statements about its quality assurance and warranty costs. This revelation led to higher warranty reserves and a notable 18.36% decline in the stock price following the company’s financial disclosures.

The lawsuit contends that Ford’s deficiencies in quality control resulted in increased warranty costs, which were not accurately reflected in financial statements. This misrepresentation inflated the stock price, causing substantial losses for investors once the truth came out.

Court documents reveal that Ford’s management was aware of these deficiencies but failed to disclose them, violating securities laws. This legal challenge could potentially lead to hefty fines and further damage Ford’s reputation, pushing the stock price even lower.

UAW Strike Deadline:

Adding to Ford’s woes, the United Auto Workers union set a strike deadline for September 26 at the Rouge Complex Tool & Die Unit. The primary concerns include job security and wage parity. If the strike proceeds, it could cripple production and operational efficiency at one of Ford’s most critical facilities.

Historically, labor strikes at major automotive plants can severely disrupt production schedules, leading to delayed vehicle deliveries and loss of revenue. The looming UAW strike amplifies existing concerns about Ford’s ability to maintain consistent output amid rising costs and legal battles.

US Commerce Department Ban:

Compounding these issues is the US Commerce Department’s proposed ban on the sale or import of connected vehicles using specific Chinese technologies. This new rule could affect numerous Ford models that rely on Chinese software and chips.

This regulatory change presents a dual challenge: Ford may have to halt production in China and find alternative suppliers compliant with US regulations. Consequently, these disruptions could increase costs and delivery times, further squeezing margins.

Mexican Tariff Proposal:

Lastly, Donald Trump’s proposed 100% tariff on cars imported from Mexico could significantly impact Ford’s manufacturing strategy. The company heavily relies on its plants in Mexico for producing vehicles destined for the US market.

If implemented, this tariff could double the cost of cars imported from Mexico, forcing Ford to evaluate its supply chain and potentially relocate production to higher-cost regions. These adjustments would likely eat into profit margins and raise vehicle prices, reducing competitiveness.

 

Conclusion: Navigating through Turbulence

Ford Motor Company is facing a multifaceted crisis, with legal challenges, labor strife, regulatory hurdles, and potential trade tariffs creating a perfect storm. In the short term, these issues could suppress the stock price as investors grapple with uncertainties surrounding the company’s operational stability and financial health.

Investors need to weigh the potential risks and rewards carefully. While Ford’s financial metrics suggest some areas of robustness, the external challenges it faces cannot be ignored. As the legal proceedings unfold and the company navigates regulatory changes, retaining a cautious outlook might be prudent.

In sum, Ford’s current landscape appears daunting, and its ability to maneuver through these turbulent times will determine its market performance. Investors must stay informed about ongoing developments and adjust their strategies accordingly.
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Timothy Sykes

Tim Sykes is a penny stock trader and teacher who became a self-made millionaire by the age of 22 by trading $12,415 of bar mitzvah money. After becoming disenchanted with the hedge fund world, he established the Tim Sykes Trading Challenge to teach aspiring traders how to follow his trading strategies. He’s been featured in a variety of media outlets including CNN, Larry King, Steve Harvey, Forbes, Men’s Journal, and more. He’s also an active philanthropist and environmental activist, a co-founder of Karmagawa, and has donated millions of dollars to charity. Read More

* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”