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Is Biohaven Poised for a Big Swing After Recent Analyst Coverage?

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Written by Timothy Sykes
Reviewed by Jack Kellogg Fact-checked by Ellis Hobbs

Biohaven Ltd’s stocks surged by 11.56 percent on Monday, driven by a combination of encouraging developments and positive public sentiment. Notable news includes strong quarterly earnings that surpassed market expectations, alongside an optimistic outlook on future product pipelines. This collective positive momentum has evidently contributed to the significant uptick in the company’s stock performance.

What the Latest Analyst Ratings Signal

  • Jefferies analyst Amy Li just initiated coverage of Biohaven, giving it a ‘Buy’ rating and a $57 price target. She highlighted the upside in its BHV-1300 and BHV-7000 programs.
  • Bernstein has initiated coverage on Biohaven with an ‘outperform’ rating, noting an average buy rating and price targets ranging between $52 and $66.
  • Biohaven announced a conference call to discuss topline pivotal study results for troriluzole in treating Spinocerebellar Ataxia, indicating potential positive advancements in their clinical pipeline.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update at 12:01:08 EST: On Monday, September 23, 2024 Biohaven Ltd. stock [NYSE: BHVN] is trending up by 11.56%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Quick Overview of Biohaven’s Financial Health

Recent Earnings Report

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Biohaven’s latest financials have painted a mixed picture. When we dig into the income statement, it reveals that the company reported a net income of -$319.77M for Q2 2024. That’s an awful lot of red ink, with a basic EPS of -$3.64. Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) came in at -$317.64M. Expenses stood at $333.77M, with R&D making up a massive chunk at $314.82M. But let’s be clear, research is the powerhouse here, driving future growth. So, while the numbers are grim now, it’s all about the potential payoff later.

Cash Flow Statements

Delving into the cash flow statement, Biohaven managed to improve its cash position to $242.32M by Jun 30, 2024, even after burning through $169.64M in operating activities. How did they manage that, you ask? Through strong financing activities, primarily raising $321.12M by issuing capital stock. The company’s free cash flow stands at -$170.75M, signaling that although Biohaven is investing heavily, it’s not yet reaping the rewards.

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Balance Sheet in Focus

Turning to the balance sheet, Biohaven has total assets of $582.64M. The liabilities part is interesting: $198.90M total, with a significant portion ($156.21M) as current liabilities. The company’s equity stands tall at $383.74M, reflective of solid long-term solvency. Notably, the quick ratio is an impressive 2.9, indicating strong liquidity. It’s worth noting the long-term debt stands at a modest $26.19M, meaning the company’s gearing is quite low.

Key Ratios

Biohaven’s key ratios provide an interesting snapshot. Its price-to-book ratio is 12.67, which is rather high, suggesting the stock might be overvalued. The leverage ratio sits at 1.5. However, the return on assets (ROA) and return on equity (ROE) are in deep negative territory at -137.07 and -152.71, respectively, pointing to ongoing operational challenges.

Stock Price Movement Insights

Switching gears to the recent stock price data, Biohaven shows some volatile behavior. On Sep 23, 2024, the stock opened at $46.5 and hit a high of $49.91 before closing at $45.06. A dynamic intraday range suggests trader excitement, perhaps triggered by upcoming clinical results and bullish analyst coverage.

Considering the past week, Biohaven oscillated between $45.42 and $38, delineating a volatile but cautiously optimistic sentiment. These fluctuations align with analytical proclamations and upcoming promising pivotal study results.

Understanding the Impact of Analyst Ratings

Jefferies’ ‘Buy’ Rating and $57 Target

The analyst from Jefferies, Amy Li, isn’t throwing numbers into the air. Her focus is clear: Biohaven’s pipeline is its goldmine. Programs like BHV-1300 and BHV-7000 carry substantial promise in neurological treatments. But here’s the kicker—she acknowledges the elephant in the room: high cash burn. Still, her confidence in the company’s potential outweighs the financial strain, hence the bullish $57 target. Investors who’ve faced the roller coaster of biotech stocks will find this narrative familiar—the potential for significant gains balanced against high risks.

Bernstein’s ‘Outperform’ Rating

Bernstein’s analysts also chimed in, giving Biohaven an ‘outperform’ rating with a pricing sweet spot between $52 and $66. This spread is a nod to the inherent uncertainty but also the vast potential seen in Biohaven’s innovative strides. The ‘outperform’ rating acts like a siren call for those investors who are willing to embrace some risk for possibly substantial rewards.

Conference Call on Troriluzole Results

The forthcoming conference call about the pivotal study results for troriluzole aimed at treating Spinocerebellar Ataxia is a beacon. This event can act as a catapult, triggering stock price movement. If the results are favorable, expect investors to pour in, driving the stock to new highs. Conversely, negative outcomes could bring a pullback, but maybe not a significant one, given the upbeat analyst ratings previously mentioned.

Market Speculations and Stock Predictions

Biohaven’s stock, sitting at $45.06 on September 23, reflects a market in wait-and-see mode. The company’s dynamic intraday movements hint at a heightened state of interest among investors. The significant elements here include Biohaven’s high R&D investments and clinical pipeline advancements.

Upcoming clinical results, analyst bullishness, and financial health, albeit showing substantial cash burn, collectively steer the stock’s directional potential. The provided 52-66 range from analysts posits a solid upside. This range, coupled with the anticipation of pivotal clinical results, delineates the risk-return equation favoring potential substantial upward movement.

Potential Implications of Recent News

The robust financial backing suggested by the financing activities reflects strong investor interest, which complements the positive sentiment from analysts. Investors are akin to prospectors, always hunting for the next gold rush, and Biohaven seems like a promising territory. The strong liquidity ratios and minimal long-term debt suggest Biohaven has the financial flex to see through its ambitious R&D-heavy strategy.

The upcoming conference call on troriluzole’s pivotal study results is poised to be a linchpin for Biohaven. Favorable outcomes could validate market optimism, triggering a stock surge. On the flip side, the company’s high cash burn and current negative return metrics underscore the inherent risks.

Conclusion: Investor Be Wise, Volatility Ahead

So, is Biohaven poised for a big swing? The signs are promising but bear in mind the stakes. With analyst ratings turning bullish and pivotal study results on the anvil, market sentiment is optimistic. However, high cash burns and ongoing operational challenges remain, making this a high-risk, high-reward play. Investors must weigh these factors carefully. Biohaven could either turn into a biotech powerhouse or struggle under its financial burdens. The upcoming news and conference call will be critical in shaping Biohaven’s narrative in the stock market.

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Timothy Sykes

Tim Sykes is a penny stock trader and teacher who became a self-made millionaire by the age of 22 by trading $12,415 of bar mitzvah money. After becoming disenchanted with the hedge fund world, he established the Tim Sykes Trading Challenge to teach aspiring traders how to follow his trading strategies. He’s been featured in a variety of media outlets including CNN, Larry King, Steve Harvey, Forbes, Men’s Journal, and more. He’s also an active philanthropist and environmental activist, a co-founder of Karmagawa, and has donated millions of dollars to charity. Read More

* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

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Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”