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AMD’s Market Tumble: Risk or Opportunity?

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Written by Timothy Sykes

Despite announcing an innovative advancement in AI chips, Advanced Micro Devices Inc. has experienced limited positive impact on its stock, suggesting market skepticism toward the immediate financial benefit from this development. On Tuesday, Advanced Micro Devices Inc.’s stocks have been trading down by -2.43 percent.

Latest Market Developments

  • Morgan Stanley cut AMD’s price target from $147 to $137 due to altered EPS forecasts related to a product mix leaning toward clients over datacenter solutions.
  • Daiwa shifted AMD’s rating to Outperform from Buy, slashing its target price from $170 to $130, reflecting a tepid start for MI325 GPUs.
  • AMD is considering selling its recently acquired data center plants for as much as $4B to Asian companies, leading to a 2.4% drop in AMD shares.
  • Citi cut AMD’s rating to Neutral from Buy, reducing its price target to $110 amidst concerns over AI growth decline and CPU inventory build-up.
  • AMD shares were negatively affected by Arm’s new chip securing Meta’s business, showcasing a growing industry competition.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update At 09:18:45 EST: On Tuesday, March 04, 2025 Advanced Micro Devices Inc. stock [NASDAQ: AMD] is trending down by -2.43%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Quick Overview of AMD’s Financial Health

As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes says, “The goal is not to win every trade but to protect your capital and keep moving forward.” Trading is a complex and dynamic field where every trader aims to achieve their financial goals. However, it’s important for traders to remember that losses are inevitable. The key is to maintain discipline and focus on long-term success rather than short-term gains. By adopting strategies that prioritize capital protection, traders can navigate the market’s ups and downs more effectively. This mindset allows traders to remain in the game, adapting and learning from each experience.

In reviewing AMD’s recent financial performance, one observes a revenue standing at roughly $25.8B, while its net income from ongoing operations hovers near $482M for the end of 2024. The company has maintained a sizable gross margin of approximately 62.5%. The challenge, however, lies within AMD’s Peratio sitting at a hefty 97.43, which provides room for scrutiny as the price-to-earnings ratio tips toward the high end.

More Breaking News

Upon digging into the statement of cash flows, AMD shows a decrease in cash by $86M by quarter end Dec 2024, although maintaining an operating cash flow of nearly $1.3B, pointing towards some healthy cash generation from operations. Despite the economic fluctuations, AMD’s current ratio remains steady at 2.6, signifying its capability to cover short-term obligations. Nonetheless, the narrative complicates with news of slowed AI growth and potential burdens from the CPU inventory build-up, leading major houses like Citi to downgrade recommendations.

Financial Metrics and Market Influence

The stock performance has been wavering, emphasized by the stock’s opening at $105.08 and dropping steadily to $98.23 as of March 3, 2025. Such performance can be correlated with recent news surrounding AMD and industry dynamics. Revenue growth estimations see a cooldown with AMD’s expected rise over three and five-year spans, standing at 16.2% and 30.81% respectively.

When probing into asset turnover ratios of around 0.4 and inventory shifts, the focus is directed toward the efficiency of asset use in driving sales and profitability. Not to mention, the receivables turnover paints a picture of AMD’s ability to collect credits amidst a rough market performance.

The downgrades and adjusted targets from the likes of Daiwa and Morgan Stanley bring attention to AMD’s earnings capacity, heavily impacted by the broader technological transitions and the CPU inventory spiral. Such shifts are significant, as the weight given by market analysts directly affects investor sentiment, validating the stock’s movement.

Analyzing the News Impact: AMD’s Direction

The discussions of AMD selling its data center assets introduce a critical factor in the stock’s trajectory. With investments in this arena initially made to bolster capacity, the move to divest hints at a strategic redirection. The market responded with skepticism, reflected in a 2.4% drop post-announcement, indicating investor demand for clarity and assurance about AMD’s future roadmap.

Concerns around AI growth are paramount; AI represents a key growth frontier for AMD. The downgrades not only reflect the uncertain earnings potential tied to this segment but also emphasize apparent challenges in margin preservation.

AMD’s competition faces new dynamics, as observable when Arm secured a big client like Meta for its cutting-edge chip. For AMD, this symbolizes a competitive terrain requiring accelerated innovations to keep pace.

Concluding Thoughts

The landscape painted by these events and metrics demonstrates AMD navigating through complexities of strategic realignment, market sentiment, and increased competitive pressure. The company’s path ahead seems paved with cautious optimism as it refocuses resources and ambitions amidst evolving technological phases.

Traders might perceive this as a dual-front informer: a period of reassessment and opportune repositioning for long-term gains. In a world where, as millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes, says, “It’s not about how much money you make; it’s about how much money you keep,” AMD’s strategic shifts become even more significant. Yet, discerning eyes will perhaps wait and watch for more solid ground beneath the company’s calculated strides forward. As Morgan Stanley, and others advised selling downwardly in view, it might be time to reevaluate AMD stock not just by numerical metrics, but prompted by innovation and market adaptability metrics as indicators for what’s to come.

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This is stock news, not investment advice. Timothy Sykes News delivers real-time stock market news focused on key catalysts driving short-term price movements. Our content is tailored for active traders and investors seeking to capitalize on rapid price fluctuations, particularly in volatile sectors like penny stocks. Readers come to us for detailed coverage on earnings reports, mergers, FDA approvals, new contracts, and unusual trading volumes that can trigger significant short-term price action. Some users utilize our news to explain sudden stock movements, while others rely on it for diligent research into potential investment opportunities.

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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

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Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”