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Patterns To Watch

Why $UP Was So Predictable

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Written by Timothy Sykes
Updated 12/28/2023 7 min read

It’s easy to pick any random stock to buy and hold, but if you’re aiming for real success, that’s not the strategy I’d recommend.  

As we gear up for 2024, my goal is to ensure you’re better prepared than ever before!

I’m anticipating more opportunities like Wheels Up Experience Inc. (NASDAQ: UP) to pop up that you can take advantage of as early as next week! 

Trading is all about knowing what to look for and UP was on the top stock for me and my students.  

Want to know how I predicted UP was going to be one of the top plays yesterday? 

Keep reading to find out! 

Finding The Right Pattern

Most newbies often gravitate towards a “buy and hold” approach when it comes to trading.  

However, it’s crucial to broaden your perspective, recognizing that trading penny stocks entails more than just buying and holding. 

I want you to remember that these are penny stocks and 99% of them end up failing…

But just because they fail doesn’t mean they can’t be incredibly lucrative! 

During my latest webinar, I provided my students with an abundance of information to make sure they were prepared to take advantage of yesterday’s opportunities.  

Every day, I scan the market for big percent gainers that have volume, it’s a pivotal starting point for my trading strategies.  

There’s no telling how long these stocks will run for, and I’m not trying to predict what may happen…

Instead, I’m focusing on the price action that’s right in front of me.    

There’s a lot to think about when it comes to trading, but the more you practice and study, the better prepared you will be.  

Let’s break down my latest trade on Wheels Up Experience Inc. (NASDAQ: UP) to give you a better understanding.  

Understanding The Framework

All my students have a solid understanding of my 7-Step Penny Stock Framework. 

It’s a crucial piece to the puzzle and it’s something every trader should grasp to gain insight into how these penny stocks work.  

Here’s an example of what the framework looks like on a stock that goes Supernova. 

Many of you already know this, but nothing is ever an exact science when it comes to trading.

Understanding the factors that can cause a stock to spike and identifying potential profit opportunities on both the way up and down is vital for improving your trading skills.   

Before diving into my latest trade, let’s look at the stock UP and how I applied this framework.  

Source: StocksToTrade

Do you notice where I labeled it with steps 1-5?  

This helps me strategize what my next move should be to put me in the best possible position for success…

And the last thing you want to do is get FOMO and buy it on its recent run-up thinking it’s going to trend higher.

There’s one thing I do know, UP will eventually get to step #7, which is a long kiss goodnight.

Putting It Into Action

Spotting a big percent gainer is just one piece of the puzzle, the real key lies in understanding the right strategy for the situation.  

With various strategies to choose from, I make sure to go into great detail with all of my millionaire students.

The longer a stock runs, the better the chance for it to panic.  That’s why I prefer multiday runners over one-day runners. 

To help you grasp this concept better, take a look at this older yet insightful video.

Now, I want you to look at where I drew the circles in the chart below.

Source: StocksToTrade

Notice the difference in how the stock panicked in the two right circles compared to the left?  

As UP continued its upward trend, the panics in the two right circles became more apparent.

That’s what I want you to look for on these multiday runners, you want that steep sell-off first thing in the morning.  

When I saw the panic early in the morning, I bought UP at $5.22 and sold it at $5.39 for a $765 profit.  (Risked $23,490). 

Source: StocksToTrade

After my first trade, I was waiting to see if UP could break through that $5 support level to give me another solid dip-buying opportunity…

And when I saw it, I decided to give my dip-buying strategy another try.  

That’s when I bought UP at $4.86 and sold it at $5.10 for a $720 profit.  (Risked $14,580).  

These are the opportunities you need to take advantage of on these multiday runners because this is where the panics can become way more predictable.

In the coming days, another stock I want you to watch is Mawson Infrastructure Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: MIGI).

There are so many opportunities right now for you to take advantage of…

And you can make a great deal of money if you learn to MASTER just a few setups at a time.  

One of my favorite setups to trade is the morning panic and my second favorite is this setup.  

Don’t swing for the fences when it comes to trading and focus on what truly matters.

Have a safe and Happy New Year!

🎇Will you be ready to lock in an early win as soon as 2024 starts?🎇

-Tim 


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Timothy Sykes

Tim Sykes is a penny stock trader and teacher who became a self-made millionaire by the age of 22 by trading $12,415 of bar mitzvah money. After becoming disenchanted with the hedge fund world, he established the Tim Sykes Trading Challenge to teach aspiring traders how to follow his trading strategies. He’s been featured in a variety of media outlets including CNN, Larry King, Steve Harvey, Forbes, Men’s Journal, and more. He’s also an active philanthropist and environmental activist, a co-founder of Karmagawa, and has donated millions of dollars to charity.
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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”