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Mentor Updates

Millionaire Mentor Update: Penny Stock Risk Management 101

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Written by Timothy Sykes
Updated 1/25/2023 14 min read

Aye, aye, aye. It doesn’t have to be complex, but you MUST use risk management if you want to stay in the penny stock game. Too many newbies got crushed last week as the OTC market plummeted.

It’s a combination of believing promoter BS, and thinking ‘stonks go up’ is the new paradigm. It’s not. Keep reading for three simple penny stock risk management tips.


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Dream Big, Work Hard, Give Back

Success as a penny stock trader isn’t easy. It requires studying and a lot of practice trading small. Only then, over time, does it make sense to size up. Remember, most traders lose.

The big obstacle most newbies face isn’t a lack of desire. You wouldn’t believe the number of emails and DMs I get from people who say they want to learn. They even say they’re willing to put in the effort. But most traders give up WAY too soon.

The obstacle is a lack of dedication and determination over time.

How do you overcome it? Dream big. I can’t tell you what to dream about — but I can tell you what drives me. My passion is giving back. It’s my big ‘why’ for teaching and trading.

So dream big, and then get to work. Use your dreams as motivation. When you question why it’s so important to study today, think about your why. When you wonder why you need to have a clear risk management system, focus on your dream.

Trading Mentor: Penny Stock Risk Management 101

I don’t know how many times I have to say it. But I’m going to say it again…

Rule #1 is to cut losses quickly. I know there’s a lot of BS out there. And the past couple of months when everyone was on the ‘stonks go up’ bandwagon, newbies got sucked in. The promoters fed them ‘due diligence’ and hot picks.

Their greed glands got the best of them. They bought — and no matter how much their next big thing dropped, they held. Sadly, last week they got hit in the face with cold, hard reality.

Stocks don’t just go up.

Day Trading Risk Management Rule #1

You do NOT have to hold through 20%, 30%, or 50% drawdowns. Nor should you. But it goes deeper than just knowing to cut losses quickly. Yes, that’s rule #1. But knowing why it’s so hard for some people to follow rule #1 might help. There are two main reasons: stubbornness and ignorance.

Stubbornness is something all traders need to work on. I don’t care how good you are, there will come a time when stubbornness will cause a big loss. Be wary. The market doesn’t care what you think or what you want to happen.

But the second reason newbies don’t cut losses quickly — ignorance — is scarier. They actually believe in the company. They accept hype as reality. They believe promoters and their BS due diligence.

Read last week’s update about OTC fairy tales. Most of these companies have zero revenue, no product, and no hope of ever turning a profit. I don’t care how amazing the due diligence is — it’s not going to the moon. Ever.

Please understand, I don’t hate these companies. I’d love to see one become successful, like True Religion Jeans did back in the day.

True Religion traded on the Nasdaq as TRLG. In 2013, private investment firm TowerBrook purchased it for $32 per share. Long-term shareholders got a good deal. Mind you, True Religion just emerged from its second bankruptcy in three years. So much for the little penny stock that could…

I expect the worst so I’m never disappointed. It’s not random — it’s from experience. My biggest ever loss made me cynical and opened my eyes to how fake and fraudulent this industry is.

3 Penny Stock Risk Management Tips

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These are overarching risk management tips. Start with these, then apply them to any risk management system you use…

Penny Stock Risk Management Tip #1: Expect the Worst From Every Company

Yes, I learned the hard way. It’s all described in detail in my no-cost book “An American Hedge Fund.” Read it and you’ll understand why I’m cynical.

Penny Stock Risk Management Tip #2: Know That What You Buy Is Junk

Twitter pumpers love to hype up stocks with BS due diligence. The number of times I read “Know what you buy” or “Know what you own” every day is crazy.

What you own is junk.

It’s promoted. I’m not saying don’t trade it. Just admit that it’s not world-changing tech. It’s not the next PayPal, Amazon, or Microsoft. And it’s not going to make you rich. No one trade will make you wealthy.

Penny Stock Risk Management Tip #3: Take Responsibility for Your Trades

Not only should you take responsibility for your trades, but you should also do it from start to finish. Never follow alerts to get into a trade.

I do my best to educate people. I work hard to expose the BS in this industry.  But, ultimately, it’s up to you to learn.

Far too often, newbies and undisciplined traders go down with the ship. Then they blame manipulation, short sellers, or even promoters for their losses. But the only person they should blame is themselves.

Losing 40%, 50%, or even 90% on a stock dropping every day is inexcusable. And it’s YOUR fault if you do it. Getting caught once or twice in a panic can happen to anyone. But to hold and hope on a dying pump is the epitome of stupid.

All I can do is get the information out there.

You can believe me, or believe the BS promoters saying, “Only the weak sell…”

Here’s my question to you…

What’s your outcome? Do you REALLY think you’re going to retire on one of these pumps? You’re NOT. They’re JUNK.

Trade Review: Are Penny Stocks Worth the Risk?

It’s a common question. And there’s no denying it, trading is risky. Penny stock companies are the worst of the worst. So are penny stocks worth it?

That depends on a lot of things, but I will say this … I would NEVER invest in a penny stock long-term. They’re NOT investments — they’re trading vehicles. Remember that.

With that in mind, let’s look at two trades from last week. One was my biggest dollar winner, the other was my biggest percent winner.* Keep in mind that I’ve been trading for 20+ years, lose roughly 25% of the time, and trade conservatively.*

(*Please note: My results are far from typical. Individual results will vary. Most traders lose money. I have the benefit of years of hard work, dedication, and experience. Trading is inherently risky. Do your due diligence and never risk more than you can afford to lose.)

The first is a variation on my favorite penny stock pattern for small accounts

Alpine 4 Holdings Inc. (OTCQB: ALPP)

ALPP has been on my watchlist since November. That’s when Alpine 4 announced it was entering the drone market.

Take a look at the ALPP one-year chart:


As you can see, ALPP had a big run in December. It formed a near-perfect cup and handle, and then had a solid breakout in February. Then, like 99% of overextended OTCs, it tanked.

Check out the ALPP intraday chart from March 4 with my buy and sell alerts…

ALPP penny stock chart
ALPP chart: March 4, 2021, intraday panic dip buy — courtesy of StocksToTrade.com

My favorite pattern for small accounts is the morning panic dip buy. This panic happened in the afternoon, but it’s a similar play. Once the panic starts, stop losses get taken out along the way. I got out for $6,076 in profit on this 9.42% win.*

(*Note: My results are far from typical. Individual results will vary. Do your due diligence and never risk more than you can afford to lose.)

Now let’s look at my biggest percent winner from last week…

Max Sound Corporation (OTCPK: MAXD)

Max Sound spiked big in February — like many OTCs —  and then tanked. Here’s the MAXD one-year chart…


On March 4, Max Sound announced an actual revenue-generating joint venture agreement. Here’s the MAXD chart with my buy and sell alerts…

MAXD penny stock chart
MAXD chart: March 4, 2021, STT Breaking News play — courtesy of StocksToTrade.com

As you can see, the news catalyst created a huge spike. I only took part of the move for a 33.93% win.* Some students asked why I didn’t hold this one as it was a first green day OTC. Right now, I’m not holding any OTCs overnight. Again, it’s about risk management.

The risk is too high when the SEC suspended trading of several OTCs due to social media manipulation.

Millionaire Mentor Market Wrap

I get questions about specific risk management systems all the time. While cutting losses quickly is rule #1, it’s not the only risk management consideration.

This is where it gets a little counterintuitive, but bear with me…

The Sykes Sliding Scale looks at seven different indicators. One of those is risk/reward. But if you take a step back, the entire Sykes Sliding Scale is like a risk management system.

Not in the sense that I have exact predetermined percentages for losses or gains. And I don’t choose an exact position size based solely on a max allowable loss. It’s not an exact science.

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Using the seven indicators gives me a good idea of where I’d like to buy or sell, and why. The important thing to remember is that all seven indicators work together.

For example, time of day matters. So in the ALPP trade above, I probably would’ve taken a bigger position if the panic happened in the morning. And pattern/price action matters. If the panic was bigger, say it took out $3, I might have loaded up.

The MAXD trade is another example using the time of day and the overall market environment.

For more on penny stock risk management, read “The Complete Penny Stock Course.” (See page 133: Risk Management Strategies.)

Most importantly, educate yourself…

FREE Penny Stock Guide

If you’re brand new to penny stocks, read this guide. It will help you understand the potential and risks of trading penny stocks. Access my penny stock guide here.

30-Day Bootcamp

The 30-Day Bootcamp can help you build a solid foundation of my strategies. Plus, you get “The Complete Penny Stock Course” and “Pennystocking Framework” as bonuses. Start the 30-Day Bootcamp today.

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What do you think of penny stock risk management? What do you do to keep yourself safe trading penny stocks? Comment below, I love to hear from all my readers!

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Author card Timothy Sykes picture

Timothy Sykes

Tim Sykes is a penny stock trader and teacher who became a self-made millionaire by the age of 22 by trading $12,415 of bar mitzvah money. After becoming disenchanted with the hedge fund world, he established the Tim Sykes Trading Challenge to teach aspiring traders how to follow his trading strategies. He’s been featured in a variety of media outlets including CNN, Larry King, Steve Harvey, Forbes, Men’s Journal, and more. He’s also an active philanthropist and environmental activist, a co-founder of Karmagawa, and has donated millions of dollars to charity. Read More

* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”