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Know the Outcome, Plan Your Trade

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Written by Timothy Sykes
Updated 10/1/2026 6 min read

I don’t know the term, but in pool games you have to call the ball and pocket.

If it goes into another pocket, one you didn’t call, it doesn’t count, right?

Trading works the same way for me…

I know many people just judge a trade by gains.

“Oh, Tim, congrats. You did well.”

I don’t care whether I make or lose 1%, 2%, or 3%…

Those are just scratches.

I go for a very specific outcome.

This is what I want for you…

Trade With an Outcome in Mind

This is the beautiful thing…

Image created with Google Gemini
Image created with Google Gemini

If you watch a stock and it does nothing, you accept it and move on.

You’re going for a very specific outcome. So, focus on plays that fit my patterns.

As you learn more, you can focus on plays that fit your favorite patterns.

If it doesn’t work out, you cut losses quickly. That is the whole key here.

This recent trade is a good example…

Why I Trade for a Specific Outcome

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This was a very small win. But I’m actually proud of it because I followed my plan.

On Wednesday (Sept. 30), Logistics Properties of the Americas (NYSE: LPA) announced it completed an asset sale to Peru-based REIT FIBRA Prime. The sale price was “a nearly 20% premium to the property’s carrying value […].”

The stock spiked after-hours on the news.

Here’s my trade…

LPH 9/30/26, 1-min candles, after-hours dip buy
LPH 9/30/26, 1-min candles, after-hours dip buy

Normally, I stay away from double tops.

But where I was dip buying, I thought it could potentially break out (I’m always looking for breakouts).

Obviously, with double tops, you have to watch out. It turns out the double top held (it actually turned out to be a quadruple top).

But I took the trade because I thought it could break out.

And I chose a dip buy so I wasn’t chasing it at the key level in the high $3.40s.

So, I bought the dip.

It was a very simple trade: buy on the dip, go for the breakout.

It could not break out. It got to $3.40 while I was in it, but failed there.

Whether I make 3% or lose 3%, it didn’t do what I wanted. So, I got out.

I’m going for a very specific outcome, okay?

Know the Outcome To Plan Your Trade

Understand that the market doesn’t care what you or I want.

© Millionaire Media
© Millionaire Media

But I still trade for a specific outcome.

Think about it…

If a trade is going against your clearly defined outcome, you cut for a small loss (or small gain).

If you don’t trade for a specific outcome, how do you know?

The reality is, if you don’t have an outcome in mind, it’s pretty difficult to create a trade plan.

Mind you, I didn’t have these rules when I was starting. I just traded randomly (like most people).

These are the rules that I have worked on, refined, and optimized over 28 years of trading.

So, whether you like VWAP dip buys, or breakouts, or something else, go for a very specific outcome.

If it doesn’t work, cut it.

That is key.

Millionaire Moves

I have to give another shout-out to Trading Challenge student AJ because what he said applies to this idea of trading for a specific outcome:

“My best month since I started the challenge… +1,880! The key to my best month is I KEPT MY RED DAYS SMALL! I had about 6 red days and it avg’d out to be around -$70 each. This is off mostly $50 risk trades.”*

This is key, okay?

If I’ve said it once, I’ve said it a million times: cut losses quickly.

This is how ALL of my top millionaire students began. Every single one of them.

That’s the crazy thing…

We’re not just picking random stocks, there is a process here, okay?

Discover the Millionaire Formula

I can’t promise you will become one of my millionaire students.

© Millionaire Media
© Millionaire Media

Obviously, I can’t even guarantee your success (it’s up to you).

But the fact is, the process I teach has created 55 millionaire students (and counting).

Most traders lose money.

Which is why my beginner-friendly formula to target the smallest stocks with the biggest potential could be an absolute game changer for you.

My Millionaire Formula Conference starts today, October 2, 2026.

Secure Your Free Ticket Now (Hurry! Registration Closes at 1:30PM ET)

Come ready to take notes (with a specific outcome in mind).

Key Takeaway

Remember, it’s not just about gains.

You can learn something from every single trade.

Over time you’ll have wins and losses. You’ll have to make adjustments.

Sometimes you’ll need to be more aggressive. Other times you’ll need to be more disciplined.

But if you always trade for a specific outcome, at least you know.

Cheers,

Tim Sykes

*Results not typical. Past performance is not indicative of future results.


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Timothy Sykes

Tim Sykes is a penny stock trader and teacher who became a self-made millionaire by the age of 22 by trading $12,415 of bar mitzvah money. After becoming disenchanted with the hedge fund world, he established the Tim Sykes Trading Challenge to teach aspiring traders how to follow his trading strategies. He’s been featured in a variety of media outlets including CNN, Larry King, Steve Harvey, Forbes, Men’s Journal, and more. He’s also an active philanthropist and environmental activist, a co-founder of Karmagawa, and has donated millions of dollars to charity.
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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”