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Election Day! Everything Traders Need To Know

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Written by Timothy Sykes
Reviewed by Jack Kellogg Fact-checked by Ellis Hobbs
Updated 11/4/2024 5 min read

Welcome traders,

Today’s the day …

Millions of Americans are going to the polls to participate in one of the most heated election races that the nation has ever seen.

I’m definitely interested in the outcome.

But I’m MOST interested in the market volatility tomorrow, November 6.

Make no mistake:

There will be profit opportunities this week as a result of the election.

There’s no way of knowing who will win. And there’s no way of knowing exactly how the market will react. But we can expect volatility. And as traders, we can use that volatility to profit.

The most obvious stock to watch is Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (NASDAQ: DJT).

It’s a little higher priced than the penny stocks that I usually trade. But the chart shows us obvious signs of support and resistance. That makes it tradable!

Plus … It’s not the only election stock that’s spiking right now. On Monday we watched a stock in the renewable-energy sector spike 120%*.

And it’s still in play today!

How To Trade These Runners

We’re always looking for the same patterns on every stock spike.

The patterns never change because they’re based on human emotion/psychology.

People behave predictably when they’re stressed. Like when they have cash in a stock that’s spiking +100%.

One of the major results of this predictability: Support and resistance lines.

People like whole numbers. If a stock hits $5 per share, that’s much more significant than a price of $4.87 or $5.13.

Someone who’s stressed while trading will likely react to a $5 price level rather than some other random price.

These whole numbers A.K.A significant price levels, act as support and resistance for the price action.

We see this happen a lot on volatile stocks. It’s how my students and I build smart positions.

As I mentioned earlier, DJT shows obvious signs of support and resistance, especially on a daily timeline.

Take a look at the chart below, every candle represents one trading day:

DJT chart multi-day, 1-minute candles Source: StocksToTrade

We can see support and resistance lines intraday as well …

For example, on Monday morning, Advent Technologies Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: ADN) spiked 160%* with news that it was awarded a grant from the EU Innovation Fund for RHyno Project.

Take a look at the intraday price action with regard to key price levels. On the chart below, every candle represents one trading minute:

ADN chart intraday, 1-minute candles Source: StocksToTrade

ADN is spiking with a solid news catalyst and it’s also an election play …

The Democratic party is often associated with green energy initiatives, and ADN develops hydrogen fuel-cell systems.

Plus, ADN isn’t the only green-energy stock that’s running during this election race … Vast Renewables Limited (NASDAQ: VSTE) spiked 690%* since last Tuesday, October 29.

Keep an eye on these stocks on Wednesday, November 6.

But be careful! Don’t fall for a common beginner’s mistake!

Don’t Make This Trading Mistake

No one knows who will win the election.

And more importantly, no one knows how the stock market will react.

As a result, it’s important that traders follow a key rule. It’s called, “buy the rumor, sell the news.”

It means, we can trade the volatility before and after the election, but we don’t want to hold shares through the election.

Someone who holds shares of DJT is essentially gambling on a Trump victory.

But even if Trump wins, the stock could still fall lower.

Truth Social is an underperforming company and it’s possible that everyone who would have bought after a Trump victory already did in anticipation of a victory. So then when Trump wins, there are only sellers left.

The same goes for a Harris victory with relation to green-energy stocks.

Wait for the election results on the night of November 5. Then scan the market the next morning for a market trajectory. That’s how professionals approach these opportunities.

Luckily, you don’t have to be a professional. My newest students can use AI to track the hottest stocks in the market. Stocks that follow our patterns!

I trained the XGPT AI bot to look for my patterns in the market. Remember, the patterns are always the same. It was only a matter of time until the AI caught on.

On Wednesday morning, find the hottest stock in the market and type it into the XGPT trade bot!

It will spit out a trade plan as if you asked me directly.

There IS a science to this!

Cheers.

 

*Past performance does not indicate future results


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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”