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Growth or Bubble? Wolfspeed’s Surging Stock Analyzed

Matt MonacoAvatar
Written by Matt Monaco
Updated 5/21/2025, 9:19 am ET 6 min read

In this article

  • WOLF-70.21%
    WOLF - NYSEWolfspeed Inc.
    $0.93-2.20 (-70.21%)
    Volume:  61.32M
    Float:  154.02M
    $0.91Day Low/High$1.48

Wolfspeed Inc.’s stocks have been trading down by -63.27 percent, driven by market uncertainties surrounding their growth strategy execution.

Key Events Driving Wolfspeed’s Market Movements

  • Piper Sandler adjusted their price target for Wolfspeed from $10 to $6, indicating a long road ahead for the company’s full recovery despite the introduction of a new CEO.

  • In ongoing talks for debt restructuring, Wolfspeed is negotiating with Apollo Global Management, aiming for potential resolution outside of court, while Apollo sits high in Wolfspeed’s $6.5B debt structure.

  • Shareholder confidence waned as JANA Partners exited their position in Wolfspeed during the first quarter, prompting further market scrutiny.

  • Following a downgrade from Citi to a ‘Sell’ rating, Wolfspeed now faces a price target of merely $3, sparking additional investor concerns.

  • The stock experienced a sharp decline of -23.9%, settling at $3.37 per share, as investors reacted to multiple headwinds.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update At 09:18:35 EST: On Wednesday, May 21, 2025 Wolfspeed Inc. stock [NYSE: WOLF] is trending down by -63.27%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Quick Overview of Recent Earnings and Key Metrics

As traders navigate the ever-changing landscape of the financial markets, they often find it challenging to keep up with the rapid pace of fluctuations. Adapting to these changes is crucial for success. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes, says, “You must adapt to the market; the market will not adapt to you.” This mindset underscores the importance of flexibility and continuous learning, which can significantly enhance a trader’s ability to make informed decisions amidst the unpredictable nature of the market.

Wolfspeed has been navigating turbulent waters recently, marked by fiscal shortfalls and investor skittishness. The company posted a wider Q3 non-GAAP net loss, leading to a stark 20% fall in share prices. This downward move highlights the disconnect between revenue expectations and current financial realities. There’s even a sober note of pessimism from the 2026 revenue outlook failing to meet analysts’ predictions.

Analyzing the numbers, Wolfspeed’s revenue stood at $807.2M, a considerable amount yet overshadowed by profitability concerns. Metrics like an EBIT margin of -161.3%, gross margin of -12.3%, and a pretax profit margin of -67.1% paint a dreary picture. High leverage and liquidity hurdles further problematize the scenario, complemented by negative returns on equity and assets indicating inefficiency in asset utilizations. Additionally, total assets registered a value of $7.57B, but this strength is undermined by a hefty long-term debt size of $6.52B, shackling their potential for profitable growth.

More Breaking News

In considering stock performance, current trading scenarios depicted in the market are equally revealing. A steep decline from a high of $4.35 to $3.13 over recent days indicates a loss in investor confidence. The possibility of future rebounds depends crucially on achieving strategic financial restructuring and aligning operational efficiencies, without which Wolfspeed’s market position may remain volatile.

Impact and Meaning of Recent News

The current market sentiment about Wolfspeed delineates a combination of doubt and opportunity. The downgrade by Citi and the price target reduction to $3 highlight the diminishing faith from the investment community. Additionally, Piper Sandler’s lowering of the price target casts further doubts on short-term prospects. Furthermore, the turmoil resulting from JANA Partners’ withdrawal manifests a general unease within major stakeholders about Wolfspeed’s ability to bounce back in the bustling semiconductor market.

Amidst these challenges, the potential negotiation with Apollo Global Management for debt restructuring might hint at an effort towards stabilizing finances. Yet, the road to recovery seems convoluted as revenues underperform, which could lead to “going concern” notes being added in forthcoming financial statements.

The departures of influential investors and aggressive sell-off triggers further evoke market skepticism. These significant exit points are predicted to pave the way for possible acquisitions or drastic measures to mitigate ongoing losses. Entering into the investment landscape with strategic collaborations and creditors offering to refinance upcoming bonds might allow Wolfspeed to chart a new path.

Conclusion: What’s Next for Wolfspeed?

Into the depths of financial challenges, Wolfspeed stands at a critical juncture. With speculative trading interests faltering, the narrative hinges on Wolfspeed’s capacity to implement adaptive changes, resolve impending debts, and enhance operational effectiveness. The consistent downgrade from major analysts and traders dumps cold water on optimistic projections, highlighting the uncertainties that lurk.

However, for the patient and risk-tolerant trader, Wolfspeed might still hold some flicker of potential—especially if they successfully develop partnerships and innovations to break free from their current predicaments. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes, says, “Preparation plus patience leads to big profits.” The company wrestles with its internal dynamics, trying to maintain momentum – a dance that could either foster resilience or lead to further declines in value. Boys and girls interested in finance, “What will Wolfspeed’s next move be?”, indeed, great perplexity awaits.

This is stock news, not investment advice. Timothy Sykes News delivers real-time stock market news focused on key catalysts driving short-term price movements. Our content is tailored for active traders and investors seeking to capitalize on rapid price fluctuations, particularly in volatile sectors like penny stocks. Readers come to us for detailed coverage on earnings reports, mergers, FDA approvals, new contracts, and unusual trading volumes that can trigger significant short-term price action. Some users utilize our news to explain sudden stock movements, while others rely on it for diligent research into potential investment opportunities.

Dive deeper into the world of trading with Timothy Sykes, renowned for his expertise in penny stocks. Explore his top picks and discover the strategies that have propelled him to success with these articles:

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Matt Monaco

Mentor and Trainer at StocksToTrade.com, Lead Mentor at Small Cap Rockets and To The Moon Report
He is a diligent trader and teacher in his To The Moon Report blogs and Small Cap Rockets strategy webinars. He shows up every day, and expects his students to as well. Matt is fond of trading sketchy, volatile OTC stocks with profit potential. His favorite patterns are panic dip buys and breakouts.
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In this article (YTD Performance)


* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”

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