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TSM Stock Surge: Opportunity or Caution?

Jack KelloggAvatar
Written by Jack Kellogg Reviewed by Ellis Hobbs Fact-checked by Matt Monaco
Updated 7/17/2025, 9:18 am ET 7/17/2025, 9:18 am ET | 5 min 5 min read
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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. stocks have been trading up by 3.32 percent amid positive market sentiment.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update At 09:18:10 EST: On Thursday, July 17, 2025 Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. stock [NYSE: TSM] is trending up by 3.32%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Financial Overview and Performance Insights:

The market has been abuzz with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd.’s (TSM) rapid expansion and financial growth. With June revenues up by 27%, marking a record NT$263.71 billion for the month and contributing to a 40% increase for the first half of 2025, TSMC appears to be on an impressive growth trajectory. Given the performance data, the company’s stock has been experiencing gains, encouraging confidence among traders. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes says, “Consistency is key in trading; don’t let emotions dictate your trades.” This principle resonates with the current sentiment around TSMC’s stock, as traders look to maintain a steady approach to capitalize on the company’s ongoing success.

From a financial perspective, TSM’s profitability and return ratios provide essential insights. The pretax profit margin standing at 43.9% accentuates its competitive edge within the semiconductor industry. Furthermore, an enterprise value towering at approximately $1.16 trillion indicates robust valuation metrics, supplemented by a healthy price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 31. Moreover, despite macroeconomic challenges, the diversification into AI and N2 technologies is anticipated to bolster revenue streams significantly heading into 2026.

The sentiment from recent market news bolsters these financial findings. Susquehanna’s confidence, reflected in raising TSM’s price target, underscores the long-term potential of TSM’s ventures and operations. While interim fluctuations like potential currency disruptions linger, the holistic growth trajectory remains promising.

From recent chart data, TSM’s stock prices have experienced significant ups and downs, with a notable uptick recorded on July 10, showing a robust climb to $229.76 after dipping to a low of $227.77. By July 16, stock prices see an upward trend with a closing value of $237.56, reflecting substantial gains in investor confidence as they realign with the company’s strategic outlook.

Analysis of Factors Influencing Stock Movement:

The acceleration in expanding chip production into new geographies shows TSM’s adaptive strength in grappling with international demands. The Vanguard project in Singapore signals pivotal moves to bolster global manufacturing footprint. As world economies increasingly emphasize technological infrastructure, establishing bases in varied locations like Singapore and the proposed Project Crystal Land in Arizona showcases TSM’s strategic acumen.

Foremost, the spike in TSM’s share movement can be attributed to broader US equity gains. Recent calming in Mideast tensions and a US Senate tax proposal unveil favorable market conditioning. A potential tax credit increase from 25% to 30% for chip makers conveys supporting policies to incentivize growth, likely propelling TSM’s ongoing expansion plans and reinforcing its standing within the tech industry.

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Concluding Thoughts:

While TSM’s pathway seems laden with promising prospects, potential traders and analysts must weigh evolving macroeconomic factors and the company’s long-term tech advancements’ viability. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes, says, “Be patient, don’t force trades, and let the perfect setups come to you.” It remains pertinent to question whether this upward streak aligns with sustainable growth or whether caution prevails amid the competitive semiconductor domain’s unpredictability. With diverse ventures ahead, including AI and advanced platforms, stakeholders remain watchful as TSM crafts its narrative in the ever-shifting technological landscape.

This is stock news, not investment advice. Timothy Sykes News delivers real-time stock market news focused on key catalysts driving short-term price movements. Our content is tailored for active traders and investors seeking to capitalize on rapid price fluctuations, particularly in volatile sectors like penny stocks. Readers come to us for detailed coverage on earnings reports, mergers, FDA approvals, new contracts, and unusual trading volumes that can trigger significant short-term price action. Some users utilize our news to explain sudden stock movements, while others rely on it for diligent research into potential investment opportunities.

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Jack Kellogg

He teaches webinars on Tim Sykes’ Trading Challenge He became Tim’s youngest millionaire student in 2020. Now he’s second on the Trading Challenge leaderboard with $12.9 million in career earnings. He’s a master of the 7-Step Pennystocking Framework. Jack is one of a rare breed of traders to profitably trade the entire penny stock framework.
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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”