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STLD Stock Soars: Time to Buy or Hold?

Jack KelloggAvatar
Written by Jack Kellogg Reviewed by Tim Sykes Fact-checked by Ellis Hobbs
Updated 9/16/2025, 2:33 pm ET 9/16/2025, 2:33 pm ET | 8 min 8 min read
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Steel Dynamics Inc.’s stocks have been trading up by 7.05 percent, signaling positive investor sentiment.

  • Steel Dynamics plans to enhance its strategic position by acquiring the remaining 55% stake in New Process Steel, expanding its reach and capabilities within metal solutions, particularly in the U.S. and Mexico.

  • Recent antidumping and countervailing duties investigations by the U.S. Department of Commerce could positively affect Steel Dynamics by reducing competition from cheaper foreign steel products.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update At 14:32:48 EST: On Tuesday, September 16, 2025 Steel Dynamics Inc. stock [NASDAQ: STLD] is trending up by 7.05%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Quick Overview of Steel Dynamics Inc.’s Recent Financials

As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes, says, “The goal is not to win every trade but to protect your capital and keep moving forward.” Many novice traders succumb to the pressure of trying to make every trade profitable, which often leads to poor decision-making and increased risk. Instead, experienced traders focus on the long-term growth of their trading accounts by honing their strategies and managing their risks effectively. Understanding that not every trade will be a winner is crucial to sustaining trading activities and progressively building expertise in the field.

Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD) is on a roll, showing remarkable earnings potential. Recently, the company projected a significant increase in its earnings for the third quarter of 2025. Analysts expect earnings to climb from $2.01 in the previous quarter to between $2.60 and $2.64 per share. This performance shines a spotlight on diverse business segments within the company that are doing well.

The jump in earnings is thanks in part to robust steel shipments and a broadened metal spread. Both non-ferrous metal and steel operations are performing well. The news just keeps getting better, as their nascent aluminum flat-rolled products mill in Mississippi and the new recycled slab center in Mexico are up and running successfully.

Looking at STLD’s share value on the stock market, it’s been something akin to a roller coaster. For instance, the most recent close on September 16, 2025, put the stock price at $140.85, marking a steady uptick from a low close of $130.65 earlier in the week. Notably, the stock exhibited peak intraday prices higher than its opening value, indicating strong market interest and investor confidence.

Now, diving into key financial metrics, Steel Dynamics presents a solid picture. With a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 18.93, the company stands out in its industry for its moderate valuation. The quick ratio, a measure of the firm’s ability to handle short-term liabilities, sits at a reassuring 0.3. Additionally, a positive current ratio of 3.1 indicates strong liquidity and implies that the company efficiently manages its obligations. These statistics echo a sentiment of financial strength and health.

In an ever-competitive market, Steel Dynamics leverages a comprehensive financial strategy. Their asset turnover ratio, a testament to efficient asset use, rests at 1.1, while the firm’s return on equity proves exceptional at 30.19%. From a shareholder perspective, dividend payments are consistent, with a yield of approximately 1.52%. Furthermore, strategic stock repurchases, including a $185M buyback, underline the company’s commitment to generating shareholder value.

The financial juggernaut also boasts comprehensive revenue figures. Total revenue recently hit an impressive $17.54B. However, the firm’s revenue three-year average change has presented a challenge at -8.22%, offset by a five-year growth rate of 21.56%. This growth is a testament to management’s forward-thinking initiatives and investment into high-growth sectors.

When taking a peek into the nitty-gritty daily trading data, there’ve been notable fluctuations as investors keep a keen eye. Intraday analysis reveals movement influenced by broader market conditions and the anticipated earnings report. Highs of $141.22 and lows of $135.43 on September 16, 2025, illustrated market enthusiasm, as well as tempered response under volatile conditions.

Lastly, recent financial statements exhibit a sound management of cash flows despite negative figures in particular areas, such as decreased net issuance payments of debt and investing cash flow. Steel Dynamics ensures its cash position is firm with a robust operating cash flow of $301.61M.

Market Insights: Recent Developments and Predictions

STLD is continuously evolving, thanks to strategic moves and market trends. Stakeholders’ eyes are glued to Steel Dynamics Inc.’s upcoming acquisition of New Process Steel. The firm’s intent to buy the remaining ownership signals a bold play at enhancing capabilities and bolstering industry dominance, particularly within the high-demand sectors of metals solutions and distribution.

Moreover, the U.S. Department of Commerce’s actions regarding import duties offer STLD and its peers a safety net against lower-cost international competition, ensuring sustainable demand for American-produced steel. These measures stand to bolster domestic producers like STLD with a level playing field, strengthening their market position.

The potential ramifications of these developments beg reflection. Take acquisitions, for instance: they expand a company’s range and can lead to synergistic growth due to deeper integration into supply chains. By tapping into New Process Steel’s operations in two critical regions—the U.S. and Mexico—Steel Dynamics is setting itself up for future expansion and greater market penetration.

The intensifying U.S tariff landscape relative to foreign steel could be a game-changer for STLD, potentially hiking its sales and reinforcing its share price. Stock traders may interpret these developments as positive, hence explaining the company’s fortified stock performance after the commerce rulings.

The potential growth areas remain robust against the backdrop of initiatives such as recycling centers and process enhancements. Such expansions seldom deliver immediate visibility on the balance sheet, yet they align with long-term sustainability goals.

All in all, market forecasts, based on a mix of finance data and trend analysis, forecast more promising outlooks for the company. In upcoming trading sessions, stakeholders might see reinforced stock values, backed by positive market sentiment, aligned with acquisitions and pivotal macroeconomic factors that favor local steel producers.

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Summary: Future Market Dynamics

Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD) is riding high with thriving operations and strategic maneuvers set to unlock additional value. As we’ve discussed, third-quarter earnings projections are trending upwards, and efficient use of capital and quick stock repurchases fuel trader optimism. Key acquisitions and responses to international competition fortify its competitive positioning.

In the shifting marketplace, STLD’s anticipation of improved earnings speaks volumes of its forward momentum. Shareholders and traders should remain diligent observers as they weigh expanding facilities, strategic acquisitions, and macroeconomic shifts shaping the company’s future. As Steel Dynamics gears up for growth, potential market participants must consider whether it is a buying opportunity worth seizing now. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes says, “There is always another play around the corner; don’t chase just because you feel FOMO.” It is essential for traders to balance enthusiasm with caution, especially in volatile markets.

While the journey ahead may present challenges, with the right strategic outlook and competitive finesse, Steel Dynamics is undeniably a player to watch closely. Traders will be eagerly awaiting forthcoming releases and market indicators that further validate or challenge such upward trends, setting the stage for informed decisions and meticulous strategizing in the near future.

This is stock news, not investment advice. Timothy Sykes News delivers real-time stock market news focused on key catalysts driving short-term price movements. Our content is tailored for active traders and investors seeking to capitalize on rapid price fluctuations, particularly in volatile sectors like penny stocks. Readers come to us for detailed coverage on earnings reports, mergers, FDA approvals, new contracts, and unusual trading volumes that can trigger significant short-term price action. Some users utilize our news to explain sudden stock movements, while others rely on it for diligent research into potential investment opportunities.

Dive deeper into the world of trading with Timothy Sykes, renowned for his expertise in penny stocks. Explore his top picks and discover the strategies that have propelled him to success with these articles:

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Jack Kellogg

He teaches webinars on Tim Sykes’ Trading Challenge He became Tim’s youngest millionaire student in 2020. Now he’s second on the Trading Challenge leaderboard with $12.9 million in career earnings. He’s a master of the 7-Step Pennystocking Framework. Jack is one of a rare breed of traders to profitably trade the entire penny stock framework.
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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

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Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”