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SoFi Technologies’ Earnings Drop: A Buying Chance?

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SoFi Technologies’ Earnings Drop: A Buying Chance?

Bryce TuoheyAvatar
Written by Bryce Tuohey
Updated 2/20/2025, 5:20 pm ET | 7 min

In this article

  • SOFI-0.19%
    SOFI - NYSESoFi Technologies Inc.
    $25.82-0.05 (-0.19%)
    Volume:  36.32M
    Float:  1.23B
    $25.77Day Low/High$26.40

SoFi Technologies Inc. is seeing downward pressure after cautionary analysis from major outlets about their recent financial performance and potential challenges ahead for their lending business, impacting investor sentiment. On Thursday, SoFi Technologies Inc.’s stocks have been trading down by -4.45 percent.

Key Market Updates:

  • Market watchers observed a sharp drop in shares, plummeting over 9%, after SoFi Technologies issued forecasts for Q1 and the fiscal year 2025 that fell short of analyst expectations.
  • Despite outperforming in Q4 with positive earnings, SoFi’s guidance for 2025 earnings below analyst views resulted in a more than 12% decline in stock value.
  • Analyst Mihir Bhatia from BofA adjusted SoFi’s price target, raising it to $13 from $12, acknowledging increased customer traction, but cited higher short-term expenses as a cautionary note.
  • SoFi Technologies reported a projected 2025 earnings per share between $0.25 to $0.27, which was less than the expected $0.28, adding to the downtrend pressure on the stock.
  • Investors were surprised by the mixed revenue outcomes for Q4 and a confusing 2025 outlook, causing a stock price slide even though the company previously reported a robust Q4 adjusted earnings beat.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update At 17:20:17 EST: On Thursday, February 20, 2025 SoFi Technologies Inc. stock [NASDAQ: SOFI] is trending down by -4.45%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Earnings Snapshot & Financial Highlights

In the world of penny stock trading, the balance between risk and reward requires careful consideration. Many traders understand the importance of setting clear limits to protect their capital. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes, says, “It’s better to go home at zero than to go home in the red.” His advice emphasizes the value of cutting losses and adhering to a disciplined strategy, rather than risking significant losses by holding onto losing positions in hopes of a turnaround. This mindset helps traders make rational decisions and ensures they remain in the game for the long haul.

Imagine a scenario where a tech-driven financial services company announces an unexpected twist in its earnings guidance. SOFI faced precisely this situation with its recently declared quarterly results. This intriguing company, which started as a student loan refinancing giant, is now navigating the choppy waters of diversified financial services. Shock resonated through the market as SOFI, predicting its earnings for 2025, found itself in hot water with analyst expectations, despite cheering investors with Q4 successes. A peculiar rise in customer numbers anchored an increase in revenue, yet steep near-term costs crimped its sails.

SOFI’s revenue climbed impressively to $2.12B, mirroring its ambitious grasp on the customer base, though this left a significant mark on its short-term expenses. The EBIT margin standing at -8.2 and a pretax profit margin of -16.1 make the struggle apparent. Financial strength remains a challenge with a leverage ratio of 5.6. However, as investors know well, patience is often a necessary virtue. With a total debt-to-equity ratio of 0.54, SOFI leans heavily on borrowed capital, setting the stage for a battle between risk management and strategic growth initiatives.

More Breaking News

Step into a late January trading day, and SOFI stock took a tangible plunge, slipping past 12% by the close of trading hours. Market landscapes can be unforgiving for a company treading the uncertainty of future projections. The change in working capital also took a toll, a massive burden of -$1.47B highlighted by a continued effort to grow aggressively. The company’s cash flow narratives are a mix of tales; its Cash Flow from Continuing Operating Activities, like a movie, portrayed a downward spiral to -$1.17B, the Capital Expenditure at -$43M signaling thoughtful, albeit pricey, expansions.

Market Implications and Interpretations of SOFI’s Performance

The world of stocks is not known for its patience, and SOFI’s recent soaring customer count brought with it inquisitive observers. As Mihir Bhatia’s analysis from BofA revealed, the dual forces of growth ambitions and cost implications are steering this ship. While raising its price target, Bhatia highlighted the weight of short-term costs on its footprint. Investors, riding the highs of Q4 beats, now find themselves sailing towards an unpredictable horizon. SoFi Technologies shareholders are huddling to deduce whether this dip represents a cautious pause or a golden opportunity for entry, taught by the constant yank between present tribulations and an optimistic tomorrow spelled by the positive, albeit diluted, Q4 earnings.

Through the lens of SOFI’s financial intricacies, the drama unfolds with the company’s stock price fluctuations, reflecting a battle against gravity within its quarter-to-quarter theatrics. As financial artists on Wall Street paint a flourishing yet interrupted landscape, investors face the tough call on where this journey leads next. The numbers hide stories of their own—like a ‘Cash at Hand’ note pleading for the next payday, while Liabilities weigh down Assets by approximately $33.8B to $61.2B in Total Equity.

The Future of SOFI: Navigating Uncertain Waters

From revenue surges and key ratios to what may feel like a traffic jam in expenses, SOFI’s canvas features a spectrum of hues for every financial connoisseur. Q4, a beacon in the internet-dominated skies, counteracts the humbling guidance for 2025—a year projected to stumble ever so slightly at $0.25-$0.27 EPS, dodging below the FactSet consensus expectation of $0.28. Unfolding like magic through EOD transactions, daily price trajectories tell the continuing saga of anticipation and anxiety as mid-afternoon uncertainty bounced ticket prices between a low of 15.38 and then towards closing at 15.555 all in one intraday storyline.

History suggests that such skirmishes are far from final. SOFI emerged in the financial dialogues of many investors talking of dreams carved in risky capital, bolstered by SOFI’s Total Revenues pecking closely at $697M for Q3 2024. Their discernible dip above the $16 mark marked an opening, suggesting perhaps unprecedented prowess, containing within it inklings of wider market value fluctuations afraid of ghostly fiscal-year projections. Yet, despite straying below expectations, the drilled promise of cautious expansion hangs, poised on turning cost struggles into future laurels.

Conclusion

So, what could possibly await this financial marvel? While strapping in for a bumpy ride, our tales of numbers veer through profit margins, towering debts, and looming guidance challenges. It was, is, and will remain a ride for the perceptive—the insight-driven traders crafting montages of SOFI’s journey of wins amid revenue drizzle, mingled with hope for balance as sky-high visions loom. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes says, “Embrace the journey, the ups and downs; each mistake is a lesson to improve your strategy.” Through the lens of hard-hitting stats, smart traders set about redefining financial plans, primed to compose masterpieces from lessons learned in market volatility.

This content is produced using automated systems designed to deliver timely stock news. All material is reviewed by our editorial team and is provided solely for informational and entertainment purposes. It does not constitute professional investment advice. For additional details, please refer to our [Terms of Service]

This is stock news, not investment advice. Timothy Sykes News delivers real-time stock market news focused on key catalysts driving short-term price movements. Our content is tailored for active traders and investors seeking to capitalize on rapid price fluctuations, particularly in volatile sectors like penny stocks. Readers come to us for detailed coverage on earnings reports, mergers, FDA approvals, new contracts, and unusual trading volumes that can trigger significant short-term price action. Some users utilize our news to explain sudden stock movements, while others rely on it for diligent research into potential investment opportunities.

Dive deeper into the world of trading with Timothy Sykes, renowned for his expertise in penny stocks. Explore his top picks and discover the strategies that have propelled him to success with these articles:

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Bryce Tuohey

Mentor and Trainer at StocksToTrade.com, Lead Mentor at Small Cap Rockets and To The Moon Report
Bryce’s first pattern was buying into strength in breakouts. But he noticed when they didn’t work, he took bigger losses. When the OTC market got hot, Bryce learned to dip buy the inevitable panics. He adapted his breakout strategy and now buys consolidation and trend breaks. His goal is to have better risk/reward and get an entry before multi-day listed breakouts.
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In this article (YTD Performance)


* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”

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