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Robinhood’s Stock Surge: What’s Next?

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Written by Timothy Sykes
Updated 9/29/2025, 2:33 pm ET 9/29/2025, 2:33 pm ET | 6 min 6 min read

Robinhood Markets Inc.’s stocks traded up by 10.34 percent, underscoring a strong positive market sentiment.

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Live Update At 14:32:35 EST: On Monday, September 29, 2025 Robinhood Markets Inc. stock [NASDAQ: HOOD] is trending up by 10.34%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Insights Into Robinhood’s Financial Landscape

When approaching the stock market, traders need to adopt strategies that enhance their chances of success. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes, says, “Cut losses quickly, let profits ride, and don’t overtrade.” This mindset underscores the importance of being disciplined and strategic in order to prevent significant losses and maximize gains. Additionally, traders must resist the urge to make hasty decisions that can lead to overtrading, as it often results in unfavorable outcomes. By keeping these principles in mind, traders can navigate the complexities of the market more effectively and potentially achieve greater long-term success.

Analyzing Robinhood’s financial data reveals an intriguing snapshot of its current position and future potential. Robinhood’s stock is currently riding high, with a surge in the price making investors cautiously optimistic yet curious about the driving forces behind the recent upward swing.

Stock Price Performance

Looking at the closing price from recent days, Robinhood’s stocks are showing a commendable rally. The daily close jumped from $117.46 on 10 Sep 2025 to an impressive $134.37 by 29 Sep 2025. A burst of buying activity can often spark such rallies, raising questions about what lies behind this momentum.

Digging deeper, Robinhood’s recent collaboration with Kalshi as noted by Piper Sandler, and its breaking into private markets with Robinhood Ventures Fund I, have introduced new channels of revenue and growth. Analysts have highlighted these actions as catalysts igniting investor interest and confidence.

Key Financial Metrics

Stepping back, we find Robinhood has strong gross margins of 92.2%, a telling indicator of its operational efficiency. However, the pretax profit margin is strikingly low, sitting at -32%. This juxtaposition suggests that while Robinhood is adept at curbing its cost of sales, other expenses still dampen its bottom-line profitability.

The recent enhanced trading activity, as seen in the published financial reports, supports this market vitality, yet the asset turnover remains under a cautious eye, calculated at just 0.1. This metric weighs heavily on the company’s efficiency narrative as it reveals a sluggish conversion of assets into revenue. Coupled with the aforementioned razor-sharp gross margins, Robinhood sits at an operational horn. It highlights an opportunity gap between sales and net profit.

More Breaking News

Market Implications

The advancements made by Robinhood, particularly in the trading sector and private markets, potentially chart a new growth path. The Insider trading news of the CEO and CTO, who offloaded a significant trove of shares, gives a nuanced hiccup amidst this rally. While CEO Vladimir Tenev and CTO Jeffrey Tsvi Pinner might have offloaded shares to rebalance portfolios, the timing has observers looking for more clarity regarding how they perceive Robinhood’s future trajectory.

Their stock movements show a proactive stance towards their personal assets’ flexibility, keeping actual shareholding vast and influential. By still holding millions of shares, they maintain personal stakes in Robinhood’s market performance. This act plays into the market divide, with some perceiving it as regular trading while others take it as a silent cue to introspect a possible plateau in the stock’s rise.

Market Movements Explained

The backdrop to Robinhood’s remarkable stock trade execution can be traced to multiple, interlinked factors:

The Story Behind Piper Sandler’s Revised Target

Piper Sandler recently raising Robinhood’s stock target to $140 is not by happenstance. It rests heavily on the successful partnership with Kalshi, which has evidently surged ahead with record volumes. This reflects a growing reliance of investors on derivative markets—a sector Robinhood is actively exploring to diversify its portfolio. Kalshi’s magnetic pull allows customers, known as “Robinhooders,” to engage in event-driven trades, boosting not only engagement but drawing in new customer segments thirsting for unconventional trading opportunities.

ARK’s Interest in Robonhood

Cathie Wood’s ARK Investment decision to procure 33.8K shares speaks volumes about the positive expectations for Robinhood. ARK, recognized for globetrotting investment strategies that focus on innovative and disruptive companies, suggests this move indicates a strong belief in Robinhood’s long-term prospects. This acquisition introduces an inflow of “patient capital,” giving Robinhood additional leverage and sashaying past short-term oscillations.

Robinhood Ventures: A Turning Point?

Robinhood’s launch of the Ventures Fund is a textbook chess move to tap into a relatively nascent but expanding domain, that of retail investment access to private equity. The fund affords retail investors a significant foothold in private company ventures usually reserved for institutional financing through venture capitalists. The innovative venture, publicized as trading under the RVI ticker on NYSE, holds latent potential to draw a large number of traditionally sidelined investors, suggesting potential shifts in market dynamics.

Concluding Analysis

The heady mix of positive news and raised price targets creates ripples that propel Robinhood’s stock in the right direction. But, like a double-edged sword, the continual need to balance operational efficiency against overall profitability makes the complete picture intriguing. The colorful mix of good and the potential for the right offerings is what will keep market participants on their toes. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes, says, “Small gains add up over time; focus on building wealth gradually, not chasing jackpots.” This principle resonates with traders who watch Robinhood’s journey, pondering whether it can maintain this high-flying trajectory. Are clouds of correction lurking behind, waiting to swoop in with a seasoned eye on valuations and market sentiment? As of now, the pendulum of trader sentiment swings favorably for Robinhood.

This is stock news, not investment advice. Timothy Sykes News delivers real-time stock market news focused on key catalysts driving short-term price movements. Our content is tailored for active traders and investors seeking to capitalize on rapid price fluctuations, particularly in volatile sectors like penny stocks. Readers come to us for detailed coverage on earnings reports, mergers, FDA approvals, new contracts, and unusual trading volumes that can trigger significant short-term price action. Some users utilize our news to explain sudden stock movements, while others rely on it for diligent research into potential investment opportunities.

Dive deeper into the world of trading with Timothy Sykes, renowned for his expertise in penny stocks. Explore his top picks and discover the strategies that have propelled him to success with these articles:

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Tim Sykes

Head Writer at TimothySykes.com, Lead Mentor at the Trading Challenge
In his 20-plus years of trading, Tim has made $7.9 million. In his 15-plus years of teaching, Tim’s Trading Challenge has produced over 30 millionaire students. His philosophy emphasizes small gains and cutting losses quickly.
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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”