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Rivian’s Surprising Turn: Buy or Wait?

Matt MonacoAvatar
Written by Matt Monaco

Rivian Automotive Inc.’s stocks have been trading up by 7.67 percent following a breakthrough in electric vehicle technology.

  • Rivian’s management is arranging a virtual meeting with Benchmark on Aug 13, where subjects of discussion remain unknown.

  • Needham analyst Chris Pierce adjusted Rivian’s stock target from $16 to $14, yet kept a Buy rating citing a more cautious demand view while acknowledging its unique position in the EV market.

  • A notable suit in Ohio – Rivian has taken the state’s DMV to court over a ban on direct sales, marking an effort to boost competition.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update At 17:04:26 EST: On Friday, August 22, 2025 Rivian Automotive Inc. stock [NASDAQ: RIVN] is trending up by 7.67%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Rivian Earnings and Financial Guesswork

In the world of trading, the goal is not just about making profits, but also about managing risks effectively. Successful traders understand the importance of preserving their capital and avoiding unnecessary losses. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes, says, “It’s better to go home at zero than to go home in the red.” This mindset prioritizes capital protection and smart decision-making over reckless gambling. Embracing this approach can lead to long-term success in trading by ensuring that traders remain in the game, even during challenging times.

The latest earnings report of Rivian, an up-and-coming electric vehicle manufacturer, paints a picture of excitement mixed with challenges. While revenue climbed to $1.30 billion, eclipsing last year’s mark of $1.16 billion, the company’s earnings per share (EPS) came in below analysts’ forecasts. What’s more intriguing is the growth in revenue juxtaposed against an ongoing loss of about $0.97 per share. This means Rivian is making more money but still spending plenty to keep the lights on.

Diving deeper into key ratios, Rivian’s financial pulse can be gauged by examining the profitability metrics. The company’s gross margin, a crucial measure of its production efficiency, stands at -4.3%. Adding complexity is the substantial ebit margin at -65.1%, revealing deeper operating losses. Oral whispers of promising figures often contrast starkly with fiscal reports, and here lies Rivian’s current game zone. Revenue per share, a figure at 4.11, however, shows sturdy resilience. This far exceeds the three-year revenue growth forecast pinned at 115.6%, painting a positive long-term trajectory anticipated by optimists.

On assessing financial strength, Rivian’s current ratio is robust at 3.4, alongside a quick ratio of 2.6. This showcases its ability to meet short-term liabilities with ease. Debt dynamics unveil a total debt-to-equity balance of 0.81, pointing towards a prudent debt management curve. While the latest stockholder deficit intimates a net income loss, operational strength is covertly tracked by substantial cash flows, backed by free cash flow nearing the orange zone at negative $398 million.

Considering the technological wins, confidence in Rivian is further bolstered. Awaiting the AI Day, the upcoming launch glimmers with optimism. However, sentiments remain mixed as TD Cowen paints a conservative forecast with Revised EBITDA guidance reflecting industry headwinds. A notable session ensues over changes to working capital, a scenario reminiscent of transitioning autumn hues, equally vivid yet riddled with unforeseen turnpikes.

Rivian’s legal entanglement in Ohio adds spice to its narrative. Challenging direct sales furtively overcomes a regulatory plateau hitherto dominated by icons like Tesla. As this saga unravels, the direct sales landscape oscillates, potentially pushing stocks into novel territories.

What’s Buzzing in the Market

The price movement of Rivian stock echoes colorful speculation and precise calculations. On one hand, analysts like George Gianarikas from Canaccord maintain a buy rating despite paring down the price target due to sliding EBITDA projections. Yet, no heed should be spared to the optimistic yield that the end of regulatory credits and earnings review bottoms could portend.

More Breaking News

Intriguingly, Rivian’s litigation on direct EV sales in Ohio underscores its resolve for competitive parity. The case pitches the company headlong into a conversational crossroad, resonating among traders and EV enthusiasts alike. This legal front adds fresh momentum to stock activities, suggesting rebound chances as the market recalibrates expectations.

Revenue and Market Performance Insights

For the month concluding Aug 22, Rivian’s stock price journey, brimming with peaks and troughs, witnessed an uptick from $12.17 to $13.09. This movement occurs amidst an energy-laden backdrop championed by Rivian’s delivery forecasts remaining untethered in 2025, mirroring investor confidence and market expectations.

In the backdrop of the company’s financial comparison, the investing landscape unfolds relentlessly. Amidst exploratory narratives and mounting market interest, Rivian, much like a storied protagonist navigating a field of windswept meadows, finds itself perched at the crossroads of possibility. The market quivers, with each trade resplendent with anticipation and ripples of potential turnaround.

Fueled by Change: Stock’s Path Forward

The foreseeable course for Rivian stocks embodies an amalgam of anticipation and skepticism. Cemented in an evolving landscape, as unofficial whispers burgeon and intertwine, the notion of potential AI advancements stays visibly afloat. Outstretched expectations await AI Day as Rivian’s teams busy themselves preparing decisive strategies and plans for autonomous vehicle innovations.

Alternately, the mixed blessings of its financial outcomes present market participants with the quintessential metaphorical fork – to trust Rivian’s vision or tread cautiously. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes says, “There is always another play around the corner; don’t chase just because you feel FOMO.” Should Rivian pave a path akin to its illustrious predecessors, the stock’s trajectory may indeed take a fortuitous turn. For now, with earnings views vacillating, discrete traces of market optimism await verification.

In conclusion, Rivian steers through a labyrinth of fiscal challenge, legal scrutiny, and growth optimism. Champions of its cause see prevailing winds usher stocks upward. Rivian’s unfolding tale remains a mosaic vibrant with promise and uncertainty, easily winning hearts yet cautious in financial embrace.

In the mix of present day undertakings and the narrative allure of EV ambitions, Rivian’s unfolding adventure undeniably lures onlookers and traders alike. The company perseveres, pioneering fresh routes of possibility where gleaming prospects meet seasoned wallets, ready to weather the turbulences ahead.

This is stock news, not investment advice. Timothy Sykes News delivers real-time stock market news focused on key catalysts driving short-term price movements. Our content is tailored for active traders and investors seeking to capitalize on rapid price fluctuations, particularly in volatile sectors like penny stocks. Readers come to us for detailed coverage on earnings reports, mergers, FDA approvals, new contracts, and unusual trading volumes that can trigger significant short-term price action. Some users utilize our news to explain sudden stock movements, while others rely on it for diligent research into potential investment opportunities.

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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

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Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”