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Does QuantumScape (QS) Stock Have Room to Run? – Analysis

Timothy SykesAvatar
Written by Timothy Sykes
Updated 7/10/2025, 4:36 pm ET 4 min read

QuantumScape (NYSE: QS) just hit a new 2025 high. Over the last 5 days it’s up 33% on massive volume and momentum — and traders are finally paying attention.

I don’t care about long-term projections or Wall Street price targets. I care about patterns, catalysts, and volume. And right now, QS checks all three.

If you want to know what I’m looking for — check out my free webinar here!

The Setup: From Dead Chart to Momentum Monster

For most of 2024 and early 2025, QS was stuck under $5. Dead volume. Choppy price action. Then it quietly started trending up in mid-June — and exploded higher after back-to-back news drops tied to production upgrades.

Read more: QuantumScape’s Latest Move Sparks Interest

This isn’t a random low-float runner. It’s a heavily watched EV battery play with massive retail and institutional interest. But the behavior looks like a classic hype chart — and that’s why it’s back on my radar.

QS is part of a bigger trend I’ve been tracking for years. EV battery names — especially the ones tied to solid-state tech or domestic production — are getting more attention as the market rotates into speculative growth again. 

If you want a broader look at the sector, check out my Best Battery Stocks to Watch watchlist. It breaks down which tickers I’m watching, why they’re moving, and what patterns I like best right now.

The Catalyst: Cobra Separator Process Goes Live

On June 30, QuantumScape announced it had integrated its new Cobra process into baseline battery production. That’s a big shift from the slower Raptor process they used before.

The company claims Cobra boosts throughput 25x and cuts down on equipment size — which is huge if you’re trying to scale solid-state battery production. They’re targeting field tests of their QSE-5 cells in 2026, and they’ve already shipped early samples.

More Breaking News

This is the kind of progress that retail traders chase — a clean, simple narrative that says, “We’re closer to real revenue.” Whether that’s true or not doesn’t matter in the short term. It’s the story that creates volatility.

The Chart: Breakout Volume, Options Heat, High Short Interest

QS traded over 52 million shares on July 9 — more than double its average. It hit $8.58 and made new 2025 highs after breaking out of its recent consolidation zone.

On July 10, it broke through the $9 level convincingly while trading another 50 million shares.

Options flow is heavy, and short interest sits at 13% of the float. That’s fuel. If momentum continues, this can squeeze higher. 

Embed https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aLAilX-MfjA 

If it stalls, I’ll watch for panic dip buys or failed breakouts.

I’m not interested in holding this for years. I’m interested in the next move. If we get more press around new licensing deals or production milestones, this can stay in play into earnings.

My Plan: Trade the Pattern, Not the Story

Earnings are set for July 23. That’s the next scheduled catalyst. Until then, I’ll be watching intraday setups — morning breakouts, VWAP holds, and sharp panic dips.

Earnings haven’t held up to the hype so far.

I’m not guessing what the report will say. I’m trading what the chart gives me.

If volume holds and the stock stays above key levels, I’ll look to ride momentum in and out — singles only. If the hype fades, I’ll move on. There’s always another play.

Final Thoughts

QuantumScape has been a speculative name for years. But now, with a real manufacturing upgrade, growing institutional interest, and a breakout chart, it’s back in focus.

That doesn’t mean it’s a guaranteed win. It means it’s in play. And that’s all I need.

Trade the reaction, not the prediction. Let the chart lead, and stay disciplined. QS is moving — just make sure you’re not the one left holding the bag when the music stops.

If you’re serious about learning how to trade plays like these — not just follow them — apply for my Trading Challenge.


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Timothy Sykes

Tim Sykes is a penny stock trader and teacher who became a self-made millionaire by the age of 22 by trading $12,415 of bar mitzvah money. After becoming disenchanted with the hedge fund world, he established the Tim Sykes Trading Challenge to teach aspiring traders how to follow his trading strategies. He’s been featured in a variety of media outlets including CNN, Larry King, Steve Harvey, Forbes, Men’s Journal, and more. He’s also an active philanthropist and environmental activist, a co-founder of Karmagawa, and has donated millions of dollars to charity.
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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

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Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”

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