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Palantir Shares Dive: What’s Next?

Bryce TuoheyAvatar
Written by Bryce Tuohey
Updated 2/20/2025, 9:19 am ET 2/20/2025, 9:19 am ET | 7 min 7 min read

Amidst a turbulent tech sector, Palantir Technologies Inc. faces uncertainty as recent reports of potential layoffs and challenges in meeting growth expectations weigh heavily on investor sentiment; on Thursday, Palantir Technologies Inc.’s stocks have been trading down by -3.14 percent.

Highlights from Recent Events

  • Shares of Palantir Technology find themselves in choppy waters as pressure builds from multiple fronts: key executives offloading stocks, and potential declines in defense budgets could unsettle investors.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update At 09:18:51 EST: On Thursday, February 20, 2025 Palantir Technologies Inc. stock [NASDAQ: PLTR] is trending down by -3.14%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

  • Palantir’s stock recently saw a shaky moment when CEO Alex Karp revealed plans to sell nearly 10M shares, coexisting with considerations about U.S. defense cuts affecting Palantir’s core business partnerships.

  • The tech titan’s shares wobble in pre-market dealings due to corporate insider sales, including a notable transaction by Director Alexander D. Moore who parted with 20,000 units of his stake.

  • Despite the volatility, analysts have mixed outlooks. Some foresee a bright future, with one raising Palantir’s price target to an ambitious $80 while maintaining a cautious ‘underperform’ stance.

  • Previously gaining momentum, Palantir hit a bump with a slight dip of 0.9% before market open, contrasting the prior day’s silver lining of a modest 0.4% climb at the closing bell.

Quick View on Financial Landmarks

As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes says, “Preparation plus patience leads to big profits.” This quote emphasizes the essence of successful trading. In the dynamic and often volatile world of trading, having a well-thought-out strategy and the patience to see it through can make all the difference in achieving substantial gains. Traders who dedicate time to research and planning are more likely to capitalize on market opportunities effectively.

Palantir’s recent earnings report provides a nuanced mosaic of its current fiscal silhouette. The company’s revenue stands valuably at approximately $2.8655B, highlighting significant momentum over a five-year journey with a growth arc reaching over 69%. This growth is especially remarkable given the inherent complexity of their enterprise-driven data solutions.

Digging deeper into the profit margins, we see an intriguing story. With a gross margin cruising at a lofty 81.1%, it suggests robust cost management. As it pertains to a bottom-line discussion, however, a pretax profit margin sitting at a negative 15.3% raises concerns echoing through the P&L statement.

The balance sheet exudes resilience, wielding an impressive quick ratio of 5.6 and a mere 0.06 in total debt to equity, illustrating sound management of liabilities. Meanwhile, liquidity isn’t an issue with a massive cache of cash and equivalents amounting to roughly $2B.

An analysis of their price metrics reveals that the market heavily values Palantir—over $170 for every free cash flow dollar, and an excessive 623 for the price-to-earnings ratio. Despite this, forward-looking profitability may wrestle with competitive market forces.

On a micro scale, its intraday volatility is something to marvel at. Observing the intraday price chart, Palantir opened near $108, climbed marginally before tumbling multiple times, indicative of the market’s wary eye towards external political and company-centric news. A glance at the five-day data only accentuates these swings, painting Palantir’s stock as a canvas of nervous speculation adorned with occasional confident brush strokes.

The Underlying Stories Behind the Slip

CEO’s Strategic Sell-off Plan

The market’s anxiety flared as Palantir’s CEO, Alex Karp, unsealed a plan to sell nearly 10M of his shares. This decision has unleashed waves of speculation, amplifying the debate on potential insider sentiments towards future valuation. Companies often experience stock pressure under such sales, as they stir short-term narratives that may overshadow robust operational efficiency.

Defense Sector Concerns

Palantir’s considerable ties to the U.S. government have fostered a bedrock relationship. But news of budget cuts in defense, slated to slice 8% off the top over a five-year stretch, has unfurled a cloud of uncertainty that may loiter above Palantir’s prospects. Investors are contemplating the ripple effects this might have on revenue forecasts, pressing into question the anticipated cash flows from governmental engagements.

More Breaking News

Insider Transactions

A recent sell-off by Alexander D. Moore as he parted with shares worth over $1.6M only adds fuel to the speculative fire immobilizing investor confidence. Often, insider actions lead to skittish market reactions, as they raise questions about perceived intrinsic value.

Analysts’ Forecasts a Silver Lining?

Counterbalancing the turmoil, some analysts have upped the ante by increasing future price targets even as they advise caution. A revised target to $80 offers room for optimism; however, the continuation of the ‘underperform’ advisory mirrors a conflict as markets weigh recent payouts from generous stock options against growing macroeconomic pressures.

Market Performance Woes

The stock’s slight decline of 0.9% pre-market signals the larger narrative of a jittery trader base grappling with both internal and external factors. Palantir’s past glide up by 0.4% seems overshadowed by the present complexities weaving through the markets’ perception of tech-driven defense analytics.

Exploring Future Paths

The multitude of converging news flashes over Palantir forecasts an intriguing climate. Analysts and traders are delineating between abstract possibilities and concrete realities. One cannot ignore the undercurrents of sell-offs, market dynamic factors, and the tug-of-war between PR and existential uncertainties.

Yet, the thoughtful trader knows that beneath market undulations hides an infrastructure poised for volatility-mediated acceleration. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes, says, “Embrace the journey, the ups and downs; each mistake is a lesson to improve your strategy.” Balancing fluctuations of the day, Palantir continues its narrative of evolving digital prowess, paving routes that navigate through capitalism’s intricate ecosystems.

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Bryce Tuohey

Mentor and Trainer at StocksToTrade.com, Lead Mentor at Small Cap Rockets and To The Moon Report
Bryce’s first pattern was buying into strength in breakouts. But he noticed when they didn’t work, he took bigger losses. When the OTC market got hot, Bryce learned to dip buy the inevitable panics. He adapted his breakout strategy and now buys consolidation and trend breaks. His goal is to have better risk/reward and get an entry before multi-day listed breakouts.
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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”