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Is Pagaya Technologies Surpassing Expectations?

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Written by Timothy Sykes Reviewed by Bryce Tuohey Fact-checked by Matt Monaco
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Pagaya Technologies Ltd.’s stock price is significantly influenced by positive market sentiment, likely driven by a major partnership announcement or strong quarterly performance, contributing to its outstanding trading results. On Tuesday, Pagaya Technologies Ltd.’s stocks have been trading up by 17.76 percent.

Recent Developments Impacting Pagaya’s Market Performance

  • Blue Owl Capital entered a forward flow agreement with Pagaya to buy up to $2.4B in consumer loans over 24 months, enhancing Pagaya’s funding diversity.
  • Pagaya closed a $300M auto loan asset-backed securitization deal that attracted significant market interest, demonstrating robust investor confidence.
  • Benchmark analyst Mark Palmer uplifted Pagaya’s price target, reflecting on their stronger than expected revenue and EBITDA for FY25.
  • JMP Securities also raised Pagaya’s price target, expressing faith in the company’s capacity to manage credit impairments and fortify growth.
  • Underestimated earnings report, with a per-share earning of 17 cents, against a forecast of 32 cents, but surpassed revenue expectations at $275.67M.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update At 09:18:10 EST: On Tuesday, February 18, 2025 Pagaya Technologies Ltd. stock [NASDAQ: PGY] is trending up by 17.76%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Quick Overview of Recent Financial Performance

As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes, says, “Cut losses quickly, let profits ride, and don’t overtrade.” In the fast-paced world of trading, it’s crucial for traders to not only understand market trends but also to manage their strategies effectively. While the allure of potential profits can be enticing, one must remember to stay disciplined and avoid the pitfalls of overtrading. By adhering to these principles, traders can navigate the complexities of the market with a more informed and strategic approach.

The recent quarterly earnings report revealed intriguing insights. Pagaya exceeded revenue forecasts, posting robust figures of $275.67M against a predicted $265.14M. Although earnings per share didn’t meet street expectations, the strong revenue boost maintained investor confidence. Pagaya also showcased optimism in future earnings by projecting substantial growth in FY25, with expected EBITDA ranging from $265M to $315M. This projection aligns with Pagaya’s vigorous endeavors like their forward flow deal and the auto loan securitization agreement, both pillars anticipated to spur revenue trajectories.

The stock prices dance accordingly. On Feb 14, Pagaya’s stock closed at $15.37, illustrating a surge from its earlier mark of $14.64 on Feb 13, suggesting investor enthusiasm around these promising forecasts. The variations reflect market sentiments following positive endorsements from esteemed analysts lifting price targets and ratings.

More Breaking News

Delving into Recent News for Market Dynamics

Blue Owl Capital Agreement: By securing a robust agreement with Blue Owl Capital, Pagaya diversifies its funding, enhancing capital efficiency. Such strategic alliances often act as catalysts to magnify growth, observed through the rising stock hike in recent days.

$300M Asset-backed Securitization: The oversubscription of Pagaya’s auto loan deal reflects a strong market appetite for asset-backed securities, projecting trust in Pagaya’s credit structures and financial stability.

Analyst Ratings and Higher Price Targets: Analysts from established financial firms have shown optimism, reflected in upgraded price targets and positive ratings. This bolsters market trust and could potentially attract new investors or reassure current ones.

Earnings Report Analysis: While the EPS didn’t meet the consensus, it still demonstrated a proficient yield in revenue. Investors appear undeterred by EPS shortfalls, possibly because of the impressive revenue uptick and the firm’s encouraging future projections.

Despite varying earnings metrics, the overall outlook stays promising with strengthened investor confidence, buoyed by strategic partnerships, financial innovation, and enthusiastic endorsements from analysts. Each of these factors collectively crafts an aura of anticipation and positivity around Pagaya’s market journey, inviting keen eyes towards its stock trajectory.

Concluding Notes on Pagaya’s Stock Movements

Imaginably, Pagaya Technologies is amid a spirited phase whereby consistent strategic and financial decisions, validated by third-party endorsements, propel its market presence forward. Traders appear to resonate with the company’s invigorated growth prospects, grounded by deft management and supportive market alliances. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes, says, “Small gains add up over time; focus on building wealth gradually, not chasing jackpots.” This philosophy aligns with the trading community’s cautious optimism, as the dance of numbers on charts affirms this symphony—a tale of optimism buoying expectations. Whether this momentum holds steadfast, time alone may unveil, yet today’s narrative spins tales of possibility and progression, as Pagaya teeters on a cusp of further acclaim.

This is stock news, not investment advice. Timothy Sykes News delivers real-time stock market news focused on key catalysts driving short-term price movements. Our content is tailored for active traders and investors seeking to capitalize on rapid price fluctuations, particularly in volatile sectors like penny stocks. Readers come to us for detailed coverage on earnings reports, mergers, FDA approvals, new contracts, and unusual trading volumes that can trigger significant short-term price action. Some users utilize our news to explain sudden stock movements, while others rely on it for diligent research into potential investment opportunities.

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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”