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Pagaya Technologies: Will PGY Continue to Climb?

Bryce TuoheyAvatar
Written by Bryce Tuohey

Pagaya Technologies Ltd.’s significant stock surge is driven by market optimism following the announcement of a strategic partnership with a leading financial institution, preempting a positive reevaluation of its growth prospects. On Thursday, Pagaya Technologies Ltd.’s stocks have been trading up by 17.11 percent.

Major Developments and Market Impacts

  • A substantial forward flow agreement was made between Pagaya Technologies and Blue Owl Capital. This agreement amounts to a whopping $2.4B, focusing on purchasing consumer loans over 24 months, enhancing PGY’s funding and capital efficiency.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update At 09:18:06 EST: On Thursday, February 13, 2025 Pagaya Technologies Ltd. stock [NASDAQ: PGY] is trending up by 17.11%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

  • A recent achievement for Pagaya is the closing of a $600M personal loan ABS transaction. Initially pegged at $500M, the demand was skyrocketing, thus leading to an upsize. This transaction involves 32 unique investors, showcasing immense market interest.

  • Pagaya Technologies has closed a $300M auto loan ABS deal, significantly oversubscribed, which highlights strong market trust and fits well into their strategy to minimize capital dependency.

  • Citigroup’s glowing upgrade for Pagaya from a Neutral to Buy rating, increasing its price target to $14.50 from $13, appreciably boosted the market’s confidence, driving PGY shares up by more than 11%.

Quick Overview of Pagaya’s Financial Health

As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes says, “Be patient, don’t force trades, and let the perfect setups come to you.” In the world of trading, patience and strategy are key factors for success. Rushing into trades can lead to avoidable mistakes and losses. It’s crucial for traders to keep a clear head and wait for the right moment, adhering to the principle of allowing perfect setups to reveal themselves. By doing so, traders can improve their decision-making and enhance their profits.

Pagaya Technologies Ltd., known for its AI-driven financial products, has made impressive waves in the stock market. Their recent strategic initiatives have caught investor attention, propelling significant stock gains. The rapid close of a $600M personal loan ABS transaction further underscores their robust trajectory. Surprisingly, the deal exceeded expectations, originally set at $500M.

Diving into the financial stats, Pagaya revealed a gross profit margin of 41.6%, but the bottom line told a different story. The company’s EBIT margin stands at -24% with an alarming net income loss of approximately $74M. The revenue flowing in, however, is robust at 772.8M, reflecting revenue per share at $12.67. Nonetheless, Pagaya continues to battle with profitability, as depicted by their pretax profit margin at -19.1%.

Their current ratio of 1.2 indicates the ability to cover short-term obligations, while a total debt to equity ratio of 1.49 signals a hefty debt burden. With their enterprise valued at over $1.17B, the franchise’s potential remains substantial. Meanwhile, caution is needed for their long-term debt issuance, coming in at over $62M, showing ongoing prioritization towards growth despite losses.

More Breaking News

Latest quarterly reports don’t paint an enchanting picture either; an operating cash flow of -$1.5M alongside a net income from ongoing operations of -$74.2M suggests challenges persist. Yet, speculative forecasters may argue that Pagaya grasps the complex market nuances, specifically in securitizations. The strategic maneuvers for auto loans demonstrate adept financial balance, albeit with a long road ahead to positive cash flow.

Influence of Recent News on Stock Performance

The stock leap surpassing 11% stems from a combination of uplifted market sentiment and strategic alliances. Citi’s upgrade, placing faith in Pagaya with a higher price target, works like a charm, stimulating investor confidence. PGY’s stock climb reflects robust syndication processes in deals like the $2.4B with Blue Owl Capital. The agreement diversifies their funding angle, proving vital for reinforcing market exposure.

The commitment to active network expansion further showcases ambition, intending to woo new investors while deepening existing relationships. The impressive oversubscription in the recent securitization underlines the market’s appreciation and PGY’s smart operational hedges against liquidity shifts.

Moreover, the repeated instances of investors lining up for Pagaya’s asset-backed securities tell a story beyond mere numbers. They narrate trust, evoking flashbacks to older triumphs while bravely looking forward to innovation. The financial ecosystem is dynamic, with PGY at its heart, evolving with each strategic step forward. While future price volatility may simulate waves in a volatile tempest, the strategic ledges forged with Blue Owl and others can anchor them through turbulence.

A little spark of imagination warms up the data. Consider it akin to sailing – while Pagaya’s sails catch the favorable winds, their hull must weather any storms. Investors, alongside the management, eagerly plot courses, assumingly scouring for the fertile isles of ROI amid a vast and unpredictable sea. Could the winds of change propel them forth, or might unpredictable tempests test their mettle?

Conclusion

In conclusion, Pagaya Technologies Ltd. sails through an intriguing phase. Market enthusiasm combined with strategic pursuits forms the nucleus of their forward momentum. Recent endeavors, from Citigroup upgrades to instrumental securitizations, bolster interest and stand as testaments to calculated resilience. The financial complexity blended with mission-critical decisions crafts a narrative both challenging and captivating. Traders, intrigued by mystery and math alike, perch at the edge, contemplating the ebbs and flows, predicting the unpredictable, and deciding for themselves if Pagaya’s broken swells promise cherished treasure or hollow echo. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes, says, “It’s better to go home at zero than to go home in the red.” Such trading wisdom underscores the importance of cautious strategizing in the unpredictable tides Pagaya encounters.

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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

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Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”