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O’Reilly Automotive Surges Amid Bullish Analyst Upgrades

Bryce TuoheyAvatar
Written by Bryce Tuohey
Updated 10/11/2025, 9:19 am ET | 5 min

In this article Last trade Oct, 10 7:41 PM

  • ORLY+2.37%
    ORLY - NYSEO'Reilly Automotive Inc.
    $102.08+2.36 (+2.37%)
    Volume:  6.40M
    Float:  839.93M
    $99.68Day Low/High$102.74

O’Reilly Automotive Inc.’s stocks have been trading up by 2.93 percent amid rising optimism for automotive sector recovery.

Consumer Discretionary industry expert:

Analyst sentiment – positive

O’Reilly Automotive (ORLY) exhibits robust financial fundamentals, ensuring its strong positioning in the automotive aftermarket industry. The company maintains notable profitability indicators with an EBIT margin at 19.3% and a gross margin of 51.4%, signaling adept cost management and operational efficiency. A healthy revenue growth trend is evident, with revenues totaling $16.708 billion and historical growth rates of 7.62% over three years. However, structural concerns are present, highlighted by negative book value per share at -1.45, suggesting high leverage and aggressive stock repurchase strategies outweigh intrinsic asset values. Despite these liabilities, O’Reilly demonstrates significant cash flow generation capabilities, with free cash flow reported at $456.112 million. This financial strength positions ORLY advantageously relative to peers, but highlights potential risks affiliated with its capital structure.

Recent technical analysis of O’Reilly’s stock indicates a mixed pattern with a short-term downward trajectory, evidenced by weekly price action, which includes a decrease from an opening of 103.15 to a low of 99.8 before recovering slightly to 102.64. This liquidation sign can be attributed to recent profit-taking, given the thin volume that supported its reversion to 102.64. Key resistance is located around 103.15, with persistent support positioned at 100.76, as the 5-minute candle volume suggests accumulation interest. Given this setup, traders could consider a short-term buying opportunity at current levels targeting a recovery to resistance at 103.15 if bullish momentum sustains. A protective stop should be set below 99.72 to mitigate downside risk.

Recent analyst updates, including TD Cowen and Wolfe Research, have contributed positively to O’Reilly’s stock momentum, coinciding with upward revisions and ratings adjustments that advocate a bullish outlook. Increasing price targets to $125 and predictions of guidance improvements underscore strategic positioning advantages like supply chain resilience and anticipated same-store sales uplift from price strategies. Despite comparative undervaluation relative to AutoZone, support for O’Reilly’s valuation basis is grounded in anticipated sectoral trends such as parts deferral and replacement market stability. Given this highly favorable industry backdrop and viable outlook, O’Reilly’s stock can realistically aim for enhanced valuation metrics and price targets near $125, with notable support levels at $100 and $112. The overall sentiment for O’Reilly Automotive remains decidedly positive owing to its strong market position, financial health, and appealing risk-reward profile.

Candlestick Chart

Weekly Update Oct 06 – Oct 10, 2025: On Saturday, October 11, 2025 O’Reilly Automotive Inc. stock [NASDAQ: ORLY] is trending up by 2.93%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Quick Financial Overview

O’Reilly Automotive is showcasing a solid financial standing, with key metrics supporting recent optimistic analyst recommendations. The company’s revenue for the latest quarter is reported at approximately $16.71B, accompanied by a profit margin of 14.16%, indicating strong financial health. Despite a current P/E ratio of 35.64, which appears high, this figure is justified by the earnings growth potential as noted in the analyst upgrades.

Recent stock price movements depict an increase from opening at $99.72 to closing at $102.64 in a volatile week of trading. The fluctuations can be attributed to market reactions to the positive analyst coverage and projected future earnings growth. Additionally, consistent with these forecasts is a robust current ratio of 0.7, showing the company’s ability to cover short-term liabilities, albeit with a quick ratio of 0.1 indicating a potential liquidity challenge.

The balance sheet reveals total assets amounting to $15.82B against total liabilities of $17.05B, which may raise questions about long-term financial strategies. Nonetheless, with a significant interest cover ratio of 16.8, O’Reilly Automotive is well-equipped to manage interest obligations. Moving into the anticipated earnings release, O’Reilly’s cash flow shows positive operating cash flow, reinforcing stability, and further supporting the upward trend in analyst outlooks.

This is stock news, not investment advice. Timothy Sykes News delivers real-time stock market news focused on key catalysts driving short-term price movements. Our content is tailored for active traders and investors seeking to capitalize on rapid price fluctuations, particularly in volatile sectors like penny stocks. Readers come to us for detailed coverage on earnings reports, mergers, FDA approvals, new contracts, and unusual trading volumes that can trigger significant short-term price action. Some users utilize our news to explain sudden stock movements, while others rely on it for diligent research into potential investment opportunities.

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Bryce Tuohey

Mentor and Trainer at StocksToTrade.com, Lead Mentor at Small Cap Rockets and To The Moon Report
Bryce’s first pattern was buying into strength in breakouts. But he noticed when they didn’t work, he took bigger losses. When the OTC market got hot, Bryce learned to dip buy the inevitable panics. He adapted his breakout strategy and now buys consolidation and trend breaks. His goal is to have better risk/reward and get an entry before multi-day listed breakouts.
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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”

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