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Opendoor Surpasses Revenue Expectations, Eyes 2026 Breakeven

Jack KelloggAvatar
Written by Jack Kellogg Reviewed by Ellis Hobbs Fact-checked by Matt Monaco
Updated 2/20/2026, 9:19 am ET 2/20/2026, 9:19 am ET | 5 min 5 min read
Opendoor Surpasses Revenue Expectations, Eyes 2026 Breakeven Thumbnail

Opendoor Technologies Inc’s stocks have been trading up by 13.55 percent following a surge in positive market sentiment.

  • Despite the improvements, OPEN still reported an adjusted EBITDA loss of $43M, though it is better than its last year’s $49M loss.

  • The firm’s ongoing transformation plan shows positive signs as management hopes to achieve breakeven adjusted net income by the end of 2026.

  • UBS analysts responded by adjusting OPEN’s price target from $1.60 to $5, maintaining a neutral stance on the shares.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update At 09:18:23 EST: On Friday, February 20, 2026 Opendoor Technologies Inc stock [NASDAQ: OPEN] is trending up by 13.55%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Quick Financial Overview

During Q4, OPEN trumped market expectations with a noted improvement in EBITDA and revenue infrastructure. They recorded $736M — a significant jump from the consensus expectation set at $596.4M. Yet, an adjusted EBITDA gap persists, though it has narrowed from a loss of $49M last year to $43M. This reduction was mainly influenced by better unit economics and faster inventory turnovers, contributing to a robust strategy towards their eventual goal of breakeven adjusted net income by 2026.

Alongside, the Cash Plus product’s low capital growth and strong contribution margins give credence to OpenDoor’s financial strategy and progress. Looking at the stock’s price data ranging from Feb 5-19, 2026, OPEN’s price maintained a range while integrating improvements.

The reassessment from UBS has solidified the company’s current pricing at $4.94, an outcome of a thorough evaluation in response to the quarter’s results and future guidance.

Boost in Investor Confidence

The investor sentiment has evidently surged given the company’s remarkable Q4 revenue accomplishments. Financial experts recognize that although OPEN remains within a challenging sales landscape, their strategic pivot is worthy of attention. The enhancement in inventory turnover rates —a complex metric reflecting the speed and effectiveness of the company’s sales tactics— is notably impressive within this earnings context.

More Breaking News

While OPEN’s latest quarter still demonstrated a loss, the more refined focus on operational efficiency and minimization of cost coupled with the company’s perceptible struggle to curtail losses, appear optimistic. The general perspective over OPEN brings forward a balanced viewpoint aided by cautious optimism, emanating from recent profitable signs in their business model.

The Market Reactions

Market reactions following OPEN’s announcements have spread optimism about the prospects of the company’s ambitious transformation plans. Onlookers were quick to note the rise in company valuation, as evidenced by the UBS research report which boosted investor expectations and confidence levels. Retail and institutional bring-along forecasts have indicated potential encouraging trends.

As the company’s stock surged within positive financial analytics, OPEN’s ability to meet such ambitious targets portrays a reputable shift within their strategic endeavors.

Another related prominent financial implication was the rising attraction towards future investment opportunities within this space, despite remaining market pressures that trickle through adverse economic forecasts.

Conclusion

A stronger-than-forecast revenue performance, accompanied by sound strategic change, sets a compelling future path for OPEN. Their systematic approach addressing critical operational issues reallocates significant importance to the unfolding directions leading towards scaling breakeven financial outcomes by end-2026. OpenDoor Technologies’ financial reporting has illuminated an evolving narrative — indicating a trailblazing company’s march towards new industry heights amidst ongoing headwinds. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes says, “It’s better to go home at zero than to go home in the red.” Traders seem eager to see how OPEN continues traversing its current venture amidst dynamic market landscapes realigning in harmony with prospective opportunities.

This is stock news, not investment advice. Timothy Sykes News delivers real-time stock market news focused on key catalysts driving short-term price movements. Our content is tailored for active traders and investors seeking to capitalize on rapid price fluctuations, particularly in volatile sectors like penny stocks. Readers come to us for detailed coverage on earnings reports, mergers, FDA approvals, new contracts, and unusual trading volumes that can trigger significant short-term price action. Some users utilize our news to explain sudden stock movements, while others rely on it for diligent research into potential investment opportunities.

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Jack Kellogg

He teaches webinars on Tim Sykes’ Trading Challenge He became Tim’s youngest millionaire student in 2020. Now he’s second on the Trading Challenge leaderboard with $12.9 million in career earnings. He’s a master of the 7-Step Pennystocking Framework. Jack is one of a rare breed of traders to profitably trade the entire penny stock framework.
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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

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Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”