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Ollie’s Surprising Gain: What’s Fueling the Rise?

Matt MonacoAvatar
Written by Matt Monaco Reviewed by Jack Kellogg Fact-checked by Tim Sykes
Updated 3/19/2025, 11:38 am ET 3/19/2025, 11:38 am ET | 6 min 6 min read
Ollie’s Surprising Gain: What’s Fueling the Rise? Thumbnail

Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc.’s stocks have seen a significant boost due to positive sales forecasts from analysts and robust performance predictions amidst a competitive retail landscape, leading to an optimistic market sentiment. On Wednesday, Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc.’s stocks have been trading up by 9.4 percent.

Key Developments Impacting Stocks

  • RBC Capital increased its price target for Ollie’s Bargain Outlet from $130 to $133, maintaining an Outperform rating based on strategic acquisitions and positive Q4 projections.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update At 11:37:34 EST: On Wednesday, March 19, 2025 Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. stock [NASDAQ: OLLI] is trending up by 9.4%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

  • With the acquisition of 40 Big Lots store leases, Ollie’s steadily expands its market reach, offering potential growth boosts.

  • An expected surge in March sales for Ollie’s as Big Lots’ liquidation comes to a close, hinting at an increased market share.

  • Though stock faced previous declines due to consumer concerns and tariff uncertainties, new acquisitions by Ollie’s suggest a promising future.

Ollie’s Earnings and Financial Health

In the world of trading, it’s crucial to maintain a patient and strategic approach. Rather than seeking quick riches through high-risk maneuvers or volatile trades, focusing on steady, incremental progress can lead to more sustainable success. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes, says, “Small gains add up over time; focus on building wealth gradually, not chasing jackpots.” This philosophy encourages traders to prioritize long-term growth over immediate gratification, thereby fostering discipline and resilience in the ever-changing market landscape.

Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. is showcasing its resilience and strategic insight with its recent financial moves. Breaking down the CSV chart data, which reflects erratic yet optimistic trading trends, provides a glimpse into how Ollie’s is maneuvering in this competitive retail landscape. Between Mar 18 and Mar 19, 2025, Ollie’s stock opened at 106.455 and closed up at 108.37. This rise, despite a previous dip to 99.06 on Mar 18, exemplifies significant upward momentum, suggesting increasing investor confidence.

Key ratios spotlight Ollie’s formidable positioning. The company has managed a gross margin of 40.2%, and their profitability margins are commendably high, with an EBIT margin of 7.3% and a pretax profit margin of 11.5%. This suggests a strong ability to convert sales into profits, crucial for sustaining growth momentum. The balance sheet further highlights a favorable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.34, reflecting manageable leverage that allows Ollie’s to pursue growth opportunities like their recent lease acquisitions.

More Breaking News

Their income statement from the latest quarter states a net income of $35.88M, marching alongside an EBITDA of $60.24M. Analyzing earnings per share, the basic EPS sits at 0.59, mirroring a stability that, while modest, underpins investor trust. Combined with expanded store leases, Ollie’s strategy signals potential fiscal gains in the upcoming quarters.

Strategic Expansions and Market Impact

The acquisition of 40 Big Lots leases marks not just geographical, but strategic growth—a move anticipated to enhance Ollie’s market penetration and broaden its clientele. This venture is seen as a boon for increasing sales and market share, as articulated in several financial forecasts.

The integration of these new locations is expected to capture displaced consumers and retain them through Ollie’s beloved discount retail model. Expansion into previously Big Lots-dominated regions could remarkably sway consumer purchases in favor of Ollie’s, capitalizing on the void left by the competitor.

Moreover, analysts view the newly-leased stores as prime catalysts for breaking even sooner despite potential initial overheads. Financial perspectives indicate that with a more robust in-store presence, Ollie’s could effectively counterbalance any minor downticks from previous headwinds, ensuring long-term growth. Their ability to leverage newly acquired real estate tells a tale of steadfast confidence, anchored by past successful expansions.

Future Prospects – Riding the Growth Wave

Ollie’s recent strides signal more than just opportunistic growth—they mirror its ethos of resilience and calculated risk. The forecasted 2.5% upswing in comparable sales by Truist Securities, post-Big Lots’ liquidation, emphasizes optimism in Ollie’s strategies. Reflecting on the trading wisdom, as millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes, says, “Preparation plus patience leads to big profits.” As the competitive landscape evolves, Ollie’s strategically positions itself to reap benefits from the resultant market shifts.

With new locations enriching their portfolio, Ollie’s future, from an earnings and market share perspective, looks promising. The cessation of Big Lots’ sales acts as a catalyst, inspiring trader confidence through observed stock rebounds.

In essence, as Ollie’s continues its expansion, there’s palpable anticipation for their forthcoming financial report. What remains is to capitalize on current positive sentiments and execute strategies that sustainably fuel this promising simmer of growth.

While external market factors like regulatory tariff shifts might pose threats, Ollie’s proactive approach and robust financial health cushion against abrupt jerks. Their strategic acumen in lease acquisitions foreshadows a favorable fiscal trajectory, potentially safeguarding against any impending consumer uncertainties.

In conclusion, Ollie’s financial narrative suggests an elevating trend marked by innovative growth and strategic engagements. The retailer not only champions value retail through its mission but also strategically positions itself for market challenges and opportunities, thus sustaining its growth momentum amidst an ever-competitive retail sector.

This is stock news, not investment advice. Timothy Sykes News delivers real-time stock market news focused on key catalysts driving short-term price movements. Our content is tailored for active traders and investors seeking to capitalize on rapid price fluctuations, particularly in volatile sectors like penny stocks. Readers come to us for detailed coverage on earnings reports, mergers, FDA approvals, new contracts, and unusual trading volumes that can trigger significant short-term price action. Some users utilize our news to explain sudden stock movements, while others rely on it for diligent research into potential investment opportunities.

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Matt Monaco

Mentor and Trainer at StocksToTrade.com, Lead Mentor at Small Cap Rockets and To The Moon Report
He is a diligent trader and teacher in his To The Moon Report blogs and Small Cap Rockets strategy webinars. He shows up every day, and expects his students to as well. Matt is fond of trading sketchy, volatile OTC stocks with profit potential. His favorite patterns are panic dip buys and breakouts.
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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

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Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”