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Newmont’s Price Target Cut as Investors Pivot to Aluminum

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Written by Timothy Sykes Reviewed by Jack Kellogg Fact-checked by Ellis Hobbs
Updated 12/29/2025, 11:33 am ET 12/29/2025, 11:33 am ET | 4 min 4 min read
Newmont’s Price Target Cut as Investors Pivot to Aluminum Thumbnail

The news of an environmental lawsuit impacting Newmont Corporation’s operations contributes to stocks trading down by -5.14 percent.

  • The downgrade initiated a debate on Newmont’s current pricing strategies, with the latest assigned price target set at $97 per share.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update At 11:32:34 EST: On Monday, December 29, 2025 Newmont Corporation stock [NYSE: NEM] is trending down by -5.14%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Quick Financial Overview

Newmont Corporation recently faced a downgraded rating from BNP Paribas Exane, which reflects a notable change in investor sentiment, prompting concerns about its ability to compete in a dynamic metals market. Despite robust revenue numbers totaling approximately $18.68B, market shifts indicate a preference for aluminum, causing investors to reassess Newmont’s stock’s prospective growth.

From the closing data, Newmont’s stock fluctuated with recent figures showing it opened at $100.6 before a steep close at $100.34. Observations indicate a trend where investors may find themselves questioning valuation metrics — a Price-To-Earnings ratio of 16.45 suggests there may still be room for reevaluation.

Recent cash inflow from operations stood at $2.298B, demonstrating operational strengths. However, significant outflows, such as $2B in long-term debt payments, highlight strategic financial shifts to maintain balance in a volatile commodities market.

Market Reaction to Sector Preference.

In an unpredictable turn of events, as BNP Paribas Exane’s rating and price target re-assessment unfolded, Newmont’s focus came into sharp relief. The underlying shift toward aluminum lessened the allure for gold investments significantly. While gold has long been a safe haven, dynamically increasing aluminum demand, spurred by industrial needs, may shift market dynamics, potentially re-shaping how investors evaluate metals portfolios.

The downgrade’s timing suggests an internal reflection and potential strategic adjustments from Newmont to combat sectoral preference headwinds. A recurring theme in commodity cycles portrays such ratings shifts as precursors to broader market movements — often leading to asset reallocations, as observable in Newmont’s transition from previous highs. The five-year profit margins, showcasing a stable 33.42%, may need retraction considerations if such sector preferences persist.

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Conclusion

As the financial year unfolds, Newmont stands at a pivotal junction with its commodity standing under scrutiny. The BNP Paribas Exane downgrade emphasizes the fluidity of trader sentiment in the face of rapidly shifting metal market preferences. With the newly assigned $97 price target representation of changing tides, stakeholders must navigate choices between tradition-bound assets and burgeoning industrial front-runners like aluminum. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes says, “Preparation plus patience leads to big profits,” underscoring the importance of diligent groundwork and timing in navigating market changes successfully.

In summary, BNP Paribas Exane’s recent downgrade unveils an evolving metals landscape. Newmont’s ability to pivot and strategize amid these headwinds will ultimately define future trajectories, embodying resilience in a sector grappling with dynamic shifts. The coming quarters may offer clarity, but for now, adaptive strategies will likely dictate performance. Alternative trading strategies and internal optimizations could mitigate headwinds and preserve the corporation’s standing, as the narrative of gold versus aluminum tension continues to unfold.

This is stock news, not investment advice. Timothy Sykes News delivers real-time stock market news focused on key catalysts driving short-term price movements. Our content is tailored for active traders and investors seeking to capitalize on rapid price fluctuations, particularly in volatile sectors like penny stocks. Readers come to us for detailed coverage on earnings reports, mergers, FDA approvals, new contracts, and unusual trading volumes that can trigger significant short-term price action. Some users utilize our news to explain sudden stock movements, while others rely on it for diligent research into potential investment opportunities.

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Tim Sykes

Head Writer at TimothySykes.com, Lead Mentor at the Trading Challenge
In his 20-plus years of trading, Tim has made $7.9 million. In his 15-plus years of teaching, Tim’s Trading Challenge has produced over 30 millionaire students. His philosophy emphasizes small gains and cutting losses quickly.
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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”