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New Oriental Education’s Share Movement: Buy or Stay Away?

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Written by Timothy Sykes

The announcement that New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. is expanding its online learning platform in China is most likely to influence its stock price positively. On Tuesday, New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. Sponsored ADR representing 10 (Cayman Islands)’s stocks have been trading up by 7.36 percent.

Latest Market News: Core Insights

  • Despite a mixed Q2 with earnings per share of 22c missing consensus estimates of 30c, New Oriental Education reported revenue of $1.04B, exceeding expectations of $1.03B.
  • Recent analysis anticipates Q3 revenue to fall between $1.01B and $1.03B, showing a year-over-year growth rate of 18%-21%, yet falling short of the $1.3B consensus.
  • BofA adjusted the stock’s price target to $68.60 from $82.90 but maintained a Buy rating, acknowledging strong Q2 results while accounting for a more subdued Q3 forecast due to FX and economic conditions.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update At 11:38:01 EST: On Tuesday, February 11, 2025 New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. Sponsored ADR representing 10 (Cayman Islands) stock [NYSE: EDU] is trending up by 7.36%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Financial Review: Metrics and Market Impact

The bustling world of education technology sees New Oriental Education, often simply shortened to EDU, consistently turning heads. Apart from the numbers dancing across trading floors, there’s a compelling narrative taking place. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes says, “Cut losses quickly, let profits ride, and don’t overtrade.” This mindset aligns well with New Oriental’s robust strategies, particularly in its domestic test prep sector and expanding overseas endeavors. Let’s delve deep: With Q2 revenue outperforming estimates, it’s clear that adhering to disciplined trading principles has played a role in their success.

However, revenue isn’t the sole measure of health. The company’s earnings per share (EPS) fell short of consensus, echoing concerns expressed by analysts and echoed in the BofA’s recent assessments. Adjustments to price targets have reflected these dynamics, hinting at potential caution in the near-term future.

Studying the stock chart, EDU displays some volatility. Recent trading sessions have seen price levels swinging, demonstrating the market’s confused enthusiasm. Not only is the technical chart pointing towards a lively dance of highs around mid-$50s, but there’s also a discernible trend of aggressive buying that pushed these ceilings.

Regarding key ratios, New Oriental Education’s PER ratio stands at a whopping 277.78, suggesting a lofty valuation compared to industry peers. Meanwhile, return on assets (ROA) and return on equity (ROE) sit in negative territory, meaning profitability issues remain largely visible. Moreover, balance sheet scrutiny reports a sturdy $753B in total assets, yet liabilities still loom large with $348B, signaling a continuous balancing act in managing operational costs vis-a-vis investments meant to fuel further growth.

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Moreover, New Oriental’s future outlook is colored by several important factors. Despite some unfavorable outlooks in Q3 revenue projections caused by macroeconomic headwinds like forex impacts, the company is keen on exploring new educational innovation. Strategic moves are anticipated to lure future growth.

Addressing Uncertainty: Stock Performance and Anticipations

In the realm of investor sentiment, New Oriental Education is an educational behemoth that defies simplicity. While its mixed Q2 results may cause some consternation, it indicates growth areas like overseas test prep and newer educational strategies signal dynamism in its core operations.

The BofA’s new price prediction reflects the duality within the company’s current situation: credible Q2 strength intertwined with anticipated Q3 burdens due to an economic downgrade makes lucrative growth prospects uncertain in the short term. Stock market reactions have erupted around these revelations, reflected in both sentiment and trading volumes.

New Oriental Education’s challenge lies beyond conventional pedagogy. Armed with foresight-driven initiatives aimed at structural innovation and market expansion, paths to reclaiming heights above consensus expectations are plotted. Grappling with economic forces hasn’t altogether spurned investor faith, but stock volatility points to a cloudy horizon.

While EDU displays flashes of ambition, translating potential into profits will require extricating itself from geopolitical pressures, economic uncertainties, and profitability concerns inherent to its journey. Prospective investors might find themselves entranced by price surges, yet cautious consideration remains key.

Conclusion: Reflections on EDU’s Market Undertone

Does the lure of robust growth metrics overshadow the undercurrent of challenges facing New Oriental Education? Balancing optimism with prudence, one must account for not just intrinsic possibilities, but also latent obstacles. Curiosity peaks when one contemplates the possibility: does one capitalize on opportunity or sidestep susceptibility?

In this educational tapestry, recognizing New Oriental Education’s evolving landscape guides us to a thrilling juncture. In such a world where trends, decisions, and foresights intersect, a trader’s journey is as dynamic and multifaceted as EDU’s sphere of influence itself. Understanding its rhythmic pulses, one may discern when the market’s clarion call signals “advance” or “abstain.” Consistency is paramount in navigating these market dynamics. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes, says, “Consistency is key in trading; don’t let emotions dictate your trades.” This insight serves as a cornerstone for day-to-day market engagement, ensuring that measured strategies prevail over emotional whims.

This is stock news, not investment advice. Timothy Sykes News delivers real-time stock market news focused on key catalysts driving short-term price movements. Our content is tailored for active traders and investors seeking to capitalize on rapid price fluctuations, particularly in volatile sectors like penny stocks. Readers come to us for detailed coverage on earnings reports, mergers, FDA approvals, new contracts, and unusual trading volumes that can trigger significant short-term price action. Some users utilize our news to explain sudden stock movements, while others rely on it for diligent research into potential investment opportunities.

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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

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Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”