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NFE Shares Plummet: Buying Opportunity?

Bryce TuoheyAvatar
Written by Bryce Tuohey

New Fortress Energy Inc. stocks have been trading down by -4.58 percent due to export challenges and rising market uncertainties.

Impactful Market Moves

  • BTIG cut the price target for New Fortress Energy from $15 to $8 after a 30% drop post-Q1 earnings, citing low volumes in Puerto Rico and Brazil.
  • A decline of 38% in shares followed a quarterly report revealing a loss and revenue miss, triggering fears about future growth.
  • A 63% stock plunge was noted, encouraged by disappointing Q1 earnings that drastically shifted from profits to losses.
  • In Q1, New Fortress Energy reported a loss of $0.73 per share, opposing the expected $0.25, raising red flags among investors.
  • New Fortress Energy acknowledged a poor revenue performance, far below analysts’ predictions, heightening market anxiety.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update At 14:32:43 EST: On Friday, May 16, 2025 New Fortress Energy Inc. stock [NASDAQ: NFE] is trending down by -4.58%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Quick Overview of Recent Earnings

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New Fortress Energy’s latest earnings report brought unsettling news, showcasing a significant loss compared to the previous year’s profitability. Their revenues took a hit, coming up short of forecasts, with stock prices responding by taking a nosedive. The numbers revealed a revenue of about $470.5M, against an anticipated $575.3M. The decline didn’t stop there; earnings per share landed at a disappointing negative $0.73, a far cry from the losses predicted by analysts.

Amid this turbulent sea of figures, the sales of Jamaican assets to Excelerate Energy were completed. Although this step brings some short-term liquidity, the company faces the daunting challenge of managing its hefty debt load amid shrinking sales. With a debt-to-equity ratio striking 4.74, New Fortress Energy stands under financial pressure which can constrain its growth prospects.

An underwhelming gross margin of 55% suggests inefficiencies in managing expenses compared to revenue earned. When looking at profitability metrics like EBIT and EBITDA Margins at -5.2% and 3.1% respectively, questions arise around how soon the company can turn its operations profitable again. Sentiments around profitability struggle despite a revenue per share reported at a decent $8.64.

More Breaking News

Additionally, cash flow statements highlight negative figures as cash dividends and long-term debt repayments pose significant cash outflows. The company’s leverage ratio sits at 6.9; such a high ratio has potential investors questioning its sustainability under current business conditions.

Understanding the Stock’s Plunge

The events that followed the Q1 earnings release resulted in a significant drop in confidence. With New Fortress Energy’s (NFE) stock tumbling, the market’s reactions were swift and severe. This enormous percentage drop could paint a bleak picture, but why exactly did investors react so sharply?

The first whiff of trouble began as the company’s earnings fell far from forecasted figures. This surprise was exacerbated by lower than anticipated volumes in key regions and compounded by ongoing concerns over their towering debt obligations. Upon slicing the price target by nearly half, analysts put emphasis on emerging pressures that indicated not just a temporary mishap, but rather conditions that could continue, thereby affecting the company’s balance sheet health.

The drop in revenue comes at an especially tortuous time, as global energy markets experience fluctuations and brazen uncertainties. The misalignment among projected revenues, actual earnings, and liquidity runs a thread of speculation across the global investor base, questioning where the company lies in terms of future recoverability.

Adding to their burden, unwelcome surprises surface in the form of class-action lawsuits, introducing variables of corporate governance scrutiny. Past assumptions surrounding organic growth from FLNG projects have not matured as expected, subjecting the company under rigorous examination by equity holders and stakeholders alike.

Market Impact and Potential Outlook

Despite the commotion, there’s a segment of market participants who view this massive sell-off as an unforeseen opportunity. These moments can frighten some but prove ripe with potential for others willing to shoulder the risk given the attractive low entry prices.

NFE’s market reaction suggests a broader disapproval but anticipates a potential rebound contingent on core operational improvements and financial strengthening. If New Fortress Energy can articulate a roadmap mitigating the current downturn with targeted debt restructuring plans, stabilized cash flows, and possibly expansion into higher-margin segments, there’s room for recovery.

However, it is crucial for potential traders to weigh the current market context alongside historical volatility. While NFE navigated rocky waters on recent earnings disappointment, reviving trader trust and confidence will be an uphill climb, demanding strategic pivoting and execution excellence.

Anyone eyeing stakes in New Fortress Energy needs to remain prepared for a rocky ride, sustained only through substantive balance sheet corrections and operational refinement. Buying in this tempest might offer unparalleled returns, yet risks are unequivocally heightened. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes says, “Be patient, don’t force trades, and let the perfect setups come to you.” Timing and precision would play profound roles in potential gains—fortunes built upon shifting sands and trader sentiment.

This is stock news, not investment advice. Timothy Sykes News delivers real-time stock market news focused on key catalysts driving short-term price movements. Our content is tailored for active traders and investors seeking to capitalize on rapid price fluctuations, particularly in volatile sectors like penny stocks. Readers come to us for detailed coverage on earnings reports, mergers, FDA approvals, new contracts, and unusual trading volumes that can trigger significant short-term price action. Some users utilize our news to explain sudden stock movements, while others rely on it for diligent research into potential investment opportunities.

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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

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Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”