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MP Materials Soars: What’s Fueling the Rise?

Jack KelloggAvatar
Written by Jack Kellogg
Updated 7/15/2025, 5:03 pm ET | 7 min

In this article Last trade Aug, 04 7:44 PM

  • MP+3.31%
    MP - NYSEMP Materials Corp.
    $65.80+2.11 (+3.31%)
    Volume:  16.14M
    Float:  147.93M
    $62.90Day Low/High$67.40

MP Materials Corp’s stocks have been trading up by 20.94 percent driven by positive sentiment from market developments.

  • There is a multibillion-dollar investment from this public-private partnership, including building a new magnet manufacturing facility which strengthens MP Materials’ strategic position significantly.

  • MP’s stocks experienced a dramatic rise, ballooning over 46% due to announcements of this collaboration enhancing U.S. rare earth production capabilities.

  • Financial analysts at CFRA foresee considerable gains, reiterating a strong buy recommendation and elevating MP’s 12-month target price to $68, pointing out the DoD deal’s vast potential impact.

  • Furthermore, Canaccord, another financial analyst, has not just raised MP’s price target significantly from $27 to $55, but has also maintained a “Buy” rating, indicating confidence in MP’s growth trajectory.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update At 17:03:22 EST: On Tuesday, July 15, 2025 MP Materials Corp. stock [NYSE: MP] is trending up by 20.94%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Overview of MP Materials Corp.’s Financial Health

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MP Materials has been in the spotlight lately, with massive moves in share prices and burgeoning partnerships with key government bodies like the Department of Defense. But how does all this tie into the company’s financial standing and performance?

Taking a closer look at MP’s financial metrics, a few noteworthy points emerge. The company’s revenue for the previous fiscal quarter stood at about $203.85M. Despite this seemingly solid revenue, their gross margin is only evident at 13.2%, suggesting that there’s considerable room for improvement in how effectively they are turning revenue into profit.

Interestingly, MP Materials holds a substantial total asset base of around $2.37B, indicating a significant investment in future growth initiatives. However, the net negative cash flow of $83.9M raises some concerns about immediate liquidity balances.

Another financial aspect drawing attention is their leverage ratio which sits at 2.3. This signifies a moderate level of debt relative to equity, pointing towards a careful balance of financing for growth and managing risks.

Undeniably, the recent partnership with DoD promises exciting opportunities. These include a price floor guarantee for NdPr products and a potential 10-year agreement accompanied by notable investments. Such moves can offer a significant catalyst for revenue increases and future profitability, largely offsetting their previous setbacks in financial results.

Catalysts like the anticipated construction of a new manufacturing facility can lead to operational efficiency that dramatically alters MP’s financial outlook. This move is expected to bolster their asset turnover, which currently lags a bit at 0.1. Nevertheless, the forward momentum boosted by strategic alliances sends a positive ripple through their financial health.

Unpacking the Market Influence and Stock Response

Recent strategic moves have sent ripples through the market, as evidenced by the significant movements in MP Materials’ stock price. Let’s dissect the elements that play into these dynamics.

The most influential factor, undeniably, is the multi-faceted agreement with the Department of Defense. This collaboration not only infuses capital but also strives to transition MP Materials into a linchpin within the U.S. rare earth magnet supply chain. By reducing dependency on other nations, it places MP at a strategic advantage both competitively and operationally.

Market enthusiasm was hard to miss. After the partnership announcement, MP’s stock surged impressively, snapping up a nearly 49% increase in short order. Investors seem to relish the aspects of a long-term secured revenue stream and the expanded production capabilities the partnership heralds.

The endorsements from financial analysts further cement the positive sentiment surrounding MP’s stock. The uplift from Canaccord and CFRA underscores a shared belief in MP’s growth trajectory fueled by these strategic decisions.

Yet, questions loom on the horizon regarding sustainability. With high expectations, pressure mounts on MP Materials to deliver on these futuristic plans and promises. Should these developments not proceed as envisioned, fluctuations and corrections in stock prices could manifest as market confidence seeks solid ground.

Furthermore, MP’s evolving financial health narrative echoes a broader, transformative chorus. In the broader bead of fiscal strategies, expectations are woven with the threads of operational efficiency enhancements and robust revenue floors, all buttressed by the newfound partnerships.

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Implications and Future Projections

The narrative surrounding MP Materials incorporates multi-layered themes of strategic alliances, market maneuvers, and financial recalibrations. How does this blend feed into predictions for the company’s trajectory?

Stock analysts generally exude optimism, pointing towards the immense potential embedded in the rare earth market. By enhancing domestic production and decisively playing its part in the supply chain, MP seems poised to secure an enviable market position.

However, a deeper scrutiny of their quarterly reports indicates the need for caution. Financial ratios reflect mixed signals with margins reflecting both challenge and opportunity. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes says, “Preparation plus patience leads to big profits.” This principle becomes especially relevant as MP navigates the balance between boldly embracing growth and managing costs, which must be artfully choreographed to sustain the uptrend.

Unquestionably, the potential shareholder position of the Department of Defense carries not just financial implications, but a vote of confidence in MP’s vision to be a pivotal contributor to the nation’s technological supply chain.

With strategic pivots like these, MP’s story speaks volumes on its commitment to both disruption and innovation within one of the most crucial industrial frontiers. As such, traders watch with bated breath, speculating on the undercurrents shaping MP’s performance and its upward trajectory.

In conclusion, the tale unfolding at MP Materials is rich with promise and intrigue. Be it the technological dialogues or dramatic stock fluctuations, layers upon layers enrich the company’s journey that seems to have only just dawned. While uncertainty will always reside amidst ambitious ventures, the strategic alliances MP has embraced signal a bold step towards reshaping its fate in the competitive landscape.

This is stock news, not investment advice. Timothy Sykes News delivers real-time stock market news focused on key catalysts driving short-term price movements. Our content is tailored for active traders and investors seeking to capitalize on rapid price fluctuations, particularly in volatile sectors like penny stocks. Readers come to us for detailed coverage on earnings reports, mergers, FDA approvals, new contracts, and unusual trading volumes that can trigger significant short-term price action. Some users utilize our news to explain sudden stock movements, while others rely on it for diligent research into potential investment opportunities.

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Jack Kellogg

He teaches webinars on Tim Sykes’ Trading Challenge He became Tim’s youngest millionaire student in 2020. Now he’s second on the Trading Challenge leaderboard with $12.9 million in career earnings. He’s a master of the 7-Step Pennystocking Framework. Jack is one of a rare breed of traders to profitably trade the entire penny stock framework.
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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

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Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”

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