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Impinj Targets Recovery in 2026 Despite Lowered Price Projections

Bryce TuoheyAvatar
Written by Bryce Tuohey Reviewed by Matt Monaco Fact-checked by Bryce Tuohey
Updated 2/13/2026, 4:38 pm ET 2/13/2026, 4:38 pm ET | 5 min 5 min read
Impinj Targets Recovery in 2026 Despite Lowered Price Projections Thumbnail

Impinj Inc.’s stocks have been trading up by 10.13 percent, reflecting strong market optimism and robust investor confidence.

Technology industry expert:

Analyst sentiment – neutral

  1. Market Position & Fundamentals: Impinj, Inc. (PI) holds a significant position within the RAIN RFID and IoT space, as evidenced by substantial annual revenues of $361.1 million with consistently high gross margins above 50%. However, the company’s profitability is compromised, highlighted by negative EBIT and profit margins across the board. Financially, Impinj struggles with profitability, evident from an EBIT margin of -1.7% and a pre-tax profit margin of -6%. Despite these challenges, a current ratio of 2.7 indicates solid liquidity, although a high total debt to equity ratio of 1.45 raises concerns about capital structure efficiency. Impinj needs to manage its investments, given the significant outflows reflected in a $56.5 million purchase of short-term investments, to bolster cash flow and enhance operational efficiency.

  2. Technical Analysis & Trading Strategy: Analyzing Impinj’s weekly price patterns reveals volatility with fluctuations evident in the recent price range, oscillating between $106.95 and $121.40. Impinj’s stock is currently trading in a consolidation phase, highlighted by relatively narrow price movement, particularly the stability at the close of $121.40. Current 5-minute candles reflect a technical pattern suggestive of potential uptrend resistance at $121.40. Trading strategy should focus on breakout signals above $121.40 on elevated volume, supporting a bullish posture. Traders should monitor support at $110 as a potential re-entry level, ensuring stop-loss considerations if there is a downturn below recent lows.

  3. Catalysts & Outlook: Impinj is anticipated to face short-term pressures due to inventory challenges, reflected by down-adjusted price targets from major institutions such as Barclays and Roth Capital. Despite these immediate hurdles, optimism exists due to increased endpoint IC volumes and strategic advancements like the M800 and Gen2X launches. With board members experienced in significant growth exits, such as Padval from Seligman Ventures, there’s future potential. Impinj exhibits a promising long-term outlook, bolstered by market opportunities in retail, logistics, and associated industries. Support around $120, paired with analyst optimism for recovery, suggests possible upward momentum if investor sentiment stabilizes.

Candlestick Chart

Weekly Update Feb 09 – Feb 13, 2026: On Friday, February 13, 2026 Impinj Inc. stock [NASDAQ: PI] is trending up by 10.13%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Quick Financial Overview

Impinj reported a year-over-year increase in endpoint IC volumes, despite a challenging fiscal year marked by a $10.8M GAAP net loss. Revenue for Q4 landed at $92.8M with a gross margin of 54.5%, moderately above market expectations. Total revenue for 2025 reached $361.1M, revealing a path forward even amid operational and market challenges.

Adjusted EBITDA reached record levels, underscoring operational efficiencies, even as GAAP net losses painted a challenging bottom line. The outlook for Q1 2026, however, identified revenues between $71M and $74M, signaling short-term headwinds below market consensus forecasts. The management remains optimistic about strategic product launches like Gen2X, intended to offer robust growth in expanding market segments such as retail and logistics.

Exploring the valuation measures indicates the firm operates at a high price-to-sales ratio of 8.95. The total debt-to-equity ratio stands at 1.45, emphasizing potential debt-driven leverage in a low EBIT margin environment at -1.7%. Brokerage commentary suggests optimism for a rebound by later in 2026, fueled by an improved supply chain and wider market absorption of the M800 chip.

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Bryce Tuohey

Mentor and Trainer at StocksToTrade.com, Lead Mentor at Small Cap Rockets and To The Moon Report
Bryce’s first pattern was buying into strength in breakouts. But he noticed when they didn’t work, he took bigger losses. When the OTC market got hot, Bryce learned to dip buy the inevitable panics. He adapted his breakout strategy and now buys consolidation and trend breaks. His goal is to have better risk/reward and get an entry before multi-day listed breakouts.
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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

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Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”