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First Solar’s Stock Plummet: Time to Buy?

Bryce TuoheyAvatar
Written by Bryce Tuohey
Updated 6/17/2025, 9:19 am ET 6 min read

First Solar Inc.’s stocks have been trading down by -24.48% amid bearish sentiment over recent market forecasts and quarterly earnings concerns.

The Sudden Decline in Solar Stocks:

  • Solar companies, including First Solar, witnessed a steep decline in stock prices after the U.S. House passed a tax bill that cuts key clean energy credits.
  • First Solar experienced a drop of 11%, affecting its performance on the stock market.
  • Goldman Sachs and Barclays upgraded their price targets for First Solar, yet it remained the worst performer on the S&P 500.
  • GOP lawmakers are pushing for the early cessation of the 45X tax credits, potentially ending in 2028 instead of 2032, causing concern among solar energy investors.
  • Shares of Sunrun and Enphase Energy also fell in response to these potential changes in tax credits.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update At 09:19:03 EST: On Tuesday, June 17, 2025 First Solar Inc. stock [NASDAQ: FSLR] is trending down by -24.48%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Quick Overview of First Solar’s Recent Performance:

First Solar, recognized for its significant contribution to solar energy, is navigating turbulent waters. Its stock prices have encountered a downward spiral, landing it the worst spot on the S&P 500 despite favorable analyst forecasts. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes, says, “The goal is not to win every trade but to protect your capital and keep moving forward.” This mindset may prove vital for traders facing the current challenges, as they adapt and strategize to secure their positions and sustain growth in an unpredictable market.

The recent wave of controversy around the solar sector doesn’t help. Not with the news discussions hovering over tax bill implications and the worry of upcoming policy adjustments. Such shifts in credit availability have sent jitters through investors, resulting in a drop in stock prices.

Digging into First Solar’s financial reports, we see revenue figures topping $4.2B with commendable profit margins approaching 30%. Key ratios suggest strong profitability and financial health, despite current market challenges.

When analyzing recent data, there’s a nuanced balance in profitability. The company enjoys high EBIT margins of 32% and pretax profit margins around 21%, which are commendable. They reflect consistent operating efficiency even though there’s a heavy cloud of external uncertainties looming overhead.

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Assets turnover rates, debt to equity ratios, and current ratios further demonstrate balance sheet strength and operational capability, which potentially instills investor confidence amidst the current upheaval. With a total enterprise value standing robustly at over $18B, First Solar shows encouraging long-term financial prowess.

Impact of Potential Early Tax Credit Cut:

The possibility of the early end to 45X tax credits has roiled the solar industry, with an immediate ripple effect observable in stock valuations. For First Solar, this scenario is troubling as a significant chunk of its credits lie beyond 2028. The anticipation alone has unnerved the market, causing sharp declines in share prices.

This uncertainty introduces volatility, leaving investors anxious about future stability. The clean energy credit slashes further imply potential revenue dips in coming years, painting a cautious picture for shareholders.

But it’s not just fear driving this narrative. It’s the anticipation of industry-wide impact that propels such sentiment, given how intertwined these tax credits are with industry growth and sustainability.

Analysts’ Optimism Amidst Gloom:

Despite prevalent pessimism, some analysts maintain a positive outlook for First Solar. The reasoning lies in its distinguished position within the sector and its capacity for strategic adaptation.

Recent price target upgrades from Goldman Sachs and Barclays hint at long-term value and growth prospects. While short-term fluctuations might perplex, there exists faith in the core business structure and its resilience.

The expected surge in solar demand as energy markets evolve offers potential wind in First Solar’s sails. Innovations and expansions are part of the company’s evolving strategy, aimed at capitalizing on energy transitions.

Navigating Volatility: A Strategic Perspective:

In the world of investing, emotion often dictates short-term movements, while logic governs long-term trajectories. For First Solar, patience and strategy appear imperative. The market may react unpredictably, yet intrinsic business value persists.

Observing recent stock price behavior can provide valuable insights. During intraday trading, nuances in opening and closing prices attest to the volatility; yet periodic highs and lows may indicate opportunities for tactical entry or exit.

First Solar’s extended performance on the chart reveals a moderate mix of steady rises and occasional dips. These naturally unfold as investment sentiment ebbs and flows, swayed by broader market forces and sentiment indicators.

Navigating this tumultuous period demands scrutiny of both market responses and underlying financial metrics. The data suggests that while short-term volatility may hinder immediate returns, the possibility for recovery and advancement is tenable, contingent upon strategic foresight.

Conclusion: Evaluating Short and Long-term Prospects

First Solar’s current quandary reveals tensions between policy shifts and market confidence. While the past month’s developments have posed challenges, the long-term potential for First Solar emanates from its stalwart financial base and its responsiveness to changing energy landscapes.

Though tempting to balk in light of recent downturns, traders who look beyond immediate fluctuations can find value in First Solar’s steadfast operational models. In the face of credit challenges, the firm’s capabilities and market position could lend strength amid uncertainty.

As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes says, “Small gains add up over time; focus on building wealth gradually, not chasing jackpots.” This trading philosophy aligns with the patience required to navigate First Solar’s vicissitudes, recognizing that incremental advancements can lead to substantial benefits.

Looking ahead, any resolution to the present concerns—whether legislated or market-driven—could pave the way for recovery. A discerning trader’s strategy involves absorbing the present realities while placing well-grounded optimism in the solar giant’s enduring story.

This is stock news, not investment advice. Timothy Sykes News delivers real-time stock market news focused on key catalysts driving short-term price movements. Our content is tailored for active traders and investors seeking to capitalize on rapid price fluctuations, particularly in volatile sectors like penny stocks. Readers come to us for detailed coverage on earnings reports, mergers, FDA approvals, new contracts, and unusual trading volumes that can trigger significant short-term price action. Some users utilize our news to explain sudden stock movements, while others rely on it for diligent research into potential investment opportunities.

Dive deeper into the world of trading with Timothy Sykes, renowned for his expertise in penny stocks. Explore his top picks and discover the strategies that have propelled him to success with these articles:

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Bryce Tuohey

Mentor and Trainer at StocksToTrade.com, Lead Mentor at Small Cap Rockets and To The Moon Report
Bryce’s first pattern was buying into strength in breakouts. But he noticed when they didn’t work, he took bigger losses. When the OTC market got hot, Bryce learned to dip buy the inevitable panics. He adapted his breakout strategy and now buys consolidation and trend breaks. His goal is to have better risk/reward and get an entry before multi-day listed breakouts.
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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”

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