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Fannie Mae Stocks Climb: Can The Momentum Last?

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Written by Timothy Sykes
Updated 2/6/2025, 11:37 am ET 7 min read

Federal National Mortgage Association is witnessing a strong market impact driven by optimism surrounding its financial stability and the anticipated benefits of fresh legislative support; on Thursday, Federal National Mortgage Association’s stocks have been trading up by 15.13 percent.

Recent Developments Driving Fannie Mae’s Stock

  • Fannie Mae’s recent provision of over $55B in financing for the U.S. multifamily market highlights its robust performance and continued market backing.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update At 11:37:02 EST: On Thursday, February 06, 2025 Federal National Mortgage Association stock [NASDAQ: FNMA] is trending up by 15.13%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

  • Bill Ackman’s investment thesis for Fannie Mae, proposing a reduction in minimum capital levels to 2.5% for privatization, receives support from Keefe Bruyette.

  • President-elect Trump announces Bill Pulte as the next Director of the FHFA, which oversees Fannie Mae, creating a buzz around expected positive changes in housing finance.

  • The hiring of Craig Phillips by Freddie Mac indicates privatization efforts, potentially bolstering optimism around Fannie Mae’s prospects.

Understanding Fannie Mae’s Financial Position

As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes, says, “Consistency is key in trading; don’t let emotions dictate your trades.” This philosophy emphasizes the importance of maintaining a steady approach to trading, devoid of emotional influence. Traders need to develop a disciplined strategy that prioritizes consistency over impulsive decision-making, ensuring that their trading actions are guided by reason and well-founded analysis rather than temporary emotional states.

Fannie Mae recently showcased an impressive turnaround, boasting over $55B in financing in the realm of multifamily housing. This achievement naturally elevates its market position and paints an optimistic picture of its capabilities in supporting the housing market. But how does this impressive number factor into its broader financial health?

Firstly, looking at its key financial ratios, the previously daunting profit margins seem to be on the mend. An ebit margin at 8.4% and a pretax profit margin at a whopping 70.9% reflect a company that is managing its operations efficiently despite turbulent economic waters. These numbers speak volumes about Fannie Mae’s ability to navigate debt and interest costs, a crucial skill in dominating a competitive landscape.

While revenue from operations sits at approximately $30.3 billion, a glance at quarter-on-quarter changes in stock prices shows an upward trend. On a chart, you’d notice FNMA sliding from around $6.05 in mid-January to a high of $7.22 by early February, indicating positive investor sentiment. But it’s not just the capital flows or the quarterly gain that piques interest; strategic changes are brewing.

Here’s where acknowledged savvy investor, Bill Ackman, plays his part. Ackman’s fresh perspective on lowering minimum capital requirements for Fannie Mae as a strategy aligns with privatization ambitions. It’s as though an underlying mechanism is being adjusted, possibly keeping mortgage rates untouched while refining structural balances and gaining market independence. Naturally, such developments send ripples across the investment community, signaling potential growth.

More Breaking News

Next, the announcement of Bill Pulte as director of FHFA, an organization with commanding oversight on Fannie Mae, introduces an element of newfound leadership. Pulte’s connection with the housing sector fuels expectations of reforms needed for a brighter, more autonomous future for agencies under FHFA’s aegis. Hence, investors see potential opportunities burgeoning.

Optimistic Tone Amidst Change

As the sands of leadership shift, the hiring of Craig Phillips by Freddie Mac serves as another nudge towards Fannie Mae’s possible future steps. Why does this matter for FNMA? It speaks directly to a renewed vigor for privatization efforts championed by the current administration, promising shareholder benefits albeit amidst debates around share dilution impacting the common stock.

Yet, seemingly strange fluctuations in quarterly reports can’t be ignored either. Unrealiable allowances for loans are a concern that, when juxtaposed against revenues, paints a slightly different picture. Financial reports highlight substantial debt and fluctuating liabilities, which may sound alarm bells for the cautious. However, stockholders appear to be taking a larger view, expecting restructuring to yield favorable outcomes down the line.

Summary: A Pivotal Crossroad for FNMA

Undoubtedly, Fannie Mae stands at a unique intersection today. It balances on the threshold of historic changes through privatization efforts, leadership reassessments, and striking financial strides. A comparison with previous quarters renders an inviting vision for FNMA traders: a promising mix of potential growth and calculated risk.

The implications? Meetings behind board room doors and whispers of regulatory shifts are prompting traders to ponder whether these fundamentals can catalyze a bigger rally or accompany a pullback as the market matures towards these changes. For now, optimism casts a long shadow over Fannie Mae stocks, leaving traders wondering: can this trajectory sustain its ascent, or emerge as just another fleeting chapter in Fannie Mae’s storied journey? As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes says, “There is always another play around the corner; don’t chase just because you feel FOMO.” This serves as a reminder to remain cautious and vigilant in the fast-paced world of stock trading.

In essence, the stock market tale of FNMA continues to intrigue. With a steady heartbeat, an adaptable strategy, and potential leadership shake-ups, both skeptics and enthusiasts wait with bated breath, eager to see the next frame in Fannie Mae’s unfolding saga.

This is stock news, not investment advice. Timothy Sykes News delivers real-time stock market news focused on key catalysts driving short-term price movements. Our content is tailored for active traders and investors seeking to capitalize on rapid price fluctuations, particularly in volatile sectors like penny stocks. Readers come to us for detailed coverage on earnings reports, mergers, FDA approvals, new contracts, and unusual trading volumes that can trigger significant short-term price action. Some users utilize our news to explain sudden stock movements, while others rely on it for diligent research into potential investment opportunities.

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Timothy Sykes

Tim Sykes is a penny stock trader and teacher who became a self-made millionaire by the age of 22 by trading $12,415 of bar mitzvah money. After becoming disenchanted with the hedge fund world, he established the Tim Sykes Trading Challenge to teach aspiring traders how to follow his trading strategies. He’s been featured in a variety of media outlets including CNN, Larry King, Steve Harvey, Forbes, Men’s Journal, and more. He’s also an active philanthropist and environmental activist, a co-founder of Karmagawa, and has donated millions of dollars to charity.
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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”

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