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CLF’s Recent Rally: Time to Buy or Beware?

Ellis HobbsAvatar
Written by Ellis Hobbs
Updated 9/29/2025, 2:33 pm ET 9/29/2025, 2:33 pm ET | 6 min 6 min read

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. stocks have been trading up by 3.88 percent, reflecting ongoing market optimism.

Recent reports highlight Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.’s relief as a lawsuit from U.S. Steel and Nippon Steel was dismissed without any financial compensation, reducing potential legal burdens.

Debt Refinancing Moves
The company has made a significant stride by upsizing and pricing $850M in senior unsecured notes due 2034. This move aims to redeem outstanding guaranteed notes and trim borrowings, showcasing confidence in its financial stability.

Remarkable Market Performance
Over the past three months, Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. has surged by 38.6%, outpacing peers and reflecting strong investor faith despite fluctuating steel market prices.

Debt Offerings Initiative
To further strengthen its balance sheet, Cleveland-Cliffs announced a $600M senior notes offering aimed at redeeming older debts, indicating proactive financial management.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update At 14:32:38 EST: On Monday, September 29, 2025 Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. stock [NYSE: CLF] is trending up by 3.88%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Quick Overview: Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.’s Recent Financial Performance

As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes, says, “Cut losses quickly, let profits ride, and don’t overtrade.” Success in trading often hinges on the discipline and wisdom to adhere to sound principles. These principles guide traders in making calculated decisions and managing risk effectively. Traders must be vigilant and avoid the temptation to overtrade, while simultaneously capitalizing on opportunities that yield profit. Cutting losses quickly is crucial to maintain capital and ensure longevity in trading. By allowing successful trades to run their course, traders maximize returns, aligning with Tim Sykes’s advice.

With a year marked by a series of strategic financial decisions, Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. is catching the eye of investors around the globe. Its aggressive approach in handling debts and strategic upsizing of notes reflects a keen sense of foresight and adaptability—qualities shareholders favor.

Firstly, let’s delve into its key financials. The company’s recent report shows net income experiencing a bumpy road, struggling against a robust revenue figure of $19.18B. Despite current challenges, the revenue numbers are promisingly impressive, showcasing the company’s capability to generate significant sales.

In a broader scope, the gross margin is staggering—over 126%—a figure that particularly stands out in the industry. Balancing this is the profit margin, which dips into the negatives, indicating a tightrope walk on profitability. This juxtaposition of margin stats suggests both potential and pitfalls for the company moving forward.

Cleveland-Cliffs’ asset management is noteworthy. With a current ratio of 2, it remains financially solvent, indicating ample liquid assets relative to liabilities. The quick ratio, on the other hand, at 0.5, suggests potential liquidity challenges which could arise if revenue isn’t effectively materialized into cash. Yet, with a leverage ratio of 3.5, they’ve sustained an elevated level of debt relative to equity, which could be risky in economically volatile times.

Digging deeper into their cash flow, Cleveland-Cliffs’ operating cash flow stands positive at $45M, signaling that day-to-day operations churn cash positively. Capital expenditures, though, remain a heavy load, climbing up to $112M. In the income statement, a -$470M net income from continuing operations denotes a struggle in converting revenue into profit.

Market Implications

A balance sheet totaling $20.47B and total liabilities of $14.42B reflect a strategically leveraged position. Many stakeholders might be intrigued by this setup, contemplating whether the robust revenue against a pressured profit ultimately provides a buy opportunity.

Given their recent rally, which has defied the broader market’s hesitation, this could signal a fundamental strength in Cleveland-Cliffs’ operations and investor confidence.

Analyzing the Debt Decisions: Navigating Future Challenges

The recent decisions to upsize and issue $850M in unsecured notes are part of a larger strategic attempt to better manage debt obligations. These financial moves are calculated to lower near-term maturity risks and reduce reliance on immediate-term borrowings, thus stabilizing operations amidst defying market trends.

In essence, the repositioning of obligations through new notes echo the persistent quest of Cleveland-Cliffs to be more effective in managing downturns. However, this approach begs questions: Is the reliance on additional debt offerings sustainable long term? Critics argue this course may balloon interest expenses in a rising rate environment. Yet, the firm proved its capability in the past, showcasing consistent financial maneuvering.

More Breaking News

In a recent bid to reclaim its market share and address these concerns, the company aims to optimize cash flow generation in the forthcoming quarters, ideal for tackling any instability.

Conclusion: The Road Ahead for CLF

As Cleveland-Cliffs navigates future prospects, pivotal risks and rewards lie in its path. The surge over the recent months indicates yearning interests and possibly, the murmurs aren’t far-fetched… But as millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes, says, “There is always another play around the corner; don’t chase just because you feel FOMO.” Is this momentum rooted in strong fundamentals or speculation? Traders must weigh these views against the backdrop of debt strategies, legislative decisions, and unresolved profitability commitments.

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.’s journey continues, standing at a crossroads where prudent steps align with market dynamics in deciding its destiny. Its current performance sends mixed signals—does it spell a permanent climb, or is it only a fleeting highlight waiting for harsher market reactions?

Ultimately, the endeavor remains clear: to evaluate a stock amidst steel industry challenges, market dynamics, and aggressive financial strategies is a test in clarity and analytical prowess. A true elixir for those venturing into trading waters with Cleveland-Cliffs at the helm.

This is stock news, not investment advice. Timothy Sykes News delivers real-time stock market news focused on key catalysts driving short-term price movements. Our content is tailored for active traders and investors seeking to capitalize on rapid price fluctuations, particularly in volatile sectors like penny stocks. Readers come to us for detailed coverage on earnings reports, mergers, FDA approvals, new contracts, and unusual trading volumes that can trigger significant short-term price action. Some users utilize our news to explain sudden stock movements, while others rely on it for diligent research into potential investment opportunities.

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Ellis Hobbs

Trainer and Mentor on Tim Sykes’ Trading Challenge
He teaches webinars on Tim Sykes’ Trading Challenge He treats trading like a business, not a hobby He emphasizes taking small risks — “If you get the process right, money is a forgone conclusion.”
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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”