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Unexpected Surge: Analyzing Cleveland-Cliffs’ Market Performance

Bryce TuoheyAvatar
Written by Bryce Tuohey
Updated 7/2/2025, 5:04 pm ET | 7 min

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  • CLF-2.06%
    CLF - NYSECleveland-Cliffs Inc.
    $9.51-0.20 (-2.06%)
    Volume:  4.31M
    Float:  485.95M
    $9.45Day Low/High$9.82

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. stocks have been trading up by 7.76 percent, driven by increasing global steel demand and profitability projections.

  • Shares of Cleveland-Cliffs reversed a 1.2% decline from a previous session, seeing a premarket increase of 31.9%. This unexpected turnaround highlights market volatility and investor response to policy changes.

  • Cleveland-Cliffs saw a notable increase of 23% as metal import duties were set to be doubled. Such dramatic shifts reveal investor confidence in regulatory protection boosting domestic steel producers.

  • Following Trump’s announcement to raise steel and aluminum tariffs, major industry players like Steel Dynamics, Nucor, and Cleveland-Cliffs all climbed sharply. This development reflects the broader trend of heightened appreciation for domestic steel manufacturers.

  • In premarket trading, Cleveland-Cliffs observed a surge of more than 26% after plans revealed the steel tariff would rise to 50%. This pre-market activity suggests anticipation of increased market share for U.S. producers in the face of stricter import conditions.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update At 17:03:55 EST: On Wednesday, July 02, 2025 Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. stock [NYSE: CLF] is trending up by 7.76%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Overview of Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.’s Financial Snapshot

As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes says, “Preparation plus patience leads to big profits.” This principle is crucial in the world of trading, where traders must navigate volatile markets with a well-researched strategy. Successful trading requires not only understanding market trends but also the discipline to wait for the right opportunities. Implementing this approach can often result in significant financial gain, illustrating the importance of thorough preparation and the virtue of patience in achieving success in trading.

Peeling back the curtain on Cleveland-Cliffs’ current fiscal performance reveals a mix of challenges and growth opportunities. For the first quarter of 2025, cash reserves came in remarkably low, with the company reporting negative $57M in cash ready for immediate use. This unveils a delicate cash flow situation, driven significantly by substantial capital expenditures and the ongoing debt payments required for operational expansion.

When breaking down the numbers further, the depreciation and amortization figures offer a silver lining, suggesting management’s strategic investments to enhance asset longevity and competitive advantage. The operating cash flow, pegged at a negative $351 million, coupled with a free cash flow of negative $503M, signals immediate concerns, particularly for stakeholders keeping a keen eye on operating efficiencies within the company.

Recent financial reports relay mixed signals; while overall revenues were anchored at $19.18 billion, the EBITA margin stood at a disappointing -2.6%. Meanwhile, despite setbacks across profitability margins, Cleveland-Cliffs maintains an impressively sizable total asset figure, demonstrating potential for operational scaling once market challenges are navigated.

Observing these financial metrics in a contemporary context uncovers a company at a crossroads, grappling with balancing considerable capital expenditure for growth against achieving positive cash flows. Looking ahead, all eyes remain fixed on how management navigates these financial constraints against predictions of escalating market demand following fresh policy shifts in steel tariffs.

Cleveland-Cliffs’ Strategic Expansion Initiatives

Cleveland-Cliffs has recently announced the commissioning of a new $150 million Vertical Stainless Bright Anneal Line at its Coshocton Works in Ohio. This state-of-the-art line not only significantly expands production capabilities but also exhibits the company’s commitment to sustainable and environmentally friendly processes. The strategic investment is part of Cleveland-Cliffs’ broader initiative to consolidate its presence in premium stainless steel markets, catering to the automotive and appliance sectors.

Notably, the ribbon cutting ceremony, held to unveil this innovation, underscores Cleveland-Cliffs’ focus on stakeholder engagement. The live streaming event featured key corporate stakeholders and prestigious guests, reinforcing the narrative of community involvement and business transparency. This focused engagement with crucial industry players can play a pivotal role in fostering longer-term customer relationships and enhancing trust in Cleveland-Cliffs’ commitment to quality.

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Such business expansion strategies, aligned with current market conditions and consumer needs, are instrumental for securing competitive edges. As Cleveland-Cliffs navigates the complexities of contemporary steel markets, initiatives like these can actively redefine its position amidst heightened expectations and environmental sustainability demands.

Implications of Trade Policy for the Steel Market

Steel markets around the globe felt the tremors when Trump’s administration announced plans to increase steel tariffs to 50% in early June. For domestic manufacturers like Cleveland-Cliffs, such policy changes pose a profoundly positive trajectory. By essentially insulating the domestic market from cheaper imports, tariffs afford local producers increased competitive pricing power, helping them garner enhanced market share.

For Cleveland-Cliffs, this policy development charts a transformative catalyst for escalating earnings and investor dividends. As demand dynamics potentially skew towards domestic players in the short-to-medium term, there lurks the opportunity to not only recapture previous market dominance but also innovate further within production frameworks.

However, increased tariffs don’t ride without inherent risks, especially for steel consumers. On the back of rising raw material costs, industrial entities dependent on steel inputs may face larger input expenses, oscillating through broader economic circuits. Balanced supply chain strategies and robust contract negotiations will become imperative for Cleveland-Cliffs as it seeks to leverage tariffs effectively while maintaining favorable client relations.

What’s certain is that Trump’s tariff maneuver signifies more than just a short-term stock market boost for Cleveland-Cliffs. It heralds the onset of a potential transformative era in trade dynamics, one that positions domestic steel producers at the vanguard of industry revitalization.

In understanding the broader consequential impacts, it remains critical to recognize how Cleveland-Cliffs calibrates its operations against this shifting backdrop. Establishing robust scale efficiencies and consolidating key partnerships will be decisive for not only weathering shifts but thriving amidst them.

Conclusion

Cleveland-Cliffs’ recent trajectory, spurred by favorable trade policy developments and strategic investments, charts a complex, yet potentially rewarding course ahead. While immediate fiscal challenges underscore persistent operational vulnerabilities, strategic expansions and strengthened market positions via tariff-induced protectionism elevate opportunity.

As Cleveland-Cliffs braces for these uncharted waters, intrinsic to its success will be management’s ability to judiciously expand its financial horizons while nurturing sustained profitability and market engagements. For traders and stakeholders, navigating such volatility requires a nuanced understanding of market shifts and inherent risks. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes, says, “Consistency is key in trading; don’t let emotions dictate your trades.” Cleveland-Cliffs stands at an inflection point with promising prospects, contingent upon the strategic agility and foresight of its leadership.

This is stock news, not investment advice. Timothy Sykes News delivers real-time stock market news focused on key catalysts driving short-term price movements. Our content is tailored for active traders and investors seeking to capitalize on rapid price fluctuations, particularly in volatile sectors like penny stocks. Readers come to us for detailed coverage on earnings reports, mergers, FDA approvals, new contracts, and unusual trading volumes that can trigger significant short-term price action. Some users utilize our news to explain sudden stock movements, while others rely on it for diligent research into potential investment opportunities.

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Bryce Tuohey

Mentor and Trainer at StocksToTrade.com, Lead Mentor at Small Cap Rockets and To The Moon Report
Bryce’s first pattern was buying into strength in breakouts. But he noticed when they didn’t work, he took bigger losses. When the OTC market got hot, Bryce learned to dip buy the inevitable panics. He adapted his breakout strategy and now buys consolidation and trend breaks. His goal is to have better risk/reward and get an entry before multi-day listed breakouts.
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In this article (YTD Performance)


* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”

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