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The Source Of +100% Stock Spikes – Catch The Next One

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Written by Timothy Sykes
Updated 7/28/2025 5 min read

It’s only Tuesday this week, and we’ve already seen multiple +100% runners in the stock market.

They moved just as I said they would in this blog.

One of the most impressive runners from yesterday, Monday, was VisionWave Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: VWAV).

The stock spiked +400%* after announcing fresh AI news!

I posted about it on X when the price was still below $5 per share. Look below:

And after the market opened for regular hours, it surged to new intraday highs.

Look at my next post:

And it didn’t stop there …

I’m still watching this stock for a follow-up move.

The Strongest Stocks In The Market

My millionaire students and I always look for the strongest stock spikes in the market.

Here’s why:

Traders who focus on the strongest stocks have the best chance at success.

But for a lot of new traders, it’s difficult to tell the difference between a strong stock spike and a weak one.

My students and I use a simple checklist to find plays that match our patterns.

  • A low share price.
  • A spike of at least 20% on the day.
  • A low float.
  • A catalyst for the spike.
  • A high trading volume.

On Monday, July 28, VWAV fit the checklist perfectly.

  • It started below $3 per share.
  • The stock spiked +20% within the first few minutes of announcing news.
  • StocksToTrade shows that the float was only 14 million shares.
  • The company announced it secured $50 million of equity to start an AI-driven defense platform.
  • It traded +100 million shares on Monday.

Look at a chart of the move below:

VWAV chart intraday, 1-minute candles Source: StocksToTrade
VWAV chart intraday, 1-minute candles Source: StocksToTrade

This price action is NOT random.

I traded this runner in the morning for a small 6% profit. And I played it safe. I left A LOT on the table.

Watch my video below to learn the patterns that my millionaire students and I use to trade in this market:

The Source Of These Spikes

It’s important that you understand the reason behind these moves.

VWAV might have secured a $50 million private placement for its AI defense system. But that doesn’t mean it should spike 440%* … 

The spike in the morning was due to the initial bullish momentum from the news announcement.

But as the stock started to fade, overzealous short sellers piled in to capitalize off of an overextended penny stock that was falling lower.

Ultimately, too many short sellers tried to ride VWAV lower. And as a result, they squeezed each other out as the stock spiked higher.

Most short sellers don’t post their losses, so it’s difficult to actually see this short squeeze catalyst. But every now and then we’re blessed by a short seller who admits defeat publicly.

Look at the post below from a short seller who blew up yesterday on VAPE and VWAV:

Source

That’s gotta hurt …

I’m still watching VWAV for trade setups!

But don’t fall for the short selling thesis on these spikes. It’s dangerous.

Instead, join me and my students and on the long side.

Cheers

 

*Past performance does not indicate future results


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Timothy Sykes

Tim Sykes is a penny stock trader and teacher who became a self-made millionaire by the age of 22 by trading $12,415 of bar mitzvah money. After becoming disenchanted with the hedge fund world, he established the Tim Sykes Trading Challenge to teach aspiring traders how to follow his trading strategies. He’s been featured in a variety of media outlets including CNN, Larry King, Steve Harvey, Forbes, Men’s Journal, and more. He’s also an active philanthropist and environmental activist, a co-founder of Karmagawa, and has donated millions of dollars to charity.
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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”

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