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Are Billionaire Plays Back?

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Written by Timothy Sykes
Updated 3/30/2026 6 min read

2 OTC stocks spiked out of the gate on Monday…

Hyped by 1 BIG trader.

I’m talking about a billionaire almost every trader knows about.

And the hype worked.

It wasn’t exactly an old-school billionaire play.

That’s when a billionaire announces an investment in a company and the stock goes parabolic.

In the case of these two OTCs, the billionaire has been invested since at least 2013.

But when you see his X post…

You’ll see why I took one of my easiest trades in a months…

“If the Rich Guys Do It, It Must Be Worth Something”

On Monday (March 30), Fannie Mae (OTCQB: FNMA) and Freddie Mac (OTCQB: FMCC) both spiked right out of the gate.

And it had all the looks of a classic “billionaire play.”

I highly recommend you read “The Complete Penny Stock Course” by my friend Jamil Ben Alluch (there’s a section dedicated to billionaire plays).

The most important thing to know today is…

The 3-Step Billionaire Play Sequence 

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  1. A billionaire invests in a company (usually there’s a press release).
  2. It creates a sheep-like “buy, buy, buy” mentality where uninformed investors buy just to follow the billionaire.
  3. Over time, billionaire plays often sell off, following the 7-Step Framework into the long kiss goodnight.

So, was this a classic billionaire play?

Not exactly.

In this case, Bill Ackman of Pershing Square Capital Management tweeted…

Source: X
“Some of the highest quality businesses in the world are trading at extremely cheap prices. Ignore the MSM. One of the most one-sided wars in history that will end well for the U.S. and the world. And we have the potential for a large peace dividend.
“One of the best times in a long time to buy quality.”

In a follow up tweet, Ackman wrote…

Source: X
“Fannie and Freddie are stupidly cheap. Asymmetry at its best. They could be a 10x and it could happen soon.”

The main difference between Bill Ackman hyping FNMA and an old-school billionaire play is that he’s been invested in FNMA and FMCC for years.

Pershing Capital has owned nearly 10% of both companies since 2013.

So, Ackman is invested for the long-term.

But…

The Tweet DID Hype the Stocks

Right out of the gate on March 30, both FNMA and FMCC gapped and ran…

Source StocksToTrade FNMA, 2-day, 1-min candles, billionaire play
Source StocksToTrade FNMA, 2-day, 1-min candles, billionaire play

FMCC is usually a sympathy play to FNMA. Notice how similar the charts look…

Source StocksToTrade, FMCC, 2-day, 1-min candle, billionaire play
Source StocksToTrade, FMCC, 2-day, 1-min candle, billionaire play

Crazy, right?

Now check out the 2-year charts for FNMA and FMCC. Pay attention to the green candle on the far right of both charts.

Source StocksToTrade FNMA 2-yr, daily candle
Source StocksToTrade FNMA 2-yr, daily candle

As you can see, it was a big one-day move for both stocks (And the only catalyst was the tweet)…

Source StocksToTrade FMCC 2-yr, daily candle
Source StocksToTrade FMCC 2-yr, daily candle

I took a small trade (and I forgot how much easier OTC plays are).

It was a nice and easy single to start the week. I miss OTC morning spikers because the action is so clean.

We definitely need more of these!

More Breaking News

Key Takeaways

The FNMA and FMCC moves weren’t old-school billionaire plays. But the hype and price action was very much the same (and THAT is key).

Top Tips to Trade Billionaire Plays 

  • You don’t need to hang out on X all day to get news like this. We have a team dedicated to uncovering Breaking News.
  • Understand that hype can spike a stock, but it’s still just a trade. Trade the pattern and price action.
  • Don’t chase. Remember, historically these things come back down.
  • Always follow rule #1 and cut losses quickly.

For real-time commentary and full trade breakdowns…

Apply for my Trading Challenge

All my millionaire students started there, so apply today.

 

Cheers,

Tim Sykes



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Timothy Sykes

Tim Sykes is a penny stock trader and teacher who became a self-made millionaire by the age of 22 by trading $12,415 of bar mitzvah money. After becoming disenchanted with the hedge fund world, he established the Tim Sykes Trading Challenge to teach aspiring traders how to follow his trading strategies. He’s been featured in a variety of media outlets including CNN, Larry King, Steve Harvey, Forbes, Men’s Journal, and more. He’s also an active philanthropist and environmental activist, a co-founder of Karmagawa, and has donated millions of dollars to charity.
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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”