Posts Tagged ‘Analogies’
MarketMania Cage Match: Jim Cramer vs. Ken Heebner
Unlike most financial freaks, you know I like to stay faaaaaaar away for the economic guessing game, not because I don’t have opinions/do research on consumer spending, oil, housing, etc. but because I don’t pretend to be able to guess the changing time lags associated with pricing these issues into the stock market. Yup, that’s right, there are tons of time lags and we petty humans have no friggin idea.
So, I’ll keep making my pretty non-scalable 7 month 70% returns and let others whose business is scalable guessing games duke it out.
Tonight’s death match is between two “financial experts” who are polar opposites:
“There’s Always A Bull Market Somewhere” Jim Cramer who has suddenly started saying inappropriate/dangerous/emotional stuff like
Why They Should String Samuel Israel Up On Wall Street With A Note Saying “Fraud Isn’t Painless”
Call it tough love. Leave him there long enough so the stench of his rotting corpse (still won’t be as bad as the stench of most living finance peeps—yeahhh can you say $330 billion auction rate securities catastrophe? Fraud lawsuits should be fun/illuminating) will pound home the point that if you cheat people—giving this once great industry a bad name—you will suffer the consequences. And it won’t be painless…Benito Mussolini-and-mistress-together-style:
Say Hello To The Most Popular Member On Covestor: Timmay!
Covestor: Timmay, are you ready for this, champ?
Timmay: I’ve been ready for this my whole life!
Covestor: Then you take us out of the dark ages.
Many said it couldn’t be done. A trader who focuses on penny stocks? A penny stock day trader? A penny stock day trader whose specialty is short selling? Total niche strategy.
And yet just one day after Covestor opened up to everyone, I am now the most popular trader/investor (see rankings HERE) and by a healthy margin. Disney is even thinking of making a movie based on my life with Jon Favreau as my chubby by lovable best friend Eddie Z.
You can track my trades by following me HERE…usually same day, if not 1 day behind…technology is still new…or get real-time trade alerts, within seconds of my actual executions, emailed to you by signing up HERE
When Covestor called me to honor me with the top spot, I blurted out “I wanna prove to everybody…” but Covestor interrupted and said:
Can A Book Count As You On Facebook?
The other day I saw somebody, Liz Panek, tagged a new photo of me on my Facebook profile:
Why The Pattern Day Trader Rule Proves The SEC Rivals Osama Bin Laden In Terrorism
Yup I said it. While making a nice quick 5+% American profit, or $350ish, in an hour on my LGDI trade a few weeks ago, my blood boiled over due to the missed opportunities caused by the SEC’s pattern day trading rule. And while I’ve attacked it in the past, there was no formal summary post that explained all my key points. Considering how many stocks are in play today and the fact that I am forced to ignore 99% of them, it’s time I unleash this fury.
The formal definition of this inane rule is HERE, and once you read it, you’ll begin to understand why I call it the Reign Of Terror Rule. In fact, I’ve got an entire category devoted to it as I’ve documented each and every time it’s interfered with my trading since I began TIM in November 2007.
Basically, if your trading account is below $25,000—as are the accounts of so many poor people out there—you can only day trade (meaning in and out the same day) 4 times per week. If you trade more than that, you get flagged as a pattern day trader and your account gets restricted because you’re considered evil, as most day traders are believed to be. (Yes sometimes you can trade a few more times than that—since its all rather gray area and the brokerage firms themselves despise this rule—but my point is there should be no limits whatsoever!)
Even though I’ve still got over $500,000 in liquid cash to trade with, I went back to my $12,415 roots specifically to draw attention to this injustice because most people, including industry big wigs, don’t even know about it. After all, the last time I had this little money, it hadn’t been instituted and I’m forever thankful since trading freedom allowed me to get rich.
Forget Barton Biggs, This Is Real World Hedgehogging
You probly all have read the decent/above-average/coulda woulda shoulda been a lot more book Hedgehogging by Barton Biggs. Well, now TIMtv has found a video clip that blows that little book away…not only is it more entertaining and eerily representative of those in the hedge fund industry, it’s free and you can watch it right HERE!
Quit Your Whining aka Don’t Worry, Be Happy
Ask just about anyone how our economy is doing and you’re likely to hear one or more of the following:
We’re in a recession! The stock market is crashing! Oil’s never gonna stop going up, we’ll always need more! Housing’s collapsing so people won’t be able to pay off their debts! Wall Street is laying off drones by the thousands!
Welcome To The New TimothySykes.com, Kinda Like Super Shredder
Welcome to my new website! Check out the official PR…this is three months of hard work baby and its really brought me back to my pyramid-building days…tons of cool features—por ejemplo, click and drag on any of the sections like TIM101 and you can rearrange their position to suit your preferences, vertically—for now
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Understand this is just the ground floor because as you can see, there’s a dozen+ projects goin’ on here, all in an effort to make this stuff more fun, understandable and ultimately help you become more profitable. Over the next few days and weeks, I’ll be going over each new section in detail, but for now, here’s a little breakdown of everything:
Bucks
Rewards for your thoughts—now every time you post or comment you get a TIMbuck, talkin’ with sponsors of all sorts right now, we’ll have a whole list of goodies shortly, wouldn’t it be cool if you post a good pick, and everybody profited and gave you so many TIMbucks that you could cash in your chips to get 50 free trades from GFT? That’s the plan anyway…
101
Where Real Traders Begin—you know all those beginner-type questions? Yah, they all get answered here, got plenty of articles in the works, everything from reading level 2 and my fav. books for beginners to…well, stuff like that…also you can see ALL the details of my trades, good and bad, I wish everybody in this industry would do
Reads
Reading is FUNdamental—bringin’ my whole library back to 1 page, only about a quarter of them on there now, good things take time
Reviews
The toughest critic around—no more 1-2 line answers, name any US stock and I’ll do a full analysis-technical, fundamental and everything else—for $20/ticker, for entertainment purposes only of course (happy you SEC bastards!?!?!), let’s see how this goes
Tv
Real. Fun. Really Funny—just the beginning, got soooo many ideas, just gotta clone myself to find the time to film them all, new clips—not necessarily just me—will be rolled out each day, stuff that’s gonna make you laugh, cry and most importantly, occupy you so you won’t be tempted to trade every damn pattern!
Terms
Nothing but the truth—an accurate financial/trading glossary, not like the one put out by those morons at Investopedia who say it’s impossible to short sell penny stocks and cannot account for my existence or my profits
My Take On Visa Inc (V) aka Baseball Card Collecting In The 1990s
No matter how many times I say stick to trades with ideal risk-reward ratios for the smaller investor—those being media-hype plays and pumps and dumps courtesy of your friendly local stock promoter, the questions about random real companies keep streaming in—none moreso than Visa (V). The emails came from far and wide and helped inspire the thesis of THIS AOL article I wrote about the company the morning before its IPO. Yup, I was dead right. So how did I know it’d follow a VMware (VMW)-type trajectory; because simple theories work best.
Think about it, everybody and their other mother is comfortable with the strategy of buy what you know, buy blue-chip companies—blehhhhhhh! The absurd popularity of that strategy makes me gag because while it’s worked well in the past, it’s sooooo old news now. I’ll use the example highlighted in my book An American Hedge Fund by comparing this strategy to baseball card collecting—everybody growing up in the 1980s and 1990s who collected those stupid little pieces of cardboard dreamed of their values soaring into the thousands of dollars, just like those cards from back in the 1950s and 1960s.
Unfortunately, the card companies took advantage of this great track record and us suckers, producing those cards en mass and us kids—ignorant to the laws of supply and demand—bought them en mass, only too happy to pack them away and wait to collect our inevitable rewards.
Pirates Pretending To Be Pig Farmers (Seriously)
Wow and I thought I liked money—the pig f#@!ers over at Agfeed Industries (FEED) raised another $25mil just 7 days after their first $10 mil plundering financing. The short time span between blatant dilution financings tells us now it’s gonna get interesting, a.) we’re def. gonna see more pig farm acquisitions (no doubt at the typical 2-5x income), which given soaring commodity prices, investors are gonna like (good short-term, but dangerous long-term aka why can they get them so cheap?) and b.) whoever bought these shares is even more motivated to turn this into a Wall Street darling telling clients and paying off/bribing getting others to tell their clients “with the Olympics coming up and food prices soaring, this is how you invest in both trends” (BS generalization).
Other than scalping, the rise is too gradual to warrant any shorting and if done right, this could become a great pump and dump story stock, meaning the potential upside is enormous…so respect the pump, buy if it suits your personality, don’t short too soon and never ever believe the hype. When this thing dies down—and it will eventually die, as 995 out of 1,000 piece of poo companies do (seriously)—its chart will resemble similarly flawed fraudulent microcrap lover of acquisitions ZVUE.
TigerLogic (TIGR): The Piece Of Crap Formerly Known As Raining Data (RDTA)
Over the weekend, microcrap speculators everywhere have been debating (RDTA). While I wrote about the briefly HERE (Friday morning pre-market…before its 40% surge…thank you, thank you), I was right not to touch it in the morning cuz it was just too illiquid, but ‘twas wrong of me to be neck deep in fundamentally flawed / factually inaccurate but sub-par-chart-play EDEN, failing to see RDTA get pretty damn liquid mid-day after they released this fluffy PR about some crappy revolutionary new web search “add-on” and announcing a name/ticker change to blah bah blah.
Unlike ignorant financial journalists, I’m not even gonna dignify these laughable pieces of s#@! news pieces by detailing their BS contents). Those of you who’ve read my book An American Hedge Fund know these crappy companies loveeee trying to hype themselves with meaningless name changes—no different than adding a “dot com” to the end of their name back in 1999-2000…except now they’re just trying to get prospective suckers investors to forget their stock is 70% off its 2000 highs aka they’ve still got some bitter shareholders.
Hot Stocks: A Bunch Of Mediocre Wannabes aka Stocks Not Gone Wild
No ideal trade setups, just getting bored by a bunch of mediocre chicks
(GOOG) Great earnings, gotta respect the after-hours stock gains, optimistic people looking for an excuse…but be careful–$200 million in one-time currency gains—without it, wouldn’t be such a blowout…too pricey a stock to matter to TIM, but just be a little weary here.
(FEED) Just cuz I said this is a typical smallcap raising capital at inflated prices, doesn’t mean those inflated prices will deflate anytime soon. Classic finance idiots gotta learn to read—what are you guys a bunch of typically coked out Wall Street ANALysts?—I also explained that whoever bought the $10 million at $16 now has a huuuuge incentive to pump the stock. It’s called a balanced blog post, deal with it suckas!
(MMTIF) Still watching this TRUE pump and dump, again doesn’t mean I’m gonna short it—pump and dumps can last much longer than anyone expects, as (MXFD) shorts have learned the hard way
Did I Do That? Pump & Dump Exposes And Revolutionary Finance Websites
With my CNOA pump and dump expose last night and it’s 25% tankage today, I gotta wonder:
Possibly, probly, who knows…too bad I wasn’t short the stock myself—gotta learn to short sell these suckers BEFORE I chop ‘em to pieces, a la business models of Citron Research and Mark Cuban’s ShareSleuth.com
Nahhhhhhhh a.) it didn’t fit my pattern and b.) it’s more fun to write brutally truthful articles about stocks in which you have no positions, you do it just cuz it’s the right thing to do
I’ll tell you one thing I definitely did do right, that’s hiring and tirelessly working with Pallian to design the new site, which is looking redonkulous! I mean the guy is an Indian Picasso, he should be called Ghandcasso or Picandhi. To you lucky 50, advertisers and bloggers, the beta invites are being emailed out, so def. let me know what you think—what you like and don’t like, the site is for you—and for everyone else, you gotta wait til May 1st and settle for clicking the little thumbnail below:
5 Penny Stock Trading Misconceptions
Thanks to my talent for self-promotion, I’ve been exposed to a crazy number of investors, traders and market theories. Here are a few misconceptions that keep popping up and are in desperate need of correcting:
1.You can’t short sell stocks under $5, you’re a liar and a fraud!
Ridiculous, of course you can! There’s no SEC rule against it, many crappy brokers just don’t allow it—hence their “crappy” title. If you want to learn PennyStocking, shorting low priced stocks is essential—that’s why I use Thinkorswim, I’m proud to do all my trading there—they rock!
2. Smallcap and microcap trading is a joke, if you want to prove yourself as a trader, trade large stocks, currencies or futures. Also, what kind of a trader is afraid to use leverage?
Thanks in no small part to the misguided, and ultimately harmful, teachings of yet another entertainment outlet masquerading as journalists, Traitor Monthly, many people think trading is about making the most, being the best and getting to the top the quickest. Screw that! Focus on long-term earning and learning—this isn’t a sport as your career doesn’t end when you’re 35-40 (it’s usually just beginning)—and look for high percentage profits wherever they might be. Yes, my niche will always be looked down upon cuz it’s unscalable and that’s just the way I like it.
All the smartest people ignore it so it’s an easier playing field—advantage me. I guess I’ll just have to console myself with annual profit potential of a few hundred thousand to a few million/year. Boo hoo.
And no, I’ll never use leverage—as these street peddlers are learning, yes, it can inflate profits, but it risks disaster. I’ll never advocate any strategy that risks disaster—short selling is risky enough as it is. Learn from the mistakes of the past—nothing is ever guaranteed…besides, if a strategy is worthwhile, the profits will be there and they’ll be hard earned and natural.
The Second CNBC Stock Pump In As Many Days
I’m always ripping on Inspectd.com for being too simplistic/dangerous/giving chart reading a bad name…here’s a perfect example why, GTE, the latest Jim-Cramer/The Rock CNBC/WWE pump…yup, it’s been a whole 2 days since the last one…hurtful to naive investors…unethical…great for speculators…wake the f%#@ up SEC!
Chart shows a clear breakout, but it’s already off its high cuz this ain’t big-time breakout-type news. Sure, shorts are scared—as they should be—Jim/Dwayne/Cramer/Johnson’s no dummie for picking a solidly uptrending stock near its highs…but c’mon, can you smell the fakeout cookin’?
UPDATE: Now TITN breaks out to a new high thanks to a CNBC ention–damn, stock promotion is a happening biz, Lebed, you must be making some good $, right? Maybe CNBC should think about getting reimbursed by these companies, just put a lil disclaimer that no naive investor would ever see…c’mon Ge, you know you wanna, get those annual profits up from $300mil to $400mil, you can do it, you can do it all night loooooooooong!
Disclaimer: I have no position in either stock, I’ve tried playing The Rock’s picks from both sides, some stay up, some reverse, no edge, not much predictability, no thanks…I just think it’s wrong how the WWE frames it, creates a lot of unnecessary bad blood, ya dig
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| Date | Stock | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 23 | MKTY | $4.73 | $5.40 | $187 |
| July 22 | MKTY | $4.10 | $4.28 | $240 |
| July 21 | ZYXI | $3.03 | $3.18 | $130 |
| July 15 | MNLU | $6.37 | $6.73 | $340 |
| July 11 | IDAE | $2.27 | $2.49 | $630 |
| July 8 | ERII | $11.29 | $11.00 | $162 |
| July 3 | TGC | $2.14 | $2.39 | $471 |
| July 2 | HYGS | $2.15 | $2.29 | $260 |
| July 2 | TGC | $3.44 | $3.49 | $80 |
Total: $22,457 (
81%)
